Heat vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - May 30, 2023

Heat at Celtics

12:30 am • TNT

Miami Heat

4-3

103

103 - 84

Boston Celtics

3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 4-3	+7.5-112	o204-112	+230
Celtics 3-4	-7.5-108	u204-110	-290

Tuesday 12:30 a.m.

May 30, 2023

TD GardenBoston

BOS +168 (Live)

0.35u

Over 99 (2H)-110

0.3u

BOS +3.5 (Live)-120

1.2u

BOS +3 (Live)-112

MIA +176 (Live)

0.88u

G.Vincent u2.5 Ast+125

$40.00

D.White o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+100

Under 204-107

$93.46

A.Horford o1.5 Stl+Blk-160

BOS -7-110

1.1u

Tailing @wheatonbrando

MIA +7.5-111

Over 202-130

1.3u

MIA +7.5-105

Under 204-105

Under 204.5-110

C.Martin o2.5 3pt M+145

1.45u

Follow me on Twitter @Reno_Jonny Instagram RenoJonny10 All my plays are at Vegasinsider.

BOS -7.5-110

1.1u

A.Horford o9.5 Rebs+425

0.25u

Under 204-110

0.45u

Bet365 3:27.

B.Adebayo u30.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

Fully turning the corner on Bam after being on him earlier in this series. Game 7s are typically slower paced, defensively focused games. Slow paced usually means less touches for big men - and I don’t see the Celtics attacking Bam’s matchups. Under this line in each of the L4 as is.

MIA +245

1.23u

MIA u98.5-120

1.2u

MIA o98.5-110

0.91u

BOS -7-110

It’s time

J.Butler u28.5 Pts-125

0.6u

J.Brown o2.5 3pt M+145

BOS -3.5 (1H)-115

Let’s get this Celtics party started: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-odds-picks-predictions-bets-heat-vs-celtics-game-7-may-29-nba-playoffs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson

BOS -7-110

Under 203.5-110

J.Butler u14.5 Rebs+Ast-120

0.83u

Follow all my picks at FTNBets.com!

D.White u14.5 Pts-127

1.27u

High #. Series-low 11.0 USG% Game 6 despite being w/o Brogdon. White takes 73% of his C&S shots from behind the arc. His 3PT line is 2.5. He’s shooting 56% (38% szn avg.) Regression coming. MIA won’t play full Zone. #PlayerProps

J.Butler u6.5 Ast-148

Hits in 11 of L13 playoff games vs. BOS. 1 AST in Game 7 last year. Can’t afford to be passive, has to be a scorer. Most AST are Spot-Up 3s where BOS defends well. Caleb went 3-6 from 3PT (U2.5 3PT is -172). 209.5 O/U. #PlayerProps

BOS -7-110

$55.00

D.Robinson o8.5 Pts-104

$50.00

A.Horford o1.5 Stl+Blk-150

Al Horford has had his ups and downs during this series but it seems as if Boston has returned to using Big Al as the primary big man in these games with 31 minutes in Game 6 and his minutes increasing in each of Boston’s 3 wins to force a Game 7. Horford’s versatility on both offense and defense is what makes him so valuable and keeps him on the floor. Despite some concerns about his shot not falling, he is still an excellent rim protector while clogging passing lanes. He has now had back-to-back games with 2 stocks and has 2+ on 4/6 this series as well as 9/12 vs Miami the last two Playoffs. As long as the minutes are there, he’s good on this number, and has exceeded 1.5 stocks in 84% of Playoff Games this season.

D.Robinson o7.5 Pts-132

0.38u

Over in 4 of his last 5 and he was playing late in the 4Q. Love was a DNP and Duncan split almost evenly with Strus. Think they need his shotmaking in this spot. 9/9 this Postseason when playing more than 15 mins and given his play in the 4Q where he played all 12, I think he’s earned the nod on Game 7.

BOS o104.5-125

0.5u

Boston puts up numbers when they win, 110+ in 9/11 Playoff wins. Coming off their worst eFG% in a win during the Playoffs and they still scored 104 in Game 6.

Under 203.5-110

1.45u

Under 204.5-110

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NBA Public Betting

Celtics are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Celtics are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Celtics are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Celtics' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Celtics' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	42-36-4	23-17-1	19-19-3	41-34-4	1-2
Heat	40-39-3	16-25	24-14-3	23-21-3	17-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Celtics	43-38-1	22-19	21-19-1	42-36-1	1-2
Heat	35-47	21-20	14-27	23-24	12-23

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	16-3	N/A	N/A	63-16	1-2
Heat	1-4	N/A	N/A	35-12	11-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 28th	@MIA	W 104-103	-2 L	U 209	BOS -125
May 26th	MIA	W 110-97	-8.5 W	U 215	BOS -310
May 24th	@MIA	W 116-99	+1.5 W	U 216.5	BOS +100
May 22nd	@MIA	L 102-128	-4.5 L	O 214	MIA -180
May 20th	MIA	L 105-111	-9.5 L	O 214.5	MIA -450