Nationals vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 1, 2026

Nationals at Red Sox

5:35 pm • NATS
10 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Payton Tolle logoP.TolleBoston Red Sox logo3.315-6
Brad Lord logoB.LordWashington Nationals logo3.885-2

Nationals at Red Sox Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals
53-52
+1.5
+1.5-158
o9.5-110
+126
Red Sox
53-50
u9.5
-1.5+134
u9.5-111
-152
location pinWednesday 5:35 p.m.
July 01, 2026
Fenway ParkBoston
Nationals vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 130-126-7 (-9.7u)
Under 5 (F5)-105
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 52-61-1 (+9.1u)
WSH +133
1u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 335-395-8 (-56.6u)
P.Tolle o5.5 Ks-105
1.05u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 50-37-0 (+12.5u)
Under 9.5-106
1.06u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 14-84-6 (-6.1u)
C.Abrams o0.5 HR+550
0.2u
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 9-14-1 (-4.6u)
A.Alvarez o13.5 Outs-130
1u
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 26-19-2 (+23.9u)
A.Alvarez o13.5 Outs-120
1.2u
There is a value opportunity on Andrew Alvarez's pitching outs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 15.09 pitching outs for him with a 71% chance that he records at least 14 pitching outs. If you can get the over at -120 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least -185. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 49-69-1 (-56.6u)
WSH +127
3.81u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 219-314-17 (-80.2u)
W.Contreras o1.5 Total Bases+105
$1.05
#ACTION ✍️✍️ #MLBLeadoff
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 117-144-10 (-12.6u)
WSH +130
0.65u
Bet to +115

Nationals vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis

  • Grant's 5 Home Run Picks for Wednesday article feature image

    Grant's 5 Home Run Picks for Wednesday

    Grant Neiffer
    Jul 1, 2026 UTC
  • Our 4 MLB Best Bets for Wednesday article feature image

    Our 4 MLB Best Bets for Wednesday

    Action Network Staff
    Jul 1, 2026 UTC
  • Minion's Prop for Nats-Sox article feature image

    Minion's Prop for Nats-Sox

    Ryan Minion
    Jul 1, 2026 UTC
  • The Leadoff: Minion's 16 Bets for 10 MLB Games on Wednesday article feature image

    The Leadoff: Minion's 16 Bets for 10 MLB Games on Wednesday

    Ryan Minion
    Jul 1, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Nationals vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Nationals

Public

32%

Bets%

68%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
49-5423-3026-2430-3718-17
Nationals
59-4623-3036-1612-1247-34

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Red Sox
46-53-421-29-325-24-131-33-315-19-1
Nationals
58-42-531-19-327-23-215-8-143-34-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
53-5024-2929-2134-3318-17
Nationals
53-5221-3232-2014-1039-42

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jun 30thWSHL 1-8-1.5 LU 9WSH -138
Jun 29thWSHW 6-3-1.5 WO 8.5BOS -180
Jun 28thNYYW 5-4+1.5 WO 8BOS -112
Jun 27thNYYW 4-1+1.5 WU 8BOS +102
Jun 26thNYYW 6-1+1.5 WU 8.5BOS -125

Red Sox vs. Nationals Injury Updates

Red Sox Injuries

  • Tanner Houck
    SP

    Houck is out with arm

    Out

  • Triston Casas
    1B

    Casas is out with knee

    Out

  • Kutter Crawford
    SP

    Crawford is out with wrist

    Out

Nationals Injuries

  • Trevor Williams
    SP

    Williams is out with elbow

    Out

  • Josiah Gray
    SP

    Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.

    Out

  • DJ Herz
    SP

    Herz is out with elbow

    Out

Nationals vs. Red Sox Box Score
Nationals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Brad Lord logoRB.Lord, P532.110
Andrew Alvarez logoLA.Alvarez, P744.260
Riley Cornelio logoRR.Cornelio, P35122
Carson Palmquist logoLC.Palmquist, P16110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
James Wood logo1J.Wood, LF2-4213
Curtis Mead logo2C.Mead, 3B2-5200
Andres Chaparro logo3A.Chaparro, 1B1-2112
Luis Garcia logo3L.Garcia, PH1-4102
Luis Garcia logo3L.Garcia, 1B1-4102
Dylan Crews logo4D.Crews, RF2-3000
Daylen Lile logo5D.Lile, DH1-5000
Jacob Young logo6J.Young, CF2-3101
Jorbit Vivas logo7J.Vivas, 2B0-5000
Nasim Nunez logo8N.Nunez, SS1-4111
Drew Millas logo9D.Millas, C1-3200
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Payton Tolle logoLP.Tolle, P76356
Ryan Watson logoRR.Watson, P32211
Jovani Moran logoLJ.Moran, P261.231
Alec Gamboa logoLA.Gamboa, P442.112
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Anthony Seigler logo1A.Seigler, 2B0-4000
Ceddanne Rafaela logo2C.Rafaela, CF2-4100
Wilyer Abreu logo3W.Abreu, RF1-5000
Willson Contreras logo4W.Contreras, 1B2-4100
Romy Gonzalez logo5R.Gonzalez, DH1-4000
Caleb Durbin logo6C.Durbin, 3B0-3001
Nate Eaton logo7N.Eaton, LF0-3001
Andruw Monasterio logo8A.Monasterio, SS1-4000
Connor Wong logo9C.Wong, C2-4000

Nationals vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison

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Nationals at Red Sox Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Nationals
53-52
N/A
N/A
Red Sox
53-50
N/A
N/A