Phillies vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - October 8, 2024

Phillies at Mets

9:08 pm • Fox Sports 1

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

2 - 7

New York Mets

3-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Manaea			4.74	2-1
A.Nola			7.20	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5	-1.5+154	o7+100	-112
Mets 3-1	u7	+1.5-185	u7-120	-106

Tuesday 9:08 p.m.

October 08, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

PHI +180 (Live)

0.5u

Go Phillies

Under 7.5 (Live)-110

NYM -102

A.Nola u5.5 Ks-110

@oddsjam

A.Hays u0.5 Hits+120

1.2u

I know he crushes lefties - but getting this line at plus odds for someone who will be PH for after 1-2 PAs (he won’t face a righty reliever, Marsh or Clemens would PH) is ideal value. His ABs off Manaea were back in 2021 - and he’s only 9/41 since coming off the IL.

Over 7-115

A.Nola o5.5 Ks-105

0.48u

MGM

S.Manaea u5.5 Ks-115

0.5u

PHI -110 (F5)

0.5u

MGM

Under 7-115

NYM -110

1.82u

Bobby

Over 3.5 (F5)-125

#ProSystem Overs with wind postseason (F5) Overall: 115-61-6,65% (ROI:29%) Season:4-3-0,57% (ROI:5%)

J.Winker u0.5 Hits-110

0.5u

@charliedisturco

J.Rojas u0.5 Hits-120

0.42u

@charliedisturco

Under 7+100

@BJCunningham

Over 7+100

1.5u

Under 7-110

1.1u

Under 3.5 (F5)-105

0.95u

Under 7-110

2.2u

Over 7-105

0.95u

PHI u3.5 Team Total-120

NYM o3.5 Team Total+115

0.58u

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+375

1.13u

NYM o3.5 Team Total+115

1.15u

NYM -105

Under 7.5-115

1.15u

NYM -101

NYM -103

S.Manaea u5.5 Ks-119

1.19u

Johnny

A.Nola o16.5 Outs-125

1.25u

Johnny

NYM -108

0.93u

Over 6.5-166

0.3u

NYM -108

1.39u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/zkcR4EnvbW

B.Harper o0.5 RBI+215

2.15u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/zkcR4EnvbW

PHI -110

NYM -105

N.Castellanos o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

Over 7-115

1.3u

Under 7.5-115

1.15u

Under 7.5-110

0.83u

Bet to 7 (-105)

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Oct 8, 2024 UTC
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Our 9-1 SGP for Mets vs. Phillies Game 3
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Phillies vs. Mets Props: Target Castellanos & Manaea
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See more MLB Coverage

The Mets are 31-24 (.564) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 39% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Pete Alonso is batting just .193 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for seventh worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 129 total CB-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .187 (48-for-257) against Sean Manaea when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 -- 94th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (412/1,178) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (1,136/2,351) against right-handed batters this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (541/1,677) when he's behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	7-6	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Phillies	1-3	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 6th	@PHI	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PHI +120
Oct 5th	@PHI	W 6-2	+1.5 W	O 7	NYM +155
Oct 3rd	@MIL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM +105
Oct 2nd	@MIL	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL +112
Oct 1st	@MIL	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM +124

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	86	5	8	4
RO.Kerkering, P	10	1	0	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	22	0.2	1	2
RJ.Ruiz, P	2	0.1	0	0
RC.Estevez, P	26	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-2	1	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-3	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	0	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	1
5A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0
7A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	0
7B.Stott, PH	0-1	0	0
8E.Sosa, 2B	1-2	1	0
8K.Clemens, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-2	0	0
9W.Wilson, PH	0-0	0	0
9B.Marsh, PH	0-1	0	0
9B.Marsh, CF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	91	7	6	1
RP.Maton, P	23	0.2	1	1
RR.Stanek, P	13	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-5	0	0	1
2M.Vientos, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
2H.Bader, PR	0-1	1	0	0
2H.Bader, CF	0-1	1	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	0-2	2	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-2	2	1	1
5J.Iglesias, 2B	2-4	0	0	2
5J.Iglesias, 3B	2-4	0	0	2
6J.Winker, DH	1-3	1	1	1
6J.Martinez, PH	0-0	1	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	0-0	1	0	0
7S.Marte, RF	1-3	0	0	2
7L.Acuna, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	1-4	0	0	0