Suns vs. Hornets Odds & Betting Predictions - January 8, 2025

Lamelo has scored 34+ in 2 of his last 3 matchups vs Tyus Jones back when he played in Washington. He will need exactly 34 points tonight to go into Los Angeles (Lakers and Clippers) next week with headlines screaming “LAMELO IS AVERAGING 30PPG THIS YEAR”. Phoenix has allowed the 6th most points to PG’s this year and I even sprinkled his OVER 33.5 at +270 odds because there’s definitely value on that specific number…. GET THE LIANGELO BALL SONG CUED UP CUZ IT WILL BE BLARING AFTER LAMELO’S 30 PIECE TONIGHT

📊 Projection ~ 229.7

THE BOUNCE 📽️: 2.04 Asts We've played this before and cashed. Williams has taken over the lead role at center with Richards to the bench. The potentials won't look great, as they don't with most centers, but if you are dishing from inside the paint, it's likely for an efficient look (open three/jumper or someone driving to the basket). Williams is averaging about 30 mins per game over his last 3 and has 2+ assists in 4 of his last 6. PHX allowing the 10th most assists per game and 7th most to centers.

7% ev

The Hornets take on the Suns on Tuesday night and with the Suns’ interior rotations in flux I’ll target Mark Williams for the Hornets. Williams has been strong this season and has continued to see his minutes climb. When he has played at least 15 minutes this season he is averaging 14.1 points and 8.6 rebounds. Additionally, he’s played minutes in the upper 20s over the last few games. He is getting extended run. The Suns allowed Gueschon Yabusele, Myles Turner, and JJJ to destroy them in three consecutive games plus Daniel Gafford and Jalen Duren in the last week or so. I like Mark Williams to continue this dominance from opposing Centers.

LG when Dunn moved into the starting lineup for Beal, he recorded 20 PRA in 27 MIN on 11 FGA and 9 pRA. In games Dunn has played 23+ MIN, he's covered this line in 7/8 - AVG 17.1 PRA and the only miss he recorded 11 PRA. His minutes should be safe here since the lineup change actually worked and PHX got a win for the first time in a week. He also closed the game in favor of Tyus Jones and played really well down the stretch, which is huge for his minutes as well. Dunn AVG a 52.7% spot up FREQ% - CHA allow the 7th highest spot up PPP. In games Dunn has taken 6+ FGA and faced a T10 team in spot up PPP, he's covered this line in 3/4, which includes games off the bench. In those four games, he AVG 9.75 PTS. If he were to score exactly 8-9 PTS, he would need 4 RA to cover this line - 4+ RA in 8/8 games w/ 23+ MIN. The way he's been shooting the ball recently, this is a line he could cover on PTS alone - taking 12, 7, 11, 11 FGA in his L4 w/ 23+ MIN. In games he plays 23+ MIN, Dunn AVG 12.3 pRA which is great volume for a 3.5/4.5 RA line.

DK

Sandy

+EV

6.32% ev