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Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2023

Celtics at Heat

12:30 am • TNT

Boston Celtics

3-4
104
104 - 103

Miami Heat

4-3
103

Celtics at Heat Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Celtics
3-4
-2-109
o209-110
-125
Heat
4-3
+2-111
u209-110
+105
location pinSunday 12:30 a.m.
May 28, 2023
Kaseya CenterMiami
Celtics vs. Heat Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 60-63-2 (-11.7u)
J.Butler o28.5 Pts-108
1.08u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 217-221-6 (+12.7u)
MIA +100 (2H)
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 105-115-14 (-0.2u)
A.Horford o6.5 Rebs+100
$50.00
Tailing VSauce
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 84-75-5 (+7.9u)
BOS -130
0.77u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 105-115-14 (-0.2u)
MIA +115
$50.00
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 40-37-3 (-0.5u)
Under 208.5-105
3u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 65-81-2 (+0.3u)
J.Tatum o3.5 3pt M+185
0.25u
J.Tatum o4.5 3pt M+500
0.25u
J.Tatum o2.5 3pt M-150
0.5u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 8-4-0 (+3.3u)
J.Brown u5.5 Rebs+116
1u
9 REB in Game 1 because MIA abused double-big targeting Time Lord in PnR, where JB would be left to grab rebound. Since the lineup change, JB has been positioned to defend Gabe/Strus on the perimeter & avg. 4.0 RPG on 7.8 chances (11.6 in reg). Doing so, can allow him to lead transition on TOVs. 7 of the 16 (44%) REB have been offensive, showing there’s been luck. #PlayerProps
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 37-53-2 (-13.5u)
G.Williams o7.5 Pts-105
1u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 8-4-0 (+3.3u)
D.Robinson u8.5 Pts-115
1.15u
Gets 6+ extra MIN in blowouts. Close game = 📉 12-16 MIN tonight. Butler should command more USG, & Vincent is back. Needs to be on fire or else unplayable. Can’t hide him on D bc it costly. #PlayerProps
Joe Metz
Joe Metz
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +125
1u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 8-4-0 (+3.3u)
K.Love u9.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-142
1.42u
Love has been unplayable this series. It would be crazy if he gets the start tonight. I see either Caleb or Highsmith over him. Last game he got 10 of his 12 PRA in garbage time. Expect this game to be close all 48 MIN. #PlayerProps
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 66-74-1 (+16.2u)
Under 210.5-110
1u
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 4-3-0 (+0.7u)
B.Adebayo u17.5 Pts-115
0.87u
This is our highest NBA points edge on our FTN Model at FTNBets.com!
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Brown u32.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-106
1.59u
Easy call to run this back. Was objectively better last game, but still only managed 25 PRA in 37 minutes, on strong shooting numbers, with a solid 28% usage rate. I don’t see a path for Brown to incur more usage - if things get tense, Tatum has been the guy all playoffs. And Brown just isn’t seeing the potential assists or rebounds - you could argue he’s 4th in line for each when he’s on the court. Series shifting back to Miami. Expect the Heat to look to make this a rock fight. A slower/halfcourt game favors Tatum.
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 210.5-110
1u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 37-53-2 (-13.5u)
J.Butler o28.5 Pts-120
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 407-592-16 (-16.5u)
Under 210.5-110
1.45u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 50-41-0 (+9.2u)
M.Smart o2.5 3pt M+160
1.6u
Matthew Vincenzi
Matthew Vincenzi
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
BOS -3-110
1.1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 65-81-2 (+0.3u)
G.Williams o9.5 Pts+200
0.5u
G.Williams o7.5 Pts+100
1u
Best Bets: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-odds-best-bets-expert-picks-celtics-vs-heat-predictions-may-27
J.Butler u6.5 Ast-162
0.65u
Getting down what I can - only at 9.3 potentials per game. Under in the last 4.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 407-592-16 (-16.5u)
BOS -1.5 (1H)-109
1.47u
-104
Under 103.5 (1H)-114
1.6u

Celtics vs. Heat Previews & Analysis

  • NBA First Basket Prop: Tatum, Smart Have Value in Game 6 article feature image

    NBA First Basket Prop: Tatum, Smart Have Value in Game 6

    NBA First Basket•
    May 27, 2023 UTC
  • Celtics vs. Heat Props: 2 Rebounding Props for Game 6 article feature image

    Celtics vs. Heat Props: 2 Rebounding Props for Game 6

    Tyler Schmidt•
    May 27, 2023 UTC
  • Anderson's ECF Betting Card: Pressure Is Building in Game 6 article feature image

    Anderson's ECF Betting Card: Pressure Is Building in Game 6

    brandon.anderson•
    May 27, 2023 UTC
  • Our Staff's Best Bets for Celtics vs. Heat Game 6 article feature image

    Our Staff's Best Bets for Celtics vs. Heat Game 6

    Action Network Staff•
    May 27, 2023 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Celtics vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Celtics

Public

Home Logo

Heat

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Heat are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Heat' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Heat' 41 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat		39-42-122-1917-23-121-2418-18-1
Celtics		38-41-318-2320-18-337-39-31-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Heat		44-3825-1619-2226-1918-19
Celtics		37-4521-2016-2537-420-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat		0-1N/AN/A26-1911-26
Celtics		1-0N/AN/A60-191-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 26th@BOSL 97-110+8.5 LU 215BOS +250
May 24thBOSL 99-116-1.5 LU 216.5BOS -120
May 22ndBOSW 128-102+4.5 WO 214MIA +150
May 20th@BOSW 111-105+9.5 WO 214.5MIA +350
May 18th@BOSW 123-116+8.5 WO 212.5MIA +305

Celtics vs. Heat Injury Updates

Celtics Injuries

  • Torrey Craig
    SF

    Craig is questionable with leg

    Questionable

Heat Injuries

  • Dru Smith
    PG

    Smith is out with achilles

    Out

  • Jaime Jaquez
    PG

    Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) probable Friday.

    Probable

See more NBA Injuries Right Arrow
Player Stats
  • scoring
    player logo
    -
    24
    ppg
  • rebounding
    player logo
    -
    15
    rpg
  • assists
    player logo
    -
    8
    apg
  • shooting
    player logo
    -
    53.8
    fg%
Team Stats

34-77 (44%)
Field Goals
33-93 (35%)
29-34 (85%)
Free Throws
23-29 (79%)
7-35 (20%)
3P
14-30 (47%)
46
Rebounds
47
18
Assists
22
12
Turnovers
5
4
Steals
5
8
Blocks
3
22
Fouls
24

Celtics vs. Heat Odds Comparison

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Celtics at Heat Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Celtics
3-4
N/A
N/A
Heat
4-3
N/A
N/A