Cubs vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2023

Cubs at Astros

12:10 am • SportsNet SW

Chicago Cubs

29-19

4 - 6

Houston Astros

19-30

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Valdez			3.46	12-11
J.Taillon			4.84	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 29-19	N/A	N/A	N/A
Astros 19-30	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 12:10 a.m.

May 16, 2023

Daikin ParkHouston

Under 8-115

$100.00

J.Taillon u4.5 Ks-110

Taillon has cleared this in 3 of 5 games, but he won’t be able to sustain his current K/9 (11.4) with a 11% swinging strike rate. The Astros 7-9 hitters are his best chance to rack up Ks but considering he’s yet to throw more than 85 pitches in a game, it’s unlikely he will get to face them a 3rd time. Home plate ump Chris Guccione tends to squeeze pitchers as well. Projecting this closer to -150

CHC +160

1.1u

CHC +170

0.5u

CHC +1.5-134

1.34u

CHC +155

$1.00

F.Valdez o6.5 Ks-128

0.78u

CHC +152 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +139

CHC +155

Overall, Valdez has estimators almost a run better than Taillon, but xERA separated by 0.11 runs - HOU (as of Sat) 83/85 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, CHC 120/119 - CHC def 6 Runs Prevented edge - HOU does have a bullpen edge, but this is much closer than the line makes it appear.

CHC +160

0.5u

Bet to +143

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The Astros are 10-6 (.625) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 8-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Astros' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	19-30	11-15	8-15	4-11	15-18
Cubs	21-27	12-12	9-15	14-17	7-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	27-18-4	16-9-1	11-9-3	9-6	17-12-4
Cubs	28-20	14-10	14-10	17-14	11-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	19-30	12-14	7-16	5-10	14-19
Cubs	29-19	18-6	11-13	21-10	8-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 14th	@CWS	W 4-3	-	-	-
May 13th	@CWS	L 1-3	-	-	-
May 13th	@CWS	W 5-1	-	-	-
May 10th	@LAA	W 5-4	-	-	-
May 10th	@LAA	W 3-1	-	-	-

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	68	4.2	1	4
LB.Hughes, P	1	0.1	0	0
RA.Alzolay, P	14	1	1	0
RM.Fulmer, P	20	0.2	1	2
RJ.Estrada, P	24	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Morel, LF	1-5	1	1	3
1C.Morel, CF	1-5	1	1	3
2D.Swanson, SS	2-4	0	0	0
3I.Happ, DH	1-3	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5C.Bellinger, CF	1-3	1	0	0
5M.Mastrobuoni, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Mastrobuoni, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6P.Wisdom, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7T.Mancini, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	1
9N.Madrigal, 2B	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LF.Valdez, P	91	4	8	4
RP.Maton, P	15	1	1	0
RS.Martinez, P	17	1	2	0
RR.Montero, P	7	1	0	0
RR.Stanek, P	16	1	3	0
RH.Neris, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Dubon, 2B	3-4	2	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
3Y.Alvarez, LF	1-2	1	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Abreu, 1B	2-3	1	0	2
6J.Pena, SS	1-4	1	0	1
7C.McCormick, DH	2-4	0	0	1
8J.Meyers, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-4	0	0	0