Trail Blazers vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - November 21, 2024

Trail Blazers at Thunder

1:00 am • KATU

Portland Trail Blazers

24-33

99 - 109

Oklahoma City Thunder

45-10

109

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Trail Blazers 24-33	+14	+13-114	o222.5-110	+569
Thunder 45-10	u223.5	-13-106	u222.5-110	-824

Thursday 1:00 a.m.

November 21, 2024

Paycom CenterOklahoma City

S.Henderson u22.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.5u

Same analysis I had on Anfernee Simons. Just a brutal matchup against the top ranked defense. Has averaged 18.5 PRA as a starter and while he has a route to 28-30 minutes, he’s going to have to be efficient against this defense. Playing for half a unit on Underdog (but logging in as Sleeper since Underdog isn’t a listed book).

POR +13-110

T.Camara o7.5 Pts-125

A.Simons u24.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.6u

Playing for a half a unit. Simons is still questionable with an illness at the time of this writing but he wasn’t fully practicing as of two days ago. Wouldn’t shock me if he was on a minute restriction if he does play. Tough matchup here too with Thunder leading the league in defensive efficiency. Allow the 8th fewest assists, 2nd fewest points per game and lowest field goal %. Might also get Hartenstein back tonight to help bolster this interior defense. Projections have Simons at 22.4 PRA over 31 minutes. He’s averaging 22.5 PRA this season over 29.8 minutes. Ayton is doubtful so it does open more usage for him, but I think there’s downside on his 31 minute projection if he’s still sick or the Thunder blow them out.

POR +12-110

0.91u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Thunder face fatigue and injuries, including Holmgren's absence, impacting their interior defense and rotation depth. Blazers ride momentum with strong bench production, led by Banton and possibly boosted by Simons’ return. Portland's rebounding and depth challenge OKC, whose offense struggles against size. SGA remains key, but Thunder's efficiency wanes against cohesive, deep teams like Portland.

POR +12.5-110

2.73u

POR u105.5 Team Total-110

0.91u

3 straight outright wins and over this number L3

Under 224-110

0.5u

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NBA Public Betting

Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Thunder are 14-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Thunder' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Thunder' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	34-19-3	20-9-1	14-10-2	32-18-3	2-1
Trail Blazers	32-24-1	18-12	14-12-1	2-3	30-21-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Thunder	30-26	17-13	13-13	29-24	1-2
Trail Blazers	28-28-1	18-12	10-16-1	4-1	24-27-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	45-10	N/A	N/A	43-10	2-1
Trail Blazers	24-33	N/A	N/A	3-2	21-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 20th	@SAS	L 104-110	-10 L	U 222.5	SAS -515
Nov 18th	DAL	L 119-121	-7.5 L	O 226	DAL -287
Nov 16th	PHX	W 99-83	-7.5 W	U 228	OKC -294
Nov 14th	NOP	W 106-88	-14.5 W	U 224.5	OKC -1148
Nov 12th	LAC	W 134-128	-6.5 L	O 219	OKC -264