Nuggets vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2023
Nuggets at Heat
12:30 am • ABCNuggets at Heat Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nuggets 4-1 | -3-110 | o211.5-110 | -146 | |
 Heat 1-4 | +3-110 | u211.5-110 | +124 | |
Kaseya CenterMiami
Nuggets vs. Heat Expert Picks
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA -195 (4Q)
1.5u
Milly Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
M.Porter o17.5 Pts+Rebs-110
1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 10-18-0 (-9.6u)
MIA +2.5 (Live)-112
1.5u
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 12-15-2 (+0.3u)
MIA +4-130
0.35u
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 48-89-0 (-43.4u)
Under 211.5-110
0.91u
Follow all my bets at FTNBets.com!
Anders
Last 30d: 10-8-0 (-0.3u)
Under 106.5 (1H)-110
1u
MIA +1.5 (1H)-110
1.1u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 6-3-0 (+2.7u)
J.Butler o26.5 Pts-130
1.3u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 15-26-0 (-29.4u)
Over 211.5-105
2.1u
MIA +3-105
2.1u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 6-3-0 (+2.7u)
G.Vincent o12.5 Pts-125
1.25u
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 1-2-0 (-1.7u)
K.Caldwell-Pope u1.5 Ast-170
1u
Under in 2-of-3 this series and 6-of-8 playoff road games overall. Could also lose some minutes to Braun.
D.Robinson u1.5 Ast-250
1u
Under in 15-of-20 (75%) playoff games.
A.Gordon u12.5 Pts-125
1u
12 or less in 5-of-8 playoff road games and hasn't cleared this since Love began starting.
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 106.5 (1H)-106
2.36u
MIA +110 (1Q)
1.65u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 10-18-0 (-9.6u)
Over 210.5-110
1u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 17-13-1 (-0.8u)
MIA +3.5-110
0.5u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.3u)
D.Robinson u7.5 Pts-130
1.3u
-180 on DK. Min. trending down as MIA tightens rotation. DEN looks to have figured him out & are staying home on shooters, navigating screens better. Caleb + Highsmith can keep him off the court if he’s a liability. #PlayerProps
Jay Money
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +3.5-110
1.1u
I think I read the script right.
MIA +1.5 (1H)-112
1.12u
I think I read the script right
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.3u)
J.Murray u25.5 Pts-108
1u
Easiest way MIA can adjust is to stop him & not Jokic. 20 PTS in 1st half & 6 FTs in garbage time. In 2nd half, MIA went small to hedge, blitz, & trap Jamal early in halfcourt poss. More Highsmith min. could help too. #PlayerProps
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 6-3-0 (+2.7u)
MIA +3.5-110
1.1u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 2-3-0 (-1.3u)
Over 211.5-110
1.1u
MIA +3.5-110
1.1u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 178-175-4 (+6.7u)
DEN o106.5-118
0.5u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +3.5-110
1.1u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.3u)
C.Braun o4.5 Pts-105
1.05u
Not your typical “Rookie”. Coming off 15 PTS & benefits off cuts in the weakside of Miami’s zone coverage. His toolset & defense are made for this series unlike vs. LAL. Malone & players continue to rave about him. #PlayerProps
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 15-15-2 (+0.0u)
B.Brown o9.5 Pts-125
0.8u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.3u)
J.Butler o26.5 Pts-110
1.43u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 38-43-5 (-6.0u)
DEN o117.5+500
0.5u
Shortest rest spot of the Finals and I think that should impact Miami’s ability to defend even moreso. Can see Denver looking to push the Pace and get out in transition.
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 2-7-0 (-2.3u)
J.Butler Double-Double (Yes)+330
0.3u
C.Martin o14.5 Pts+500
0.25u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 38-43-5 (-6.0u)
J.Murray o9.5 Ast+255
0.51u
J.Murray o7.5 Ast-120
0.83u
Jamal Murray has been incredible throughout the NBA Finals. While he’s an elite scoring threat, his proficiency as a passer has shone through.
Murray has recorded 10 assists in each game so far on 18 potential assists per game. The Nuggets are crushing the Heat with the Murray/Jokic Pick and Roll, and Murray is averaging 5.7 assists just to Jokic! This is a huge advantage Denver has and I expect them to continue using this successful play.
Murray’s assists prop has climbed in each game so far and now is at 7.5, but it’s simply not high enough given Murray’s usage. I’ll take the 7.5 assists and also play 10+ at (+255 DK). There’s a bit more value in the 10+ than Double Double because Murray’s rebounding has seen an uptick but generally, he’d be getting that through the assists.
DEN o106.5-115
0.65u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 10-18-0 (-9.6u)
N.Jokic u54.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
0.87u
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 18-23-1 (-2.5u)
DEN o106.5-115
0.65u
Love this angle from two of the crew on BUCKETS today
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 15-15-2 (+0.0u)
K.Lowry o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-113
0.88u
N.Jokic o12.5 Rebs-132
1u
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 18-23-1 (-2.5u)
K.Love o1.5 3pt M+140
0.35u
BetUS
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 15-15-2 (+0.0u)
G.Vincent o12.5 Pts-122
1u
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 1-2-0 (-1.7u)
Under 106.5 (1H)-110
0.91u
Finals Game 4 1H under 14-4 (78%) since 2005, including 10-0 when home down 2-1.
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 210.5-110
2.2u
Nuggets vs. Heat Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nuggets vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Heat are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Heat' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Heat' 41 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Heat Injury Updates
Nuggets Injuries
- Bruce BrownPG
Bruce Brown (knee) out Friday.
Out
- Cameron JohnsonPF
Cam Johnson (low back contusion) ruled out Monday.
Out
- DaRon HolmesSF
Holmes is out with achilles
Out
Heat Injuries
- Dru SmithSG
Smith is out with achilles
Out
- Jaime JaquezSF
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) probable Friday.
Probable
Player Stats
- scoring
-25ppg - rebounding
Bam Adebayo11rpg - assists-7apg
- shooting-71.4fg%
Team Stats
Nuggets vs. Heat Odds Comparison
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Nuggets at Heat Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Nuggets 4-1 | N/A | N/A |
Heat 1-4 | N/A | N/A |