Miami (FL) vs. Florida St Odds & Betting Predictions - October 4, 2025

Miami (FL) at Florida St

11:30 pm • ABC
28 - 22

Miami (FL) at Florida St Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Miami (FL)
5-1
-5.5
-3.5-108
o54.5-110
-170
Florida St
3-4
u53
+3.5-112
u54.5-110
+145
location pinSaturday 11:30 p.m.
October 04, 2025
Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell StadiumTallahassee
Miami (FL) vs. Florida St Expert Picks
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 62-34-3 (+51.9u)
FSU +3.5-105
2u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 120-136-5 (+2.2u)
Over 54-110
0.28u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 61-55-1 (+1.4u)
FSU +4.5-105
1.05u
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Last 30d: 41-47-3 (-8.5u)
Over 54.5-110
1u
Roger Goodell
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 53-34-2 (+14.1u)
FSU +4.5-114
1u
Lock & Cash
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 18-11-1 (+8.4u)
FSU +4.5-108
1.5u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 64-77-1 (-1.3u)
Over 53.5-110
0.55u
Adding to position.
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 42-34-2 (+4.9u)
FSU +4.5-110
1.1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 85-103-2 (-9.7u)
FSU +4.5-110
1u
Noles win on a field goal
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Last 30d: 41-47-3 (-8.5u)
FSU +4.5-108
1u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 53-62-2 (-0.4u)
FSU +4.5-108
0.5u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 64-77-1 (-1.3u)
Over 53.5-110
0.55u
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 27-38-0 (-7.7u)
C.Beck 300+ Passing Yards Yes+310
0.32u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 171-155-3 (+17.1u)
Under 54.5-115
0.87u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 79-65-1 (+6.2u)
Over 54.5-110
1.1u
Two very poor defenses in finishing drives v offenses top 20 finishing drives. Florida State top 10 both rush and pass EPA. FSU coverage grade of 82nd w no pass rush should contribute to Miami points

Miami (FL) vs. Florida St Previews & Analysis

  • Bet Labs + Advanced Model Picks (10:30 ET) article feature image

    Bet Labs + Advanced Model Picks (10:30 ET)

    Action AI
    Oct 4, 2025 UTC
  • Miami vs. Florida State: Plenty of Paths to Points article feature image

    Miami vs. Florida State: Plenty of Paths to Points

    Collin Wilson
    Oct 4, 2025 UTC
  • Our Staff Picks for #3 Miami vs. #18 Florida State article feature image

    Our Staff Picks for #3 Miami vs. #18 Florida State

    Action Network Staff
    Oct 4, 2025 UTC
  • Stuckey & Wilson: Our Top ML Dogs for Week 6 article feature image

    Stuckey & Wilson: Our Top ML Dogs for Week 6

    Collin Wilson
    Oct 4, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Miami (FL) vs. Florida St Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Miami (FL)

Public

37%

Bets%

63%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Florida St
3-43-20-20-31-1
Miami (FL)
4-23-21-03-11-0

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Florida St
5-24-11-12-11-1
Miami (FL)
2-42-30-11-31-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Florida St
3-4N/AN/A0-31-1
Miami (FL)
5-1N/AN/A3-11-0

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 26th@UVAL 38-46-7 LO 59.5UVA -270
Sep 20thKENTW 66-10-44.5 WO 58.5-
Sep 6thETAMW 77-3-44 WO 57-
Aug 30thBAMAW 31-17+13.5 WO 47.5FSU +440
Dec 1stFLAL 11-31+17 LU 46FLA +524
Team Stats
338
Total Yards
404
59
Total Plays
83
5.728813559322034
Yards Per Play
4.867469879518072
241
YDS
272
20/27
Comps/Atts
25/45
8.925925925925926
YPA
6.044444444444444
4/0
TDs/INTs
2/2
1/8
Sacks/Yards
2/19
97
Rush Yards
132
32
Attempts
38
3.03125
YPC
3.473684210526316
0
TDs
0
0
Fumbles Lost
1
0
Interceptions
2
1/1 100%
Redzone
4/4 100%
5/14 0%
3rd Down
7/16 0%
2/3 0%
4th Down
3/4 0%
14
Total
29
7
Pass
16
6
Rush
9
1
Penalty
4
13/114
Penalties/Yards
5/45

Miami (FL) vs. Florida St Odds Comparison

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Miami (FL) at Florida St Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Miami (FL)
5-1
o29-112
u29-114
Florida St
3-4
o25-116
u25-112