Packers vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2023

Packers at Bears

8:25 pm • FOX

Green Bay Packers

10-4

38 - 20

Chicago Bears

4-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Packers 10-4	+1-110	o40.5-114	+106
Bears 4-10	-1-110	u40.5-108	-120

Sunday 8:25 p.m.

September 10, 2023

Soldier FieldChicago

Under 41.5-110

0.55u

GB +1.5-110

0.91u

CHI -1-110

GB +1.5-110

$100.00

CHI -1.5 (1H)+110

GB +104

1.04u

T.Edmunds o6.5 Tackles + Ast-110

0.91u

GB +1.5-109

GB +105

1.05u

CHI -1.5-110

$1.00

GB +108

0.81u

I'm with @VegasRefund and Dabbundo. Just can't shake the feeling we'll look back in 2 months in disbelief which team was favored here. Week 1 division underdogs 68% ATS. Road wk1 dogs <3 that missed the playoffs are 15-3 ATS. Eberflus 5-10 ATS as fav. Don't love GB run D but everything else says Pack.

GB +1-110

Stuckey 2

CHI -1.5-104

GB +1-110

1.82u

Sorry Royal I still love you, Bears lose home opener

GB +1-110

$0.91

GB +1-110

A.Dillon o36.5 Rush Yds-117

1.17u

Dillon was 9/17 on this line last season, and had 32+ yards in 15/17. This was of course with Rodgers, with GB a pretty average 15th in run play%. Conventional thinking is that with Jordan Love, they will lean on the run game a bit more. Dillon had two of his four highest rushing totals against the Bears (93 and 61 yards). The Bears rush defense was awful last season (6th highest YPC allowed, and the third most RB rush yards allowed per game), and while they did beef up their personnel in the off-season (Edwards, Edmunds, Billings), they looked unimpressive in the preseason when the starters played, and with a bunch of new pieces, I think this unit starts as below-avg for week 1. Dillon has looked good this off-season, playing in each of the three preseason games. Aaron Jones still is RB1A, but Green Bay has always been cautious about his workload early in the season. It’s a tricky game to assess gamescript, but I’m seeing a clear path to a close game, which should keep the ground game in effect all four quarters for Green Bay.

CHI -110

1.1u

Fields is Him simple as that

GB +1-110

0.91u

GB +1-110

$100.00

2 units. I’ll be boots on the ground. GO PACK GO!

GB +1-110

GB +100

GB +1.5-110

0.68u

Featured Insight
The Packers scored 26.8 points per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- tied for seventh-best in NFL. The Bears allowed 32.5 PPG in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Packers scored on 49% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- best in NFL. The Bears defense allowed scores on 47% of opponent drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Bears are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Bears are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bears are 2-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bears' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bears' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bears	7-6-1	4-1-1	2-5	3-1	4-5-1
Packers	7-6-1	4-3	3-2-1	5-4	2-2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bears	5-9	3-3	1-6	2-2	3-7
Packers	6-7-1	2-4-1	3-3	3-5-1	3-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bears	4-10	N/A	N/A	3-1	1-9
Packers	10-4	N/A	N/A	8-1	2-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 26th	BUF	L 21-24	+3 L	O 37.5	BUF +154
Aug 19th	@IND	L 17-24	+4.5 L	O 37.5	IND +175
Aug 12th	TEN	W 23-17	-3.5 W	O 36.5	CHI -180
Jan 8th	MIN	L 13-29	+6.5 L	U 42.5	MIN +235
Jan 1st	@DET	L 10-41	+4.5 L	U 52.5	DET +170

Jaire Alexander
CB
Alexander is out with knee
Out

Corey Ballentine
CB
Ballentine is questionable with knee
Questionable
Luke Musgrave
TE
Musgrave is out with ankle
Out
Jordan Morgan
OL
Morgan is out with shoulder
Out
Javon Bullard
DB
Bullard is out with ankle
Out
MarShawn Lloyd
RB
Lloyd is out with hamstring
Out

Tarvarius Moore
S
Moore is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Ryan Bates
OL
Bates is out with concussion
Out
Darrynton Evans
RB
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
Gervon Dexter
DE
Dexter is out with knee
Out
Roschon Johnson
RB
Johnson is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Kiran Amegadjie
OL
Amegadjie is questionable with calf
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Packers

Total

Bears

329

Total Yards

311

Total Plays

5.5

Yards Per Play

4.4

Packers

Passing

Bears

245

YDS

216

15/27

Comps/Atts

24/37

8.464

YPA

4.61

3/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

1/8

Sacks/Yards

4/27

Packers

Rushing

Bears

Rush Yards

122

Attempts

2.875

YPC

4.207

TDs

Packers

Turnovers

Bears

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Packers

Efficiency

Bears

3/3 100%

Redzone

1/2 50%

9/16 0%

3rd Down

3/13 0%

1/2 0%

4th Down

1/2 0%

Packers

First Downs

Bears

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Packers

Misc

Bears

9/90

Penalties/Yards

7/61

29:17

Possession

30:43

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MatchupOverUnder
Packers 10-4	o20.5-105	u20.5-117
Bears 4-10	o20.5-110	u20.5-111

Packers vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2023

Packers at Bears

Green Bay Packers

Chicago Bears

Packers at Bears Odds

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Packers vs. Bears Previews & Analysis

3 Over/Unders Backed by Big Money, Projections

Our Staff's NFL Best Bets for Sunday's Late Slate

Packers vs. Bears: The Justin Fields Prop To Bet

Stuckey's NFL Week 1 Betting Card

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Packers

Public

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Matchup History

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Over/Under History

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Last 5 Matchups

Packers vs. Bears Injury Updates

Packers Injuries

Bears Injuries

Packers vs. Bears Odds Comparison

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