Marlins vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 19, 2025

Taijuan start act accordingly

Absolutely gross. Phillies implied for 6.4 runs and 14 MPH winds blowing out to right. I fully understand the risks but projections have Quantrill at 3.2 earned runs. Think the Marlins want 5 innings out of him and then he’s getting yanked. Just need him to survive for 5 innings without getting pummeled. Will take my chances on u3.5, which is a line you typically see in Coors.

3.87% ev

Phillies mashing at home – 4.99 runs/gm, .350 OBP, .253 avg. Harper, Schwarber, Bohm all hot vs RHP. Marlins available bullpen collapsing – 6.56 ERA, 1.76 WHIP last 3. Phillies pen also leaking – 5.62 ERA, 4 HRs allowed in same stretch​. Quantrill shaky – 5.79 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, .426 OBP allowed. Gives up tons of contact, just 2 groundouts per flyball. Walker solid (2.30 ERA), but allowed 6 hits and 4 runs in his last outing. Both pens unreliable, walk-heavy, overused​. Over trend strong – Marlins 11-7 O/U, Phillies 6-2 Sat. MIA 5.3 runs/gm last 6. 7 of last 10 matchups went double digits. Ball flies at Citizens Bank – even with calm wind, longballs come easy​.

3.01% ev