Heat vs. Bucks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2023

Heat at Bucks

1:00 am • NBA TV

Miami Heat

4-1

122

122 - 138

Milwaukee Bucks

1-4

138

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 4-1	+5.5-108	o216.5-108	+190
Bucks 1-4	-5.5-112	u216.5-107	-235

Thursday 1:00 a.m.

April 20, 2023

Fiserv ForumMilwaukee

K.Middleton o31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

1.1u

G.Vincent o10.5 Pts-109

Under 254.5 (Live)-104

J.Butler u27.5 Pts-110

0.91u

B.Lopez u25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

1.15u

MGM. This turns into a gross matchup for him vs Bam. In two games without Giannis vs MIA, he put up 11 and 18 PRA.

MIL -5-113

MIL -5.5-110

B.Lopez o16.5 Pts-110

Bet at Bet365. #Tailing @PropBomb

B.Lopez o16.5 Pts-110

I expect a more aggressive Lopez tonight for Game 2. Giannis OUT. 17+ PTS in 12 of L15 games w/o him playoff 32+ Min. Bud will be forced to play him heavy min. He avg. 20.5 PPG Per-36 MIN w/ Jrue + Middleton ON court. Height advantage on switches away from Bam. #PlayerProps

J.Holiday o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.3u

Adding a bit more without Giannis

J.Holiday o19.5 Pts-115

0.43u

J.Holiday o24.5 Pts+250

0.4u

J.Butler u28.5 Pts-120

I expect MIL to make adjustments against Butler. Herro OUT means Jrue can focus 100% on coverage. With Giannis likely playing, that can put another defender on traps/doubles. And a -8.5 spread could limit ceiling. #PlayerProps

MIL -2.5 (1Q)-110

$90.91

J.Holiday o30.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.58u

B.Adebayo o12.5 Rebs+Ast-127

J.Holiday o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-114

0.88u

M.Strus o5.5 Rebs+Ast-133

0.75u

J.Holiday o18.5 Pts-108

J.Holiday o31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-113

0.88u

@ChrisRaybon

G.Allen o14.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-127

0.79u

@ChrisRaybon

MIL -2.5 (1Q)-110

0.45u

M.Strus o18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

G.Vincent o2.5 Ast-129

0.23u

MIL -2.5 (1Q)+100

$110.00

MIL -250

G.Allen o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-117

0.85u

Will break it down on GDD at 3pm ET on our YouTube.

J.Holiday o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.87u

Will break it down on GDD at 3pm ET on our YouTube.

MIL -6-110

0.91u

MIL -6.5-110

MIL -255

MIL -6-110

Check the hundreds ringer gambling podcast

MIL -2 (1Q)-108

It’s all about the spot. #FearTheDeer

MIL -3.5 (1Q)+100

Buckets pod @JayMoneyIsMoney23 bounce back tail

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Bucks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Bucks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bucks are 16-24 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bucks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 23 of Bucks' 42 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bucks	35-47	19-23	16-24	29-38	6-9
Heat	40-39-3	16-25	24-14-3	23-21-3	17-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bucks	41-41	23-19	18-22	36-31	5-10
Heat	35-47	21-20	14-27	23-24	12-23

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bucks	2-4	N/A	N/A	45-22	4-11
Heat	1-4	N/A	N/A	35-12	11-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	MIA	L 117-130	-9 L	O 221	MIA -437
Apr 9th	@TOR	L 105-121	+3.5 L	O 221	TOR +140
Apr 8th	MEM	L 116-137	+9 L	O 231	MEM +300
Apr 5th	CHI	W 105-92	-5 W	U 230	MIL -210
Apr 4th	@WAS	W 140-128	-14 L	O 230.5	MIL -1074

Josh Richardson
PG
Josh Richardson (heel) out Saturday.
Out
Jimmy Butler
SF
Jimmy Butler (suspension) out Monday.
Out
Dru Smith
PG
Smith is out with achilles
Out

Jaime Jaquez
SG
Jaquez is probable with illness
Probable

Bobby Portis
SF
Bobby Portis (personal) out Saturday.
Out
Khris Middleton
SF
Khris Middleton (injury management) probable Tuesday.
Probable
Gary Trent
PG
Trent is probable with hip
Probable
AJ Green
PG
AJ Green (quad) out Tuesday.
Out