Royals vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2025

Royals at Orioles

11:15 pm • FOX

Kansas City Royals

17-16

4 - 0

Baltimore Orioles

13-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Sugano			3.00	3-1
K.Bubic			2.25	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 17-16	-1.5	-1.5+150	o9+100	-106
Orioles 13-18	u9	+1.5-166	u9-120	-112

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 03, 2025

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Over 9+100

0.75u

Over 12.5+320

0.25u

K.Bubic o4.5 Ks-150

1.5u

Bubic is at just over a strikeout per inning right now (which we would take here), but his underlying plate discipline stats suggest an elite strikeout pitcher. He's posted a 14% swinging-strike rate and a 30.3% CSW% through 6 starts. He ranks 9th in SwStr% and 12th in CSW% among qualified starters. Baltimore has been one of the worst offenses in the league against lefties this season. It's only 348 plate appearances, but the Orioles rank dead last in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+. They have the 3rd-highest K% at 27%. Tonight's lineup will likely have at least 7 righties in it. Bubic actually has reverse platoon splits, particularly with strikeouts. He's punching out 26.4% of righties compared to 20.5% of lefties.

Under 9-115

KC -125 (F5)

K.Bubic o4.5 Ks-150

1.2u

KC -105

Under 9-120

1.25u

Over 8.5-120

0.6u

Bet to 9 (-104)

KC -104

1.92u

Royals vs Orioles: Back Bubic
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 6-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Orioles' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	12-19	6-9	6-10	5-12	7-7
Royals	17-16	10-6	7-10	8-5	9-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	14-14-3	9-4-2	5-10-1	9-6-2	5-8-1
Royals	11-21-1	6-10	5-11-1	5-8	6-13-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	13-18	8-7	5-11	7-10	6-8
Royals	17-16	11-5	6-11	9-4	8-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	KC	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9	BAL -142
Apr 30th	NYY	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BAL -120
Apr 29th	NYY	L 3-15	+1.5 L	O 9.5	NYY +146
Apr 28th	NYY	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BAL +114
Apr 27th	@DET	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 7.5	DET +205

Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
RF
O'Neill is out with neck
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Ramon Urias
3B
Ramon Urias (hamstring) has been scratched Friday.
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
SP
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LK.Bubic, P	72	5	3
LD.Lynch, P	28	2	1
RL.Erceg, P	20	1	2
RJ.Schreiber, P	8	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, LF	1-3	1	0	0
1D.Waters, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Garcia, 3B	3-3	0	0	1
5M.Massey, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6H.Renfroe, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Biggio, DH	1-3	1	1	1
7M.Canha, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7M.Canha, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8F.Fermin, C	0-3	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Sugano, P	79	6	4	2
RB.Baker, P	8	1	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	16	0.2	0	2
LC.Perez, P	23	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-3	0	0	0
3G.Henderson, SS	3-4	0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5R.O'Hearn, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7H.Kjerstad, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7C.Mayo, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7C.Mayo, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8D.Carlson, LF	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	0-3	0	0	0