Nuggets vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2023
Nuggets at Heat
12:30 am • ABCNuggets at Heat Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets 4-1 | -3-110 | o211.5-110 | -146 | |
Heat 1-4 | +3-110 | u211.5-110 | +124 |
Saturday 12:30 a.m.
June 10, 2023Kaseya CenterMiami
Nuggets vs. Heat Expert Picks
Matt Moore
567d ago
Last 30d: 89-109-2 (-1.2u)
MIA -195 (4Q)
1.5u
Milly Props
567d ago
Last 30d: 2-5-1 (-3.3u)
M.Porter o17.5 Pts+Rebs-110
1u
Mjaybrod
568d ago
Last 30d: 165-146-0 (+20.3u)
MIA +2.5 (Live)-112
1.5u
Jeremiah Rose
568d ago
Last 30d: 46-32-0 (+11.6u)
MIA +4-130
0.35u
Mike Randle
568d ago
Last 30d: 17-13-0 (+2.6u)
Under 211.5-110
0.91u
Follow all my bets at FTNBets.com!
Anders
568d ago
Last 30d: 22-26-0 (-2.8u)
Under 106.5 (1H)-110
1u
MIA +1.5 (1H)-110
1.1u
YBK Picks.com
568d ago
Last 30d: 47-51-2 (-12.7u)
MIA +3-105
2.1u
Over 211.5-105
2.1u
Chris Raybon
568d ago
Last 30d: 13-19-0 (-6.5u)
K.Caldwell-Pope u1.5 Ast-170
1u
Under in 2-of-3 this series and 6-of-8 playoff road games overall. Could also lose some minutes to Braun.
D.Robinson u1.5 Ast-250
1u
Under in 15-of-20 (75%) playoff games.
A.Gordon u12.5 Pts-125
1u
12 or less in 5-of-8 playoff road games and hasn't cleared this since Love began starting.
Nico Terpak
568d ago
Last 30d: 29-17-0 (+11.5u)
DEN o106.5-120
$100.00
Matt Moore
568d ago
Last 30d: 89-109-2 (-1.2u)
Under 106.5 (1H)-106
2.36u
MIA +110 (1Q)
1.65u
Mjaybrod
568d ago
Last 30d: 165-146-0 (+20.3u)
Over 210.5-110
1u
Stuck 🚨
568d ago
Last 30d: 71-59-2 (+1.9u)
MIA +3.5-110
0.5u
Prop Bomb 🏝
568d ago
Last 30d: 10-6-0 (+3.0u)
D.Robinson u7.5 Pts-130
1.3u
-180 on DK. Min. trending down as MIA tightens rotation. DEN looks to have figured him out & are staying home on shooters, navigating screens better. Caleb + Highsmith can keep him off the court if he’s a liability. #PlayerProps
Prop Bet Guy
568d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Butler u40.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-122
1u
Just too high of a number with the pace of this series. To put the pace into context - these teams are averaging less than 91 possessions per game, more than 5 possessions slower than the slowest team in the NBA this season. So the bump in Butler’s minutes really doesn’t weigh as heavy in my mind.
I know the role is big, but he’s really struggled from an efficiency standpoint on his drives, and Denver has been pretty good closing out on shooters this series. I know Miami will continue to hunt the smaller matchups for Jimmy, but I do expect that to be a defensive focal point/adjustment today. Jimmy hasn’t got much going vs AG at all.
In the 14 games since his ankle injury: averaging 36.5 PRA, under in 8/14, incl 3/3 vs DEN.
Joe Metz
568d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Martin o5.5 Rebs+Ast-125
1u
Jay Money
568d ago
Last 30d: 22-16-3 (+1.9u)
MIA +3.5-110
1.1u
I think I read the script right.
MIA +1.5 (1H)-112
1.12u
I think I read the script right
Prop Bomb 🏝
568d ago
Last 30d: 10-6-0 (+3.0u)
J.Murray u25.5 Pts-108
1u
Easiest way MIA can adjust is to stop him & not Jokic. 20 PTS in 1st half & 6 FTs in garbage time. In 2nd half, MIA went small to hedge, blitz, & trap Jamal early in halfcourt poss. More Highsmith min. could help too. #PlayerProps
Green Dot Daily
568d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
MIA +110 (1Q)
1.1u
@HPBasketball
Under 106.5 (1H)-112
0.89u
@HPBasketball
Sean Zerillo
568d ago
Last 30d: 23-35-0 (-1.4u)
DEN o106.5-118
0.5u
Prop Bomb 🏝
568d ago
Last 30d: 10-6-0 (+3.0u)
C.Braun o4.5 Pts-105
1.05u
Not your typical “Rookie”. Coming off 15 PTS & benefits off cuts in the weakside of Miami’s zone coverage. His toolset & defense are made for this series unlike vs. LAL. Malone & players continue to rave about him. #PlayerProps
Markus Markets
568d ago
Last 30d: 67-75-1 (+8.8u)
B.Brown o9.5 Pts-125
0.8u
Prop Bomb 🏝
568d ago
Last 30d: 10-6-0 (+3.0u)
J.Butler o26.5 Pts-110
1.43u
Write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-today-bet-jimmy-butler-nuggets-vs-heat-june-9
Tanner McGrath
568d ago
Last 30d: 123-94-6 (+10.4u)
DEN -3.5-110
1u
DEN o107.5-110
1u
Sandy Plashkes
568d ago
Last 30d: 111-122-3 (-9.0u)
N.Jokic u30.5 Pts-109
$50.00
MIA +3.5-110
$55.00
Joe Dellera
568d ago
Last 30d: 65-71-6 (+2.5u)
DEN o117.5+500
0.5u
Shortest rest spot of the Finals and I think that should impact Miami’s ability to defend even moreso. Can see Denver looking to push the Pace and get out in transition.
Gilles Gallant
568d ago
Last 30d: 38-76-0 (+1.8u)
J.Butler Double-Double (Yes)+330
0.3u
C.Martin o14.5 Pts+500
0.25u
Raheem Palmer
568d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DEN -3.5-110
1u
DEN o106.5-115
1u
Joe Dellera
568d ago
Last 30d: 65-71-6 (+2.5u)
J.Murray o9.5 Ast+255
0.51u
Best Bets: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-finals-odds-best-bets-expert-picks-nuggets-vs-heat-predictions-june-9
J.Murray o7.5 Ast-120
0.83u
Jamal Murray has been incredible throughout the NBA Finals. While he’s an elite scoring threat, his proficiency as a passer has shone through.
Murray has recorded 10 assists in each game so far on 18 potential assists per game. The Nuggets are crushing the Heat with the Murray/Jokic Pick and Roll, and Murray is averaging 5.7 assists just to Jokic! This is a huge advantage Denver has and I expect them to continue using this successful play.
Murray’s assists prop has climbed in each game so far and now is at 7.5, but it’s simply not high enough given Murray’s usage. I’ll take the 7.5 assists and also play 10+ at (+255 DK). There’s a bit more value in the 10+ than Double Double because Murray’s rebounding has seen an uptick but generally, he’d be getting that through the assists.
DEN o106.5-115
0.65u
Mjaybrod
569d ago
Last 30d: 165-146-0 (+20.3u)
N.Jokic u54.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
0.87u
Markus Markets
569d ago
Last 30d: 67-75-1 (+8.8u)
K.Lowry o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-113
0.88u
N.Jokic o12.5 Rebs-132
1u
Green Dot Daily
569d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
DEN o106.5-115
0.87u
@wheatonbrando
Markus Markets
569d ago
Last 30d: 67-75-1 (+8.8u)
G.Vincent o12.5 Pts-122
1u
Chris Raybon
569d ago
Last 30d: 13-19-0 (-6.5u)
Under 106.5 (1H)-110
0.91u
Finals Game 4 1H under 14-4 (78%) since 2005, including 10-0 when home down 2-1.
Matt Moore
569d ago
Last 30d: 89-109-2 (-1.2u)
Over 210.5-110
2.2u
Nuggets vs. Heat Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nuggets vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Heat are 24-14 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Heat' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Heat' 41 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Heat Injury Updates
Nuggets Injuries
- Aaron GordonSF
Gordon is out with calf
Out
- Jamal MurrayPG
Murray is probable with ankle
Probable
- Vlatko CancarSF
Cancar is out with knee
Out
Heat Injuries
- Jimmy ButlerSF
Jimmy Butler (conditioning) out Thursday.
Out
- Dru SmithPG
Smith is out with achilles
Out
Player Stats
- scoringJimmy Butler25ppg
- reboundingBam Adebayo11rpg
- assistsJimmy Butler7apg
- shootingDuncan Robinson71.4fg%
Team Stats
Nuggets vs. Heat Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Nuggets at Heat Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Nuggets 4-1 | N/A | N/A |
Heat 1-4 | N/A | N/A |