Rangers vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 29, 2024

Rangers at Cardinals

11:45 pm • BSSW

Texas Rangers

13-9

6 - 3

St. Louis Cardinals

9-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Pallante			3.78	8-8
N.Eovaldi			3.80	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rangers 13-9	-1.5+142	o8.5-110	-116
Cardinals 9-13	+1.5-168	u8.5-110	-103

Monday 11:45 p.m.

July 29, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Flat to -115

TEX -112

Over 8.5-108

1.02u

A.Pallante u17.5 Outs+110

0.55u

Projection lands at 16.27 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -115 giving us value at this number

Over 8.5-110

0.91u

A.Pallante u17.5 Outs-104

A.Pallante o3.5 Ks+140

0.7u

Projection lands at 3.64 and a +ev pick with devig odds of +117 giving us value at this number

M.Winn o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

1.2u

N.Eovaldi o4.5 Ks-131

1.31u

Over in 13/17 full starts this season. Gets STL who have been slightly below avg vs righties lately (21% L14 vs righties) but also below avg hitting (95 wRC+). But I’ll take that rate (Eovaldi is in the 66th percentile of K%) - and he will be on an incredibly long leash after the Rangers lost their last two starters in the first inning.

TEX -119

BP4

Featured Insight
The Rangers scored in at least three different innings in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB. Cardinals allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 59% of their games last season -- tied for second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in late innings this season -- third lowest in MLB (103 games). The Rangers have scored just 1.2 runs per game in late innings this season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (105 games).

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 3-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Cardinals' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	11-12	8-4	3-8	1-4	9-8
Rangers	12-10	10-3	2-7	6-4	5-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	13-9-1	6-6	7-3-1	4-1	8-8-1
Rangers	7-15	1-12	6-3	3-7	4-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	9-14	8-4	1-10	1-4	7-10
Rangers	13-9	10-3	3-6	8-2	4-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 28th	WSH	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	STL -150
Jul 27th	WSH	L 3-14	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -153
Jul 27th	WSH	L 8-10	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -166
Jul 24th	@PIT	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -112
Jul 23rd	@PIT	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	STL +150

Jon Gray
P
Gray is out with wrist
Out
Jack Leiter
P
Leiter is out with blister
Out
Cody Bradford
P
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Eovaldi, P	82	6	2	3
RD.Robertson, P	15	1	1	0
RJ.Sborz, P	18	1	1	0
RK.Yates, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Smith, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	1-4	0	0	1
3M.Semien, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
4W.Langford, LF	3-5	1	0	0
4T.Jankowski, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Garcia, RF	0-5	1	0	1
6N.Lowe, 1B	2-4	2	1	2
7E.Duran, DH	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Heim, C	2-4	0	0	1
9L.Taveras, CF	1-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Pallante, P	92	5	5	3
RR.Fernandez, P	8	0.2	0	0
LJ.King, P	7	0.1	0	0
RC.Roycroft, P	25	1	0	2
RK.Leahy, P	23	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Burleson, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0	0
4B.Donovan, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Arenado, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
6L.Nootbaar, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
8M.Carpenter, DH	1-3	1	1	2
9M.Siani, CF	1-3	0	0	1