Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2023
Dodgers at Diamondbacks
2:10 am • BSAZStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.29 | 12-8 | |
 |  | 2.63 | 4-1 |
Dodgers at Diamondbacks Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Dodgers 3-0 | -1.5-102 | o9+100 | -160 | |
Diamondbacks 0-0 | +1.5-118 | u9-120 | +130 | |
Chase FieldPhoenix
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Expert Picks
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 52-69-0 (-8.9u)
ARI +1.5-118
$1.00
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 37-41-0 (-1.7u)
D.May o4.5 Ks-148
1u
May only struck out 4 in his opening start and while the 9.5% swinging strike rate is a bit of a concern, I think this is a great time to invest in his K potential. He opted to throw his 4 seam fastball at a much higher rate than his sinker which will help get ahead in the count and boost his K rate. His slurve is downright filthy and is an excellent put away pitch for right handed batters. His cutter is a nice weapon to have against left handed batters. The DBacks have 6 LHB in their lineup today which doesn’t seem ideal, but May has a higher K% against lefties in his career. I’m projecting this closer to -210 and prefer taking the over 4.5, but I still like over 5.5 at +130 if you only have access to that number.
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 101-73-4 (+12.9u)
F.Freeman o1.5 Total Bases-119
0.5u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 9-105
1.05u
ARI +1.5-125
1.25u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 80-94-3 (-7.5u)
ARI o3.5-120
1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 28-35-1 (-4.6u)
LAD -152
1u
Anders
Last 30d: 12-14-0 (-0.6u)
ARI +139
0.6u
ARI +1.5-124
0.62u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 158-182-6 (-7.3u)
Over 8.5-109
0.52u
Buying out of my Under 8.5 at a very small loss (0.02u)
Under 8.5+100
0.5u
EDIT: Looks like the roof will be open (h/t @FreelanceBBall on Twitter, give Matt a follow he knows ball)
Going to try to find a buyout price at -110 or better
Projection only 8.63 with roof open so you can ride it but I’m trying to cash out or buy out. Will post a new entry on the Over when I do
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Previews & Analysis
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Notes
Keys to the Game
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 64-6 (.914) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Dodgers are 5-41 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Matchup Contrasts
32% of Will Smith strikeouts were looking last season -- tied for 14th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 32% of Merrill Kelly strikeouts were looking last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Diamondbacks are 42-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 39 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82-79 | 40-41 | 42-38 | 36-52 | 45-27 |
| 73-89 | 37-44 | 36-45 | 61-82 | 12-7 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-74-7 | 39-36-6 | 41-38-1 | 43-40-5 | 37-33-2 |
| 74-80-8 | 40-35-6 | 34-45-2 | 64-71-8 | 10-9 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-82 | 43-38 | 37-43 | 45-43 | 34-38 |
| 93-69 | 52-29 | 41-40 | 83-60 | 10-9 |
Last 5 Matchups
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates
Dodgers Injuries
- Michael KopechRP
Kopech is out with arm
Out
- Michael GroveRP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
- River RyanSP
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Gavin StoneSP
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
- Roki SasakiSP
Sasaki is out with shoulder
Out
Diamondbacks Injuries
- John CurtissRP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Box Score
Dodgers Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 83 | 6 | 5 | 1 | |
 | 15 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 13 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 99 | 5.2 | 4 | 4 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 12 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds Comparison
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Dodgers 3-0 | N/A | N/A |
Diamondbacks 0-0 | N/A | N/A |