Rockies vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2025

Rockies at Phillies

5:05 pm • COLR

Colorado Rockies

1-4

1 - 3

Philadelphia Phillies

4-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			0.00	0-0
A.Senzatela			0.00	0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 1-4	+1.5	+1.5-110	o10-108	+176
Phillies 4-1	u9.5	-1.5-115	u10-110	-215

Thursday 5:05 p.m.

April 03, 2025

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

T.Walker u4.5 Ks (Live)-140

0.71u

T.Walker o4.5 Ks (Live)+130

1.5u

#BQ

T.Walker u2.5 Earned Runs-110

0.5u

Today’s “Let’s Get Gross” play. I almost prefer you don’t tail this 😂. But I’m playing this just purely based on matchup. Trust me, I know the risks here and know how bad Walker’s numbers/metrics are. Rockies averaged 3.53 runs/game last season on the road. Can Walker give us 5 innings of 2-run ball here?!

H.Goodman o0.5 HR+450

0.5u

M.Moniak o0.5 HR+520

0.19u

4.87% ev

A.Senzatela o2.5 Ks-115

0.58u

2.9% ev

H.Goodman o0.5 HR+360

0.25u

Over 9.5-118

0.3u

Bet to -122 or 10 (-103). Limited availability at this price point

B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.91u

Big fat Bruce

K.Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases+105

1.05u

H.Goodman o1.5 Total Bases+120

COL +1.5+100

Taijuan Walker had a brutal 2024—7.10 ERA, .317 BAA, 24 HRs in 83.2 IP. Rockies know how to hit him: .400 AVG in 35 ABs. McMahon (.333), Moniak (.667) with strong history. Phillies hot, but Walker’s a liability. Coors-style ballpark boosts bats. Walkers’s 13.4% barrel rate last year—borderline worst in MLB Senzatela opened 2025 with 4.1 scoreless innings vs Rays—9 hits, but no damage. Pitch-to-contact arm fits vs patient lineups. He’s fresh after rehab, and Phillies don’t see him often. Rockies motivated to avoid the sweep, and Philly may ease up in early getaway spot. Rockies offense due to wake up—just 2.0 runs/game so far, but Goodman, Doyle heating up. Philly bullpen hasn’t been tested much yet. Even if it gets dicey, 1.5 gives us room to work with.

Over 9.5-115

Like I said, Walker’s ERA was 7.10 last year – gave up 24 HRs in 83.2 IP. Opp BA .317, bottom 5 in MLB. Stuff flattened, command faded. Rockies batting .400 w/ 1.019 OPS in 35 AB vs him. Citizens Bank = 9th in HR factor. Warm day game? Ball’s gonna carry. Colorado offense better than it looks – top half NL in hard-hit rate last year. Goodman hot early (.368 AVG, 2 HR), McMahon crushes Walker. Philly’s pen untested this series. Walker gives them a real shot to break out. Phillies lineup locked in – Sosa .714 this series, Schwarber 3 HRs already. Rockies pen 6.19 ERA this week, control issues showing. If Walker’s still shaky, this explodes. Both sides have pop – this number’s too low.

PHI o5.5-102

1.02u

PHI -1.5+100

Blood oath

Over 9.5-115

1.15u

Over 9.5-114

1.14u

Over 9.5+100

0.32u

1.61% ev

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Phillies' 2 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	4-1	2-0	2-1	4-1	N/A
Rockies	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A	2-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	2-3	0-2	2-1	2-3	N/A
Rockies	1-4	N/A	1-4	N/A	1-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	4-1	2-0	2-1	4-1	N/A
Rockies	1-4	N/A	1-4	N/A	1-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 2nd	COL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7	PHI -325
Mar 31st	COL	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 9	PHI -325
Mar 30th	@WSH	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 9	WSH -141
Mar 29th	@WSH	W 11-6	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -155
Mar 27th	@WSH	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PHI -159

Ranger Suarez
P
Suarez is out with back
Out
Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

Austin Gomber
P
Gomber is out with shoulder
Out
Thairo Estrada
IF
Estrada is out with wrist
Out
Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Senzatela, P	92	5.1	3	0
LL.Peralta, P	29	1.1	2	1
RT.Kinley, P	31	1	2	0
RV.Vodnik, P	3	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Doyle, CF	1-5	0	0
2E.Tovar, SS	0-4	0	0
3R.McMahon, 3B	1-4	0	0
4H.Goodman, DH	0-2	1	0
5M.Toglia, 1B	1-4	0	0
6N.Martini, RF	1-3	0	0
6S.Bouchard, PH	1-1	0	1
7J.Stallings, C	1-4	0	0
8M.Moniak, LF	1-3	0	0
8K.Farmer, PH	1-1	0	0
8J.Beck, PR	0-0	0	0
9T.Freeman, 2B	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	74	6	4	0
RO.Kerkering, P	16	1	2	0
RJ.Romano, P	14	1	1	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	35	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-5	2	1	1
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5M.Kepler, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Realmuto, C	3-3	1	0	0
8B.Stott, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
9B.Marsh, CF	0-2	0	0	0