N. Mexico St vs. New Mexico Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2025
N. Mexico St at New Mexico
8:00 pm • MW NetworkN. Mexico St at New Mexico Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() N. Mexico St 3-2 | +8.5 | +16.5-110 | o53.5-115 | +500 |
![]() New Mexico 3-2 | u54.5 | -16.5-110 | u53.5-105 | -700 |

University Stadium (NM)Albuquerque
N. Mexico St vs. New Mexico Expert Picks

Capper Central
Last 30d: 86-59-1 (+12.9u)
UNM -13.5-105
1u
CLV. Posted. Week ago in the discord. Link in bio
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 51-34-3 (+28.8u)
UNM -15.5-105
1.9u

BBOC G5 Deep Dive Pod
Last 30d: 14-23-0 (-8.3u)
NMSU +14-112
1u
@Breese https://myaction.app/yXKrPquIVWb

Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 18-32-0 (-16.0u)
NMSU +14-110
1.1u
The Rio Grande Rivalry is always tight. It’s been within this point spread in 9 of the last 10 years. And to catch everyone up, we thought this would be a down year for both the Aggies and Lobos. But State is 2-1 with wins over Bryant and Tulsa. And New Mexico is 2-1 with a decent showing at MIchigan, a ten point win over FCS Idaho State and a shocking 25-point beatdown of UCLA.
But I think this UCLA win is throwing power rankings out of whack. UCLA no-showed that game, fired their coach post game. New Mexico is well coached, they have a hard-nosed rushing identity, they don’t put too much on Jack Layne’s shoulders. But there’s metrics here that worry me greatly with the Lobos as a nearly two touchdown favorite. Outside the top 100 in explosiveness, rushing success rate, and their defense creates little to no HAVOC (132nd). Gimme the road Aggies and an average Logan Fife to keep it within the number.
N. Mexico St vs. New Mexico Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
N. Mexico St vs. New Mexico Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- New Mexico are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- New Mexico are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- New Mexico are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of New Mexico' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of New Mexico' 2 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 3-2 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
![]() | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 3-2 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
![]() | 2-3 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-2 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 3-2 | N/A | N/A | 2-0 | 1-2 |
![]() | 3-2 | N/A | N/A | 1-0 | 2-2 |
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
304
Total Yards
476
68
Total Plays
69
4.470588235294118
Yards Per Play
6.898550724637682
289
YDS
344
21/38
Comps/Atts
24/31
7.605263157894737
YPA
11.096774193548388
1/1
TDs/INTs
5/0
9/62
Sacks/Yards
0/0
9/94
Penalties/Yards
8/55
N. Mexico St vs. New Mexico Odds Comparison
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N. Mexico St at New Mexico Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() N. Mexico St 3-2 | o17.5-114 | u17.5-116 |
![]() New Mexico 3-2 | o34.5-127 | u34.5-103 |