Twins vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2025

Twins at Red Sox

8:10 pm • MNNT

Minnesota Twins

15-20

4 - 3

Boston Red Sox

18-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Dobbins			3.78	2-1
B.Ober			3.72	4-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 15-20	-1.5	+1.5-192	o9.5-101	+105
Red Sox 18-18	u9	-1.5+170	u9.5-120	-122

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

May 03, 2025

Fenway ParkBoston

B.Ober u3.5 Earned Runs-150

0.33u

Projecting this closer to 3.1. Also some light rain in forecast which can’t hurt.

BOS -118

1.18u

BOS -115

A.Bregman o0.5 HR+410

0.5u

BOS -110

Fenway flips the switch – Red Sox hit .261 and score 5.87 runs/gm at home vs just 5.06 overall. Devers makes elite contact (2.4% weak contact), Bregman steady behind him. Boston’s 9-6 at home with clear offensive rhythm. Twins 4-14 on road, struggle to match tempo. Pitching leans Boston – 2.93 ERA for Sox starters at home. Dobbins still new, but 42.4% GB rate plays in this park. Ober posts 4.25 ERA on road, lives in the zone (55% Zone%), not ideal in Fenway. Boston’s lineup aggressive early – chance to jump ahead quick. Even if it gets late, Boston holds edge. Fenway’s energy, short fences, and high run environment fuel late rallies.

Over 9.5-110

Red Sox avg 5.87 runs/game at home – up from 5.06 overall. Hit .261 at Fenway, bats click in their park. Twins' starters post 4.25 ERA on road – Ober's 32.4% GB rate risky here. Fenway punishes air contact. His 55% Zone% gives Red Sox aggressive bats room to attack early. Boston starters shine at home (2.93 ERA), but bullpen shows cracks at Fenway (4.67 ERA). Twins have power bats like Buxton, Jeffers who can capitalize late. Over hit in 10 of last 14 Fenway matchups. Park plays big for hitters. Boston’s offense reliable at home, Twins can do their part vs bullpen. Both teams have talent at the plate, both pens exploitable. All signs point to a run-filled night in Boston.

BOS -115

1.15u

H.Dobbins u4.5 Ks-130

1.92u

Over 5 (F5)-125

POD

Over 9-125

1.5u

BOS -108

0.54u

Bet to -120

Twins vs. Red Sox: +435 SGP for Saturday
RBsSportsPlays•
May 3, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 10-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Red Sox' 17 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	17-19	7-10	10-9	13-15	4-4
Twins	18-17	10-5	8-12	12-11	6-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	17-18-1	7-9-1	10-9	12-15-1	5-3
Twins	12-20-3	5-9-1	7-11-2	8-13-2	4-7-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	18-18	9-8	9-10	15-13	3-5
Twins	15-20	9-6	6-14	11-12	4-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	MIN	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 9	BOS -120
May 1st	@TOR	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR -113
Apr 30th	@TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TOR -110
Apr 29th	@TOR	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BOS -141
Apr 27th	@CLE	W 13-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BOS -120

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Willi Castro
IF
Castro is out with oblique
Out
Royce Lewis
IF
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	94	6	6	1
RB.Stewart, P	13	0.1	1	2
RG.Jax, P	7	0.2	0	0
RC.Sands, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Larnach, LF	1-5	0	0	1
2B.Buxton, CF	2-4	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	0-5	1	0	0
4B.Lee, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
5T.France, 1B	0-3	1	0	1
6R.Jeffers, DH	2-4	0	0	0
6D.Keirsey, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6D.Keirsey, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6D.Keirsey, LF	0-0	0	0	0
7K.Clemens, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
8H.Bader, RF	2-4	1	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Dobbins, P	92	5.2	2	4
LB.Bernardino, P	10	0.2	0	0
RG.Weissert, P	31	1.2	0	0
LJ.Wilson, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	2-5	2	1
2R.Devers, DH	3-5	0	2
3A.Bregman, 3B	0-3	0	0
4W.Abreu, RF	0-5	0	0
5T.Story, SS	1-4	0	0
6R.Gonzalez, 1B	3-4	0	0
7D.Hamilton, 2B	1-4	0	0
8C.Wong, C	1-3	1	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	0	0