Bills vs. Eagles Odds & Betting Predictions - November 26, 2023

Bills at Eagles

9:25 pm • CBS

Buffalo Bills

3-2

34 - 37

Philadelphia Eagles

3-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bills 3-2	+3	+2.5-105	o48.5-110	+124
Eagles 3-2	u48.5	-2.5-115	u48.5-110	-142

Sunday 9:25 p.m.

November 26, 2023

Lincoln Financial FieldPhiladelphia

PHI +6.5 (Live)-110

0.5u

Gonna try and middle this game.

BUF +6.5 (Live)+100

0.5u

BUF +3-120

K.Shakir o31.5 Rec Yds-113

Read why: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/khalil-shakir-player-props-bet-for-bills-vs-eagles

A.Brown Anytime TD Scorer+110

1.1u

A.Brown o81.5 Rec Yds-119

1.79u

J.Allen Anytime TD Scorer+230

1.15u

S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer+125

0.63u

PHI -2.5-116

1.5u

BUF +140

0.89u

From ringer wise guys today. Forgot to put this in

BUF +130

J.Allen u0.5 Int+130

Over 48.5-110

0.91u

BUF +3-105

2.1u

S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer+140

0.28u

S.Diggs 2+ TDs+900

0.25u

Via Brian Matthews

J.Allen 2+ TDs+1700

4.25u

@GDAWG5000

S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer+130

1.3u

Via Brian Matthews

A.Brown o82.5 Rec Yds-119

Under in 2 straight - swole batman legacy inbound

PHI -3-106

A lot of people are back to drinking Buffalo koolaid

BUF +3-110

1.1u

BUF +3-110

@Stuckey2

BUF +3.5-112

PHI -3-108

BUF +3-112

@ChrisRaybon

Under 49-110

@The_Oddsmaker

Under 49-110

0.55u

Under 49-110

0.55u

J.Allen o5.5 Rush Att-128

0.5u

J.Allen o5.5 Rush Att-125

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-12-player-props-josh-allen-evan-engram

D.Kincaid o51.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

PHI -3-105

S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer+130

1.3u

Massive get right game for Diggs, who has been held to under 35 receiving yards in back-to-back games, and gets an Eagles team that his far easier to attend through the air than on the ground.

BUF +3-110

1.1u

Projection: +2.25. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

BUF +3-115

$115.00

D.Kincaid o49.5 Rec Yds-120

0.6u

D.Kincaid o49.5 Rec Yds-120

J.Allen 2+ TDs+1700

4.25u

T.Bernard o8.5 Tackles + Ast-120

1.2u

Over in 4/6 full games without Matt Milano, with one miss by the hook, and one miss vs the Jets who never had the ball. Counting on the Eagles offense to bounce back and control the clock in this one. Before last week vs the Chiefs, an off-ball LB had his this in every game against them. Only 54 plays last week - counting on Sunday to be closer to the 67 they average.

PHI -3-110

0.55u

PHI o6.5 (1Q)-112

0.71u

PHI o13.5 (1H)+100

BUF +3.5-118

Pains me as an Eagles fan, but team has been lucky, team is due for regression.

BUF +3.5-115

0.87u

BUF +3.5-110

Stuckey 1

BUF +3.5-112

0.5u

BUF +3.5-112

0.89u

BUF +3.5-115

0.87u

Available at FanDuel. Of the two models I run, one is typically more pessimistic about the Eagles because it weighs passing efficiency heavily, and the Eagles don't grade out as well as other contenders there. Thus, when betting their games, I tend to lean on the other model, which views things more holistically. Even that one, though, has the Eagles favored by just 1.9 points, implying there's value in the Bills plus the points. That model has these two teams nearly identical on a neutral field as the Bills are fourth in its power rankings while the Eagles are fifth. The Eagles should be able to move the ball effectively against the Bills' rush defense, though it's worth noting that unit has been better than you'd think since the Matt Milano injury. As for the Bills' offense, they rank second in the league in adjusted late-down success rate and are third in adjusted early-down EPA. Their adjusted early-down passing numbers in Week 11 were the best they've been since Week 4 against the Dolphins. The Eagles find ways to get the job done, so this isn't a bet that makes me comfortable, but I do think the Bills are worth buying into still.

BUF +3.5-110

#LuckRankings

Under 47.5-108

BUF +3.5-110

Joining @Stuckey2 and @AnthonyDabbundo

BUF +3.5-110

0.5u

BUF +3.5-110

0.64u

Rare early one for the people. Snagging this hook

Featured Insight
Bills WRs have 15 receiving touchdowns this season -- second-most in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 15 receiving touchdowns to WRs this season -- tied for most in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Eagles are averaging 5.4 yards per carry on rushes to the left side of the field this season -- second-best in NFL. The Bills have allowed 5.0 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the left to RBs this season -- tied for ninth-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Eagles are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Eagles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Eagles are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Eagles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Eagles' 2 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Eagles	2-3	0-2	1-1	1-3	1-0
Bills	2-3	1-1	1-2	1-1	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Eagles	2-3	0-2	1-1	2-2	0-1
Bills	2-3	2-0	0-3	2-0	0-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Eagles	3-2	N/A	N/A	2-2	1-0
Bills	3-2	N/A	N/A	2-0	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 21st	@KC	W 21-17	+2.5 W	U 46	PHI +120
Nov 5th	DAL	W 28-23	-3 W	O 46.5	PHI -174
Oct 29th	@WAS	W 38-31	-7 L	O 42.5	PHI -305
Oct 23rd	MIA	W 31-17	-3 W	U 52	PHI -155
Oct 15th	@NYJ	L 14-20	-6.5 L	U 43.5	NYJ -300

James Cook
RB
Cook is questionable with toe
Questionable

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Bills

Total

Eagles

505

Total Yards

378

Total Plays

5.5

Yards Per Play

5.8

Bills

Passing

Eagles

339

YDS

200

29/51

Comps/Atts

18/31

6.385

YPA

5.848

2/1

TDs/INTs

3/1

1/7

Sacks/Yards

2/7

Bills

Rushing

Eagles

173

Rush Yards

185

Attempts

4.325

YPC

5.781

TDs

Bills

Turnovers

Eagles

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Bills

Efficiency

Eagles

4/5 80%

Redzone

4/4 100%

13/22 0%

3rd Down

4/11 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Bills

First Downs

Eagles

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Bills

Misc

Eagles

11/80

Penalties/Yards

4/30

40:30

Possession

26:53

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MatchupOverUnder
Bills 3-2	o23.5-103	u23.5-114
Eagles 3-2	o25.5-110	u25.5-106

Bills vs. Eagles Odds & Betting Predictions - November 26, 2023

Bills at Eagles

Buffalo Bills

Philadelphia Eagles

Bills at Eagles Odds

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Bills

Eagles

Bills vs. Eagles Previews & Analysis

Prop Bomb: How to Bet Khalil Shakir in Bills-Eagles

Bills vs. Eagles: Buffalo Shouldn't Be an Underdog

How Lane Johnson’s Injury Affected Odds for Bills vs. Eagles

Our Staff's NFL Best Bets for the 4 ET Slate

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Bills

Public

Eagles

Bets%

Money%

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Eagles Injuries

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