Red Sox vs Mets Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 12, 2026

Red Sox at Mets

5:40 pm • WPIX

Boston Red Sox

New York Mets

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Thornton			4.36	0-1
P.Tolle			3.14	5-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 45-48	-1.5	-1.5+145	o8-115	-110
Mets 40-56	u8.5	+1.5-175	u8-105	-108

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

July 12, 2026

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

85°Fahrenheit

0%Rain

6Wind

BOS -105

1.5u

J.Soto o0.5 HR+430

0.25u

There may be some value on Juan Soto's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.29 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.21. The model believes there is a 24% chance he records at least 1 home run, so there is value on the over at +430. This play is good down to at least +353. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

F.Lindor o0.5 HR+575

0.25u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.23 home runs for Francisco Lindor. Oddsmakers are implying 0.17 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 20% of the time resulting in a 34% ROI with expected value of $33.99 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +454. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

P.Tolle u1.5 BB+110

There is a value opportunity on Payton Tolle's walks allowed prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 1.23 walks allowed, while oddsmakers are implying 1.71. The model believes there is a 65% chance he records fewer than 2 walks allowed, so there is value on the under at +110. This play is good down to at least -146. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

P.Tolle u5.5 Ks-105

0.53u

Tailing @TurveyBets

P.Tolle u16.5 Outs+110

THE BAT X is forecasting 14.64 pitching outs for Payton Tolle compared to 16.66 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 67% of the time, resulting in a 41% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $40.81. This play is good down to at least -156. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

P.Tolle u5.5 Ks-105

0.45u

Would play at -135 range too. Doesn’t K lefties and Mets have lefties galore to throw at him

BOS -126

1.26u

BOS -120

1.2u

NYM +105

0.5u

Bet to -105

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 20-28 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Mets' 48 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	39-57	19-29	20-28	25-37	14-20
Red Sox	43-50	17-27	26-23	24-33	18-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	45-46-5	26-18-4	19-28-1	30-29-3	15-17-2
Red Sox	42-47-4	17-24-3	25-23-1	27-27-3	15-19-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	40-56	21-27	19-29	31-31	9-25
Red Sox	45-48	17-27	28-21	26-31	18-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 11th	BOS	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BOS -144
Jul 10th	BOS	L 2-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -149
Jul 9th	KC	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 9	NYM -140
Jul 8th	KC	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	NYM -200
Jul 7th	KC	L 12-16	-1.5 L	O 8.5	KC -143

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
LP.Tolle, P		5-6	3.14	1.071	8.96

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1A.Seigler, 2B	.271	.354	.443	2
2C.Rafaela, CF	.282	.330	.436	8
3W.Abreu, RF	.264	.335	.433	11
4R.Gonzalez, 1B	.250	.308	.417	1
5C.Durbin, 3B	.230	.293	.396	9
6A.Monasterio, SS	.226	.268	.406	5
7J.Duran, DH	.193	.259	.351	13
8N.Eaton, LF	.138	.306	.310	1
9C.Wong, C	.287	.386	.389	1

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
LZ.Thornton, P		0-1	4.36	1.161	8.71

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1A.Ewing, CF	.276	.352	.438	7
2J.Soto, DH	.294	.410	.570	21
3F.Lindor, SS	.208	.293	.342	4
4E.Wagaman, 1B	.194	.306	.387	2
5C.Benge, RF	.266	.330	.407	11
6T.Taylor, LF	.214	.240	.410	6
7L.Torrens, C	.214	.277	.314	2
8B.Baty, 3B	.224	.300	.318	4
9Z.Short, 2B	.167	.304	.222	0