Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds & Betting Predictions - October 21, 2024
Lightning at Maple Leafs
11:30 pm • NHL NetworkLightning at Maple Leafs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning 21-13-3 | +1.5 | +1.5-218 | o6.5-110 | +120 |
Maple Leafs 17-15-5 | u6.5 | -1.5+180 | u6.5-111 | -142 |

Scotiabank ArenaToronto
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Expert Picks
Zense
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TOR -142
0.7u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 83-85-0 (+4.7u)
O.Ekman-Larsson o0.5 Pts+125
0.6u
3.03% ev and projection leans to the over
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 56-73-1 (-7.2u)
W.Nylander o3.5 SOG+104
0.52u
FanDuel 5:40.
Picks Office
Last 30d: 176-138-1 (+22.6u)
Under 6.5-105
1u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Tampa Bay and Toronto both lean towards the under with strong defense and struggling power plays. Toronto's solid goaltending and penalty kill, combined with Tampa's focus on tightening up after defensive lapses, make under goals a good play here.
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 139-107-1 (+38.9u)
Over 6.5-110
0.91u
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Nick Martin
Last 30d: 56-73-1 (-7.2u)
TOR -130
0.77u
Bet365
W.Nylander Anytime Goal Scorer Yes+165
0.83u
SIA
B.Hagel Anytime Goal Scorer Yes+230
0.25u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 83-85-0 (+4.7u)
N.Kucherov o3.5 SOG-118
1.02u
4.24% ev
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 82-73-0 (-0.4u)
TOR -130
0.77u
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 7-8-0 (-2.4u)
M.Domi o0.5 Pts+120
1.2u
M.Knies o0.5 Pts+125
1.25u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 106-123-0 (-34.2u)
Over 6.5-110
1u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 6.5-110
1u
Sandy
TOR -140
1u
Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 7-8-0 (-2.4u)
TOR -140
1u
NHL POD (5-1)
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 6.5-110
1.1u
Johnny
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 83-85-0 (+4.7u)
N.Kucherov Anytime Goal Scorer Yes+130
0.6u
3.13% ev
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Maple Leafs are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Maple Leafs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Maple Leafs are 5-10 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Maple Leafs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Maple Leafs' 21 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13-23 | 8-13 | 5-10 | 5-15 | 7-6 | |
| 16-20 | 5-14 | 11-6 | 9-20 | 7-0 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21-15 | 13-8 | 8-7 | 14-6 | 6-7 | |
| 17-19 | 10-9 | 7-10 | 15-14 | 2-5 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16-15 | N/A | N/A | 10-10 | 4-9 | |
| 20-13 | N/A | N/A | 15-14 | 5-2 |
Last 5 Matchups
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Injury Updates

Lightning Injuries
- Ryan McDonaghD
McDonagh is day-to-day with undisclosed
Day-to-Day
- Victor HedmanD
Hedman is out with elbow
Out
- Erik CernakD
Cernak is out with undisclosed
Out
- Brandon HagelLW
Hagel is day-to-day with upper body
Day-to-Day
- Emil LillebergD
Lilleberg is out with undisclosed
Out

Maple Leafs Injuries
- William NylanderRW
Nylander is day-to-day with lower body
Day-to-Day
- Dakota MermisD
Mermis is out with lower body
Out
- Brandon CarloD
Carlo is out with foot
Out
- Anthony StolarzG
Stolarz is out with upper body
Out
- Marshall RifaiD
Rifai is out with wrist
Out
Team Stats
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds Comparison
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Lightning at Maple Leafs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Lightning 21-13-3 | o2.5-165 | u2.5-103 |
Maple Leafs 17-15-5 | o3.5+104 | u3.5-138 |

