Spurs vs. Pistons Odds & Betting Predictions - March 25, 2025

OVER 232*

THJ is questionable but he went through shootaround this morning, so he should be leaning towards playing. Since the break with everyone active, he's over in 9/12 w/ 15+ MIN - AVG 10.1 PTS and 9.3 FGA. LG vs. SAS (post break w/ everyone) he scored 9 PTS on 3-9 shooting. Since Wemby was shut down, SAS allows the 6th highest C&S FREQ% and 9th highest eFG% on C&S looks - 56.8% of THJ's shots are C&S jumpers. THJ vs. T10 C&S w/ everyone post ASB: - SAS: 9 PTS on 9 FGA - BKN: 9 PTS on 9 FGA - OKC: 11 PTS on 10 FGA - NOP: 8 PTS on 8 FGA The volume has been great in these MU and he should be due for some positive regression, shooting a combined 13-36 (36.1%) when he AVG a 39.9% FG%. In games he takes 7-11 FGA, he's over this line in 32/45 (71.1%) and 16/23 @ home (69.6%).

73% hit rate w/o Wemby when he plays 17-32 mins. Looking at the recent game logs, Barnes has been playing ~20 mpg outside of matchups against teams that don’t have a true healthy center. Duren & Stewart are expected to play today. Outliers ⬇️ PHI - 31.3 mins (Yabusele 6’8) DAL - 38 & 31.4 mins (Edwards 6’7) Barnes only played 20.9 mins in a matchup vs DET on 2/21. From a matchup perspective, the Pistons are allowing the 3rd least rebounds to PF L20.