Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds & Betting Predictions - November 13, 2024

Mavericks at Warriors

3:00 am • TNT

Dallas Mavericks

16-9

117

117 - 120

Golden State Warriors

14-9

120

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 16-9	+1.5	+2.5-108	o235-112	+120
Warriors 14-9	u230.5	-2.5-112	u235-110	-141

Wednesday 3:00 a.m.

November 13, 2024

Chase CenterSan Francisco

L.Doncic o39.5 Pts (Live)+185

0.8u

Luca is in rhythm and they trail the #Warriors entering the 4th quarter. I expect Luca to increase his volume on the offensive side of the ball. More volume = more opportunities to score.

GSW +114 (Live)

2.28u

DAL +2.5-110

1.1u

DAL +124

🔑 Mavericks ML +124 (FanDuel) 2u This game is gonna mean something to Klay, more than it will for the warriors to beat the Mavs. That stuff plays a factor. Even on paper the Mavs are better than Warriors. Give me the Mavs at +money all day

D.Green o5.5 Rebs-120

S.Curry o4.5 Rebs+106

1.06u

Under 119.5 (1H)-115

1.15u

T.Jackson-Davis o5.5 Rebs+Ast-125

L.Doncic o45.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.55u

D.Melton o17.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.87u

L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-125

0.8u

K.Thompson o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.91u

Klay makes his return to Golden State

D.Green o12.5 Pts+Rebs-125

0.8u

Fliff

K.Thompson o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-112

S.Curry o9.5 Rebs+Ast-130

0.77u

Curry has thrived in this matchup against the Mavericks. He has averaged 5.2 rebounds and 7.3 assists in six regular season games against the Mavericks over the last few seasons. His RA line is set at 9.5 and he’s exceeded that mark in 14 of his last 15 games against the Mavericks. This line is a touch low as Curry had been getting his legs back under him after he returned from injury, but last game against OKC he played a season-high 36 minutes. When Curry has played at least 30 minutes, he has averaged 11.3 RA and exceeded this 9.5 mark in 14 of his last 20 games with this criteria in the regular season. More importantly, he’s 2/2 this season with 16 and 12 RA against top tier opponents in the Celtics and the Thunder. Dallas is about league average for opponent assists allowed per game but they allow the third most rebounds per game to their opponents. Considering this is a Cup game, I think we have slightly less concerns regarding blowouts as teams compete for the point differential here. I’ll back Curry to exceed 9.5 RA.

Under 233.5-110

0.27u

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NBA Public Betting

Warriors are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Warriors are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Warriors are 7-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Warriors' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Warriors' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	13-9-1	6-4-1	7-5	7-6	6-3-1
Mavericks	14-10-1	7-4	7-6-1	9-7	5-3-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Warriors	11-12	5-6	6-6	6-7	5-5
Mavericks	14-11	4-7	10-4	6-10	8-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	14-9	N/A	N/A	9-4	5-5
Mavericks	16-9	N/A	N/A	11-5	5-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 11th	@OKC	W 127-116	+6.5 W	O 228	GSW +207
Nov 9th	@CLE	L 117-136	-	-	-
Nov 7th	@BOS	W 118-112	+7 W	O 228.5	GSW +220
Nov 5th	@WAS	W 125-112	-11 W	O 234	GSW -575
Nov 3rd	@HOU	W 127-121	+5 W	O 216	GSW +158