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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2026

Pirates at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

19-16
@

Arizona Diamondbacks

16-17
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Eduardo Rodriguez logoE.RodriguezArizona Diamondbacks logo3.032-0
Bubba Chandler logoB.ChandlerPittsburgh Pirates logo4.971-3

Pirates at Diamondbacks Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates
19-16
+1.5
+1.5-176
o9-110
+116
Diamondbacks
16-17
u9
-1.5+149
u9-110
-138
location pinWednesday 1:40 a.m.
May 06, 2026
Chase FieldPhoenix
thermometer image71°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image10Wind
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Expert Picks
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 288-356-11 (-12.6u)
K.Marte o1.5 Total Bases+115
$1.00
Payoff Pitch Podcast
Payoff Pitch Podcast
Last 30d: 81-99-10 (+17.5u)
Over 9-108
0.5u
@Zerillo ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/JSRRLRwFT2b
K.Marte o1.5 Total Bases+125
0.5u
@cowhitchurch ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/JSRRLRwFT2b
ARI -120
1u
@Zerillo ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/JSRRLRwFT2b
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 288-356-11 (-12.6u)
O.Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+130
$1.00
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 258-287-14 (+23.0u)
G.Moreno To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+1050
0.07u
#EV 11.57%
RoyalsProps
RoyalsProps
Last 30d: 78-45-8 (+29.4u)
O.Cruz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110
1.1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 258-287-14 (+23.0u)
E.Rodriguez o5.5 Hits Allowed+110
0.98u
#EV 8.6%
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 154-147-15 (-7.1u)
Over 9-103
0.52u
Bet to -120
ARI -120
0.6u
Bet to -131
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 56-56-5 (+0.6u)
ARI o4.5-115
0.58u
(B365) Time to face facts with Bubba Chandler, a 5.4 K-BB% and league average 10.4 SwStr% through six starts. E-Rod (4.2%, 6.0%) has been even worse. Both allowing 8.5% Barrels/BBE. Both have xERAs above five. ARI has a 115 wRC+ at home (110 Park Run Factor and roof is expected to be open) with the projected lineup at 113 vs RHP since last year. Pirates have suffered on the road (76), but do have a team 145 wRC+ over the last seven days. The PIT proj. LU is also -6 FRV. (Splitting a unit between F5 total & ARI team total.)
Over 4.5 (F5)-128
0.64u
(FD) Time to face facts with Bubba Chandler, a 5.4 K-BB% and league average 10.4 SwStr% through six starts. E-Rod (4.2%, 6.0%) has been even worse. Both allowing 8.5% Barrels/BBE. Both have xERAs above five. ARI has a 115 wRC+ at home (110 Park Run Factor and roof is expected to be open) with the projected lineup at 113 vs RHP since last year. Pirates have suffered on the road (76), but do have a team 145 wRC+ over the last seven days. The PIT proj. LU is also -6 FRV. (Splitting a unit between F5 total & ARI team total.)

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Previews & Analysis

  • Zerillo's ML & Over/Under Picks for Pirates-Diamondbacks article feature image

    Zerillo's ML & Over/Under Picks for Pirates-Diamondbacks

    Sean Zerillo•
    May 5, 2026 UTC
  • Adam Trigger's Triple-A Picks For Tuesday article feature image

    Adam Trigger's Triple-A Picks For Tuesday

    Adam Trigger•
    May 5, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Pirates

Public

Home Logo

Diamondbacks

35%

Bets%

65%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
  • Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Diamondbacks are 12-6 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Diamondbacks' 15 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Diamondbacks		21-129-612-66-414-8
Pirates		20-1511-99-613-87-7

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Diamondbacks		20-12-19-611-6-15-514-7-1
Pirates		20-1513-77-813-87-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Diamondbacks		16-179-67-116-49-13
Pirates		19-1611-98-713-86-8

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 3rd@CHCL 4-8+1.5 LO 11.5CHC +131
May 2nd@CHCL 0-2+1.5 LU 7CHC +143
May 1st@CHCL 5-6+1.5 WO 7CHC +124
Apr 30th@MILL 1-13+1.5 LO 7.5MIL +110
Apr 29th@MILW 6-2+1.5 WU 8.5ARI +112

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates

Pirates Injuries

  • Jared Jones
    SP

    Jones is out with elbow

    Out

Diamondbacks Injuries

  • Corbin Burnes
    SP

    Burnes is out with elbow

    Out

  • Blake Walston
    SP

    Walston is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tyler Locklear
    1B

    Locklear is out with elbow

    Out

  • Cristian Mena
    SP

    Mena is doubtful with shoulder

    Doubtful

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Starting Lineups
Pirates Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Bubba Chandler logoRB.Chandler, P1-34.971.4838.38
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Jake Mangum logo1J.Mangum, RF.271.346.3000
Bryan Reynolds logo2B.Reynolds, LF.258.404.4274
Nick Gonzales logo3N.Gonzales, 2B.328.381.3710
Marcell Ozuna logo4M.Ozuna, DH.189.256.2973
Jared Triolo logo5J.Triolo, 3B.208.296.2500
Oneil Cruz logo6O.Cruz, CF.264.322.5009
Konnor Griffin logo7K.Griffin, SS.262.325.3982
Billy Cook logo8B.Cook, 1B.333.333.3330
Joey Bart logo9J.Bart, C.209.255.3021
Diamondbacks Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Eduardo Rodriguez logoLE.Rodriguez, P2-03.031.4086.06
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Geraldo Perdomo logo1G.Perdomo, SS.245.352.4022
Ketel Marte logo2K.Marte, 2B.214.272.3575
Corbin Carroll logo3C.Carroll, RF.273.372.5184
Gabriel Moreno logo4G.Moreno, C.245.296.4081
Adrian Del Castillo logo5A.Del Castillo, DH.222.258.4133
Lourdes Gurriel logo6L.Gurriel, LF.233.283.2790
Ildemaro Vargas logo7I.Vargas, 1B.382.406.6576
Nolan Arenado logo8N.Arenado, 3B.275.310.4405
Alek Thomas logo9A.Thomas, CF.184.220.3452

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds Comparison

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Pirates at Diamondbacks Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Pirates
19-16
N/A
N/A
Diamondbacks
16-17
N/A
N/A