Timberwolves vs. Kings Odds & Betting Predictions - October 25, 2024

Timberwolves at Kings

2:00 am • NBCS-CA

Minnesota Timberwolves

31-26

117

117 - 115

Sacramento Kings

28-28

115

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Timberwolves 31-26	+1	-1-106	o222-110	-112
Kings 28-28	u227.5	+1-114	u222-112	-108

Friday 2:00 a.m.

October 25, 2024

Golden 1 CenterSacramento

SAC -108

MIN -112

J.Randle o31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.91u

Massive mismatch vs a soft SAC paint defense

D.Sabonis o36.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-119

R.Gobert o11.5 Pts-122

A.Edwards To Score 25+ Points Yes-125

M.Conley o4.5 Ast+114

5.79% ev

D.Fox o4.5 Ast-110

0.82u

4.5% ev

MIN -112

Under 222-105

R.Gobert o12.5 Pts+110

1.7u

4.05% ev

M.Monk u3.5 Ast+110

Bob

MIN -1-108

0.93u

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M.Conley u1.5 3pt M-109

Bob

J.Randle o19.5 Pts+110

1.21u

6.09% ev

R.Gobert o12.5 Rebs-120

1.2u

Like this spot for Rudy after 14 boards vs LAL. It’s a matchup he’s thrived in (14+ in 6/7 vs Sabonis since joining MIN), and it’s a tougher spot for Randle to rebound in, as he’ll be on the wing defending Murray (or even DeRozan). The Kings were a bottom 8 spot for rebounds vs forwards last season.

MIN o54.5 Team Total (1H)-110

0.91u

42 in the 1H vs LA

R.Gobert o12.5 Rebs-115

0.58u

#Tailing @JoeDellera

R.Gobert o12.5 Rebs-118

Rudy Gobert absolutely dominates against Domantas Sabonis. He’s exceeded this rebounds line of 12.5 in 6 of his last 7 H2H matchups against Sabonis with the miss coming at 11. He’s averaged 14.6 during this stretch. Gobert is an anchor in the paint and Sabonis’ game simply allows him to stay here on both sides of the ball without much recourse. Running the numbers from the first game of the Julius Randle experience, Gobert saw no discernible difference in his rebounding numbers. I think KAT and Randle were similar in their effect and Randle played alongside true 5s such as Mitchell Robinson and did not affect his rebounding much at all either. I’ll back Gobert to exceed 12.5 rebounds in this spot.

J.Randle o31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-122

J.Randle o18.5 Pts-113

MIN -125

0.8u

Under 227.5-105

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Timberwolves struggled offensively in their opener, shooting poorly from the field, but their strong defense held the Lakers to 110 points. The Kings, aiming for a playoff return, ranked mid-tier in both offense and defense last season. Both teams play at a slower pace and are coming off low-scoring trends, suggesting this game may result in a lower total score.

J.Randle o33.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+120

1.2u

5.18% ev

D.DiVincenzo o16.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118

FanDuel

J.McDaniels o9.5 Pts-103

1.03u

I’ll buy low after he got killed by foul trouble vs the Lakers. He’s crushed this matchup previously - 20+ in 3/3 last season, and 10+ in 7/L7. Kings leave him open - last season he took 42 shots in 125 mins against them, a 15% increase vs the rest of the league. Foul trouble will always be a thing with him - but I’ll take the risk here. He did take 8 shots in 16 mins vs the Lakers, and the Wolves have been vocal about him taking on more offensively.

MIN +100

0.25u

Teams that lost the first game on the road and are on the road again are 32-19 ATS since 2009.

Featured Insight
The Timberwolves shot 39% from three on the road last season -- T-3rd-best in the NBA; the Kings allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three at home last season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds/game last season -- best in the NBA; the Timberwolves averaged 15.2 offensive rebounds per game last season -- T-7th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Kings are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Kings are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Kings are 11-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Kings' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Kings' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Kings	19-33-4	8-17-3	11-16-1	14-23-4	5-10
Timberwolves	24-32-1	9-19-1	15-13	16-27	8-5-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Kings	31-24-1	16-11-1	15-13	20-20-1	11-4
Timberwolves	30-27	15-14	15-13	21-22	9-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Kings	28-28	N/A	N/A	23-18	5-10
Timberwolves	31-26	N/A	N/A	25-18	6-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 18th	@LAC	L 91-113	+1.5 L	U 216.5	LAC +102
Oct 16th	@UTA	L 114-117	-3.5 L	O 225.5	UTA -175
Oct 13th	POR	L 85-105	-6 L	U 216.5	POR -238
Oct 12th	@GSW	L 106-109	-2 L	U 226.5	GSW -125
Oct 10th	GSW	L 112-122	-4 L	O 226.5	GSW -170