Grizzlies vs. Kings Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2025

D. Bane ⬇️ 7.5 Assists (-135 @ Bet365)(MEM Grizzlies) EV Analytics 📽️: 6.05 Assists Bane has cleared this mark in just 3 of his last 7 games, but let's look closer at those overs: Vs MIA: 8 assists on 8 potentials 🤯 Vs Jazz: allow 3rd most assists per game and 2nd most to SG's Vs NOP: allow most assists per game and 3rd most to SG's So he's either had an insane conversion rate or a truly elite matchup to hit this mark. SAC has allowed the 10th most assists per game over L30, but the 12th fewest to opposing SG's. Finally, we get +EV from some sharper books: FanDuel: -160 Caesars: -148 Pinnacle: -168 A lot to like here.

Tailing Sharp

Best Bets Article incoming Good up to 21.5

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Sacramento gets the edge at home, and with Ja Morant out, Memphis’ offense takes a major hit. The Grizzlies average 122.7 PPG but struggle defensively (116.6 OPPG). Meanwhile, the Kings score 116.3 PPG and hit 47.7% from the field. Memphis’ road defense has been shaky, allowing 118.7 PPG—tough spot without their primary playmaker. Sacramento’s rebounding is a concern (42.5 RPG vs. MEM’s 47.6), but the Kings dominate in transition and move the ball well—26.3 AST/G to Memphis’ 27.9. Memphis relies heavily on the three (36.6% 3P), but Sacramento defends the perimeter well, holding teams to 38.3% from deep. The Kings have also won 4 of their last 6 against Memphis, including a 138-133 win in January. Kings come in on a 4-game skid but are 6-2 ATS on Mondays, while Memphis is 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17. Without Morant, the Grizzlies lose their best creator (329 AST), and Sacramento has the offensive firepower to take advantage. Expect DeRozan and Sabonis to dominate inside, exposing Memphis’ interior defense.