Commanders vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - October 15, 2023

Commanders at Falcons

5:00 pm • CBS

Washington Commanders

1-0

24 - 16

Atlanta Falcons

8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Commanders 1-0	+1.5	+2-110	o41.5-110	+105
Falcons 8-9	u42.5	-2-110	u41.5-110	-125

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 15, 2023

Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta

ATL +200 (Live)

0.25u

L.Thomas o37.5 Rec Yds-106

1.06u

ATL -1.5-110

FanDuel

S.Howell u238.5 Pass Yds-115

READ IT: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-6-prop-picks-bets-john-metchie-sam-howell

WAS +1.5-110

0.91u

Over 42-110

WAS +105

0.79u

WAS +1.5-110

0.91u

S.Howell o233.5 Pass Yds-110

0.55u

T.McLaurin o50.5 Rec Yds-110

0.5u

WAS +2-110

0.91u

Shitty mean dog bone kibble bacon on gritz

D.Ridder o26.5 Pass Att-115

0.87u

WAS +3-150

1.33u

WAS +2-111

K.Pitts o32.5 Rec Yds-110

WAS +105

1.05u

D.Ridder o0.5 Int+152

1.52u

Would bet to +140

Over 42.5-108

0.75u

Sunday free play.

WAS +115 (1H)

1.15u

Desmond Ridder 0-9 ats 1h.

J.Dotson o30.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

D.London o43.5 Rec Yds-114

0.88u

B.Robinson o12.5 Longest Reception-125

ATL -2.5-110

1.1u

L.Thomas o3.5 Recs-109

1.09u

Over in 2/3 full games, with 8, 3 and 11 targets. Falcons allowing 7 receptions to TEs per game, which makes sense given the rest of their defense: their CBs (led by Terrell) have been very solid, and should be able to limit TMac, Dotson and Samuel. And their rush defense ranks 7th in DVOA. Thomas stands to be the beneficiary - and coming off a big volume game, I like that to carry forward.

ATL -2.5-110

1.1u

WAS +2.5-110

$100.00

Featured Insight
Commanders TEs have 56.9 receiving yards per game since Week 16 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-best in NFL. The Falcons have averaged 57.4 receiving yards per game allowed to TEs since Week 16 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Falcons have gone three and out on 12% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season -- tied for ninth-best in NFL. Commanders have forced three and outs on 11% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season -- tied for seventh-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Falcons are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Falcons are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Falcons are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Falcons' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Falcons' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	6-11	3-6	3-5	5-6	1-5
Commanders	10-6-1	7-2	3-4-1	7-4	3-2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Falcons	7-10	3-6	4-4	5-6	2-4
Commanders	11-6	6-3	5-3	6-5	5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	8-9	N/A	N/A	7-4	1-5
Commanders	12-5	N/A	N/A	9-2	3-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 8th	HOU	W 21-19	-2.5 L	U 42	ATL -135
Oct 1st	@JAC	L 7-23	+3.5 L	U 42.5	JAC +154
Sep 24th	@DET	L 6-20	+3.5 L	U 47.5	DET +134
Sep 17th	GB	W 25-24	-3 L	O 40	ATL -154
Sep 10th	CAR	W 24-10	-3.5 W	U 40.5	ATL -186

Marcus Mariota
QB
Mariota is questionable with personal
Questionable
Tyler Ott
LS
Ott is questionable with illness
Questionable
Jamison Crowder
WR
Crowder is questionable with groin
Questionable
Nick Bellore
LB
Bellore is questionable with knee
Questionable

Noah Brown
WR
Brown is out with knee
Out
Austin Seibert
K
Seibert is out with hip
Out
K.J. Osborn
WR
Osborn is questionable with illness
Questionable
Tyler Owens
S
Owens is out with ankle
Out
Colson Yankoff
TE
Yankoff is out with hamstring
Out

Antonio Hamilton
CB
Hamilton is out with quad
Out
Mike Hughes
CB
Hughes is questionable with neck
Questionable
Darnell Mooney
WR
Mooney is out with shoulder
Out
James Smith-Williams
DE
Smith-Williams is out with tibia
Out
Ta'Quon Graham
DE
Graham is out with pectoral
Out
Troy Andersen
LB
Andersen is out with knee
Out
Brandon Dorlus
DE
Dorlus is questionable with abdomen
Questionable
JD Bertrand
LB
Bertrand is questionable with eye
Questionable
Jase McClellan
RB
McClellan is out with knee
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Commanders

Total

Falcons

193

Total Yards

402

Total Plays

3.9

Yards Per Play

5.1

Commanders

Passing

Falcons

151

YDS

307

14/23

Comps/Atts

28/47

4.321

YPA

5.92

3/0

TDs/INTs

2/3

5/30

Sacks/Yards

3/11

Commanders

Rushing

Falcons

Rush Yards

106

Attempts

3.273

YPC

3.655

TDs

Commanders

Turnovers

Falcons

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Commanders

Efficiency

Falcons

2/3 66.67%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

2/10 0%

3rd Down

5/15 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

1/3 0%

Commanders

First Downs

Falcons

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Commanders

Misc

Falcons

6/40

Penalties/Yards

4/31

23:37

Possession

36:23

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MatchupOverUnder
Commanders 1-0	o20.5-105	u20.5-119
Falcons 8-9	o21.5-103	u21.5-115

Commanders vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - October 15, 2023

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Commanders vs. Falcons Public Betting Percentages

Commanders

Public

Falcons

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Commanders vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

Falcons Injuries

Commanders vs. Falcons Odds Comparison

Commanders at Falcons Team Totals