Montana St vs. K State Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2023
Montana St at K State
1:56 am • CBSMontana St at K State Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Montana St 15-18 | +7.5-110 | o139.5-115 | +280 | |
 K State 16-17 | -7.5-110 | u139.5-110 | -375 | |
First Horizon ColiseumGreensboro
Montana St vs. K State Expert Picks
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 80-97-3 (+8.3u)
KSU -7.5-110
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 42-33-3 (+9.4u)
MTST +8-105
2.1u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 72-82-1 (+18.3u)
MTST +7.5-108
1.08u
The Great Foosini
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KSU -7.5-110
0.91u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-5-1 (+2.5u)
MTST +280
0.5u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 35-29-0 (+7.7u)
R.Battle u1.5 Ast-130
1u
He’s only cleared this in 5 of 18 conference games where Montana St was averaging 71.3 ppg. With a team total of 66 it’s even less likely he clears this number. Plus, Kansas St sends their opponents to the line at a very high rate and generate a lot of turnovers. Both factors hurt Battles assist chances here and we are projecting him closer to 1.1 with a 70% chance to stay under 1.5
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 15-48-0 (-7.1u)
R.Battle u1.5 Ast-130
1u
MGM/DK ... on this with @The_Oddsmaker so see his writeup. So far we are undefeated this tourney when on the same prop.
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 35-29-0 (+7.7u)
D.Sills u4.5 Rebs-128
1u
FanDuel: Montana St. gets to the line at the 5th highest rate in the country, leans on 2 point attempts from the field, and plays at a slow pace. All 3 factors will likely lead to fewer rebound chances for Sills. Projecting this closer to 3.6 with a 68% chance of staying under
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 110-124-16 (-4.2u)
MTST +8-110
$55.00
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Brown o5.5 Rebs+121
1u
Projection - 5.9: For more, check out BettingPros.
Big Bets On Campus (CBB)
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MTST +8.5-110
1u
#stuckey @Stuckey2
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 89-82-5 (+4.9u)
MTST +8.5-110
1u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 225-253-5 (-12.1u)
MTST +7.5-110
1.1u
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-2.8u)
MTST +7.5-110
1.1u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-5-1 (+2.5u)
MTST +8-110
0.55u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 188-184-20 (+2.0u)
MTST +8.5-105
0.26u
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 4-16-1 (-2.9u)
MTST +9-115
0.6u
Pro Report +3 w $%
Anders
Last 30d: 7-5-1 (+2.5u)
MTST +9-115
1.15u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 18-12-0 (+3.0u)
MTST +9-110
0.5u
From live show
Montana St vs. K State Previews & Analysis
Montana St vs. K State Notes
Bracket Predictions
Montana St. is the public's trendiest No. 14 seed upset pick, showing up in 11% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, No. 3 seeds like Kansas State are 71-9 against No. 14 seeds like Montana St. in the First Round (88.8% win rate, breakeven moneyline -789).
No. 3 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 44-35-1 ATS (55.6% cover rate, average spread -11.0).
The only appearance by No. 14 Montana St. in the past 20 NCAA tournaments was when they broke a long drought last year. They lost their only game, both straight up and against the spread.
The No. 3 vs. No. 14 matchup has gone under the full game total 62.5% of the time (50-30, average over/under line 139.0).
No. 3 Kansas State has played in nine of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 10-9 straight up and 8-10-1 against the spread in 19 total games.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Montana St vs. K State Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- K State are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- K State are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- K State are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of K State' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 8 of K State' 20 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-16 | 10-10 | 7-6 | 6-9 | 11-7 |
| 13-19 | 7-6 | 6-13 | 11-9 | 2-10 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-21 | 8-12 | 4-9 | 6-9 | 6-12 |
| 16-16 | 6-7 | 10-9 | 10-10 | 6-6 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16-17 | N/A | N/A | 10-5 | 6-12 |
| 15-18 | N/A | N/A | 14-6 | 0-12 |
Last 5 Matchups
Montana St vs. K State Injury Updates
Montana St Injuries
- Brandon WalkerF
Walker is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
K State Injuries
- Coleman HawkinsF
Hawkins is questionable with knee
Questionable
Team Stats
25-54 (46%)
Field Goals
32-55 (58%)
9-17 (53%)
Free Throws
9-12 (75%)
6-21 (29%)
3P
4-15 (27%)
20
Rebounds
25
14
Assists
21
15
Turnovers
14
8
Steals
9
3
Blocks
3
13
Fouls
16
Montana St vs. K State Odds Comparison
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Montana St at K State Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Montana St 15-18 | N/A | N/A |
K State 16-17 | N/A | N/A |