Cubs vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2023

Cubs at Astros

12:10 am • TBS

Chicago Cubs

29-19

3 - 7

Houston Astros

19-30

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Javier			4.56	10-5
J.Steele			3.06	16-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 29-19	N/A	N/A	N/A
Astros 19-30	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 12:10 a.m.

May 17, 2023

Daikin ParkHouston

Under 7.5-108

1.08u

CHC +140 (F5)

0.5u

CHC +148

0.5u

C.Javier u7.5 Ks-126

1.02u

His prop market dropped everywhere due to the Cubs putting out a tougher lineup to K than expected. FanDuel is a bit late to the game here. Projecting it closer to -220 and I’m projecting under 6.5 -125. Essentially getting a free K here

CHC +140

1.1u

HOU -168

0.6u

J.Steele o17.5 Outs-112

$102.68

CHC +141

0.5u

CHC +131 (F5)

0.5u

Over 7.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -112

CHC +150

0.5u

Need +150

CHC +138 (F5)

Steele 4.27 SIERA/3.21 xERA, Javier 3.41/4.18, estimators overall are very similar - HOU 82/103/78 wRC+ Hm/v LHP/L7 days, CHC 115/107/118 - CHC better defense by 6 Runs Prevented - HOU pen 1/2 run better estimators L30 days, staying F5 here w/ much closer SP matchup

Under 8-110

1.1u

Project 7.1; both lineups mediocre v L/R split (Steele/Javier). Both starters 3.3 FIP or lower. Both pens stellar 3.7 FIP or lower

Dinger Tuesday: 5 Bets, Including Arenado, Wisdom
Anthony Dabbundo•
May 16, 2023 UTC
Cubs vs. Astros: Underrated SPs Should Cool Bats
Kenny Ducey•
May 16, 2023 UTC
Our Staff's Best Bets From Tuesday's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
May 16, 2023 UTC
MLB NRFI Model Picks For Tuesday
Billy Ward•
May 16, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Astros are 10-6 (.625) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 8-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Astros' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	19-30	11-15	8-15	4-11	15-18
Cubs	21-27	12-12	9-15	14-17	7-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	27-18-4	16-9-1	11-9-3	9-6	17-12-4
Cubs	28-20	14-10	14-10	17-14	11-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	19-30	12-14	7-16	5-10	14-19
Cubs	29-19	18-6	11-13	21-10	8-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 16th	CHC	W 6-4	-	-	-
May 14th	@CWS	W 4-3	-	-	-
May 13th	@CWS	L 1-3	-	-	-
May 13th	@CWS	W 5-1	-	-	-
May 10th	@LAA	W 5-4	-	-	-

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	82	6	8	5
RN.Burdi, P	21	1	1	2
RJ.Merryweather, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Madrigal, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Morel, CF	1-4	1	0	0
4I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Suzuki, RF	2-4	1	1	2
6M.Mervis, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
7M.Mastrobuoni, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8E. Hosmer, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Mancini, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Mancini, DH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Barnhart, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Javier, P	88	6	5	1
RP.Maton, P	18	1	2	0
LM.Gage, P	39	2	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Dubon, 2B	2-4	2	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	0-1	1	1
3Y.Alvarez, DH	2-4	1	2
4K.Tucker, RF	1-4	1	1
5J.Abreu, 1B	0-3	0	0
5D.Hensley, PH	0-1	0	0
5D.Hensley, 1B	0-1	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	1-4	0	0
7C.Julks, LF	1-4	1	1
8C.McCormick, CF	2-4	0	1
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	1	0