Royals vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - July 23, 2025

Royals at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ

Kansas City Royals

69-66

8 - 4

Chicago Cubs

77-58

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.23	10-6
S.Lugo			4.15	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 69-66	+1.5	+1.5-134	o9.5-124	+148
Cubs 77-58	u10.5	-1.5+112	u9.5-103	-181

Wednesday 6:20 p.m.

July 23, 2025

Wrigley FieldChicago

Over 9.5-115

0.87u

CHC -160

CHC -1.5+125

KC +155

1.55u

Punch Back Dogs (***) Overall: 270-282-0,49% (ROI:24%) Season:40-34-0,54% (ROI:31%) Fade Public (***) Overall: 349-353-0,50% (ROI:16%) Season:23-22-0,51% (ROI:18%)

KC +144

2.88u

🔑 Royals ML +144 (FanDuel) 2u Sharp fade angle: 84% of bets & 86% of ML money on Cubs, yet line movement shows resistance – signals sharp money backing KC. Pitching edge: Seth Lugo owns a 2.94 ERA & 1.09 WHIP on the year, with an even better 2.51 ERA on the road. Royals bats have decent numbers vs Colin Rea. Momentum spot: KC smashed Game 1 (12‑4) and have been a strong road team, covering F5 and RL in over 30 of their last 39 away games. Value: At +144, the implied win probability is ~42% vs models projecting higher; shop around and you can even find +150+.

CHC -1.5+120

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Under 10.5-102

0.51u

Tailing @Zerillo

Under 10.5-102

0.51u

Bet to 10 (-105)

CHC -146

0.5u

CHC -140

1.4u

CHC -140

1.4u

KC +135

4.05u

CHC -142

0.71u

Bet to -150

CHC -142

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Royals vs Cubs: F5 Play to Make
Action Network Staff•
Jul 23, 2025 UTC
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 32-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 30 of Cubs' 66 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	63-72	31-35	32-37	46-50	17-22
Royals	71-64	33-34	38-30	28-30	42-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	62-66-7	30-32-4	32-34-3	42-49-5	20-17-2
Royals	59-75-1	26-41	33-34-1	26-32	33-41-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	77-58	41-25	36-33	61-35	16-23
Royals	69-66	36-31	33-35	34-24	34-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 23rd	KC	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 9	CHC -263
Jul 22nd	KC	L 4-12	-1.5 L	O 7.5	KC -154
Jul 20th	BOS	L 1-6	+1.5 L	O 6.5	BOS +115
Jul 19th	BOS	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 9	CHC -155
Jul 18th	BOS	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CHC -139

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Michael Soroka
P
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
P
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	95	6	6	2
RS.Cruz, P	7	1	0	1
RJ.Schreiber, P	25	1	1	1
RL.Erceg, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Frazier, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
1A.Frazier, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
2M.Garcia, SS	1-4	1	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	3-4	3	2	4
4S.Perez, DH	2-4	1	1	2
5J.Caglianone, RF	0-5	0	0	0
5M.Melendez, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Rave, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Rave, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7F.Fermin, C	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Isbel, CF	0-3	1	0	0
9T.Tolbert, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
9J.India, 2B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	82	5	3	5
LD.Pomeranz, P	21	1	2	2
RR.Pressly, P	13	1	0	0
RB.Kriske, P	35	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Busch, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-4	1	1	1
4C.Kelly, DH	1-4	0	0	1
5I.Happ, LF	0-2	1	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	1-3	0	0	0
7N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	1-3	0	0	1
8J.Turner, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Shaw, 3B	1-4	1	1	1