Padres vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2025

Padres at Pirates

8:05 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

22-11

2 - 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

12-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			5.06	1-3
R.Vasquez			3.90	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 22-11	-1.5	PK+118	o9.5-110	+103
Pirates 12-23	u8.5	PK-103	u9.5-108	-120

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 03, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

M.Machado o0.5 HR (Live)+600

1.2u

Day 2

SD +102

2.04u

LFG🔥🔥🔥

Over 9-121

PIT -119

PIT -120

1.2u

PIT -120

PIT -108

1.08u

B.Falter u3.5 Ks-135

1.35u

R.Vasquez u3.5 Ks-145

0.69u

Vasquez has only fanned 10 batters through 27.1 innings so far this season, good for a 8.2% strikeout rate. Projections have him closer to 3.2 strikeouts over 5 innings here as this profiles as a neutral matchup against the Pirates, who have a 22.2% strikeout rate against RHP this season (15th in the MLB). Vasquez has just a 5.4% swinging strike rate too, nearly two points below his career average. He’s just missing fewer bats this season.

R.Vasquez u3.5 Ks-145

0.52u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 6-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Pirates' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	13-22	7-12	6-10	4-10	9-12
Padres	20-13	14-4	6-9	11-6	9-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	15-18-2	10-8-1	5-10-1	6-8	9-10-2
Padres	13-19-1	6-11-1	7-8	7-9-1	6-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	12-23	7-12	5-11	5-9	7-14
Padres	22-11	14-4	8-7	13-4	9-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	SD	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8	SD +114
May 1st	CHC	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 8	CHC -127
Apr 30th	CHC	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +148
Apr 29th	CHC	L 0-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	CHC +128
Apr 27th	@LAD	L 2-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +277

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jared Jones
P
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
IF
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
P
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
P
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	89	5	3	1
LY.Matsui, P	7	1	0	0
RA.Jacob, P	11	1	0	0
RJ.Adam, P	11	1	0	0
RR.Suarez, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2L.Arraez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5L.Campusano, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6O.Gonzalez, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Lockridge, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Wade, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Wade, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Heyward, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	89	7	6	1
RC.Shugart, P	10	1	2	0
RD.Bednar, P	18	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	1-1	0	1
2B.Reynolds, RF	0-5	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	0	0
4J.Bart, C	0-3	0	0
5E.Valdez, 1B	1-4	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	0-3	0	0
8A.Canario, LF	1-4	1	0
9J.Triolo, SS	0-3	0	0