Spurs vs. Rockets Odds & Betting Predictions - November 7, 2024

Spurs at Rockets

1:00 am • SCHN

San Antonio Spurs

24-30

100

100 - 127

Houston Rockets

35-22

127

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Spurs 24-30	+5.5	+6.5-110	o215-108	+220
Rockets 35-22	u216.5	-6.5-110	u215-112	-270

Thursday 1:00 a.m.

November 07, 2024

Toyota CenterHouston

SAS +4.5 (1H)-114

#ProSystem Road Team Bounce Back (1H) Overall: 200-112-5,64% (ROI:24%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:-5%)

A.Sengun o0.5 3pt M+175

0.5u

My lone 3PT bet for tonight. Sengun has hit a 3PT in 5 straight games vs Spurs and 8 of 12 games vs Spurs for his career.

V.Wembanyama o3.5 Blk-125

1.25u

C.Paul o19.5 Pts+Ast-120

1.2u

V.Wembanyama u41.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-128

Playing this on Sleeper. This continues to be a scary fade, but whenever the PRA hovers in the 40s for Wembanyama, I'm going to be interested. This season, Wembanyama is averaging 18.9 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 3.1 assists, good for a 32.3 PRA. He's been less than this 41.5 PRA number in all 7 games this season, including both times against the Rockets (37 and 39 PRA). Last season, Wembanyama averaged 21.4 points, 10.6 rebounds, and 3.9 assists, good for a 35.9 PRA. Houston ranks 10th in defensive efficiency and at least has some length and large bodies to throw at Wembanyama in Alperen Sengun and Jock Landale. I am not expecting Houston to stop Wembanyama here, but the hope is their big men can at least do enough to slow him down from reaching this lofty 41.5 PRA number. No Jeremy Sochan does boost his usage rates, interim head coach for Popovich does add an element of mystery for rotations, and no Steven Adams (and potentially no Dillon Brooks / Tari Eason) on the other side is not ideal, but still playing this at 41.5 for the reasons above.

HOU -6.5-107

$1869.16

C.Paul o1.5 3pt M+112

0.56u

V.Wembanyama u41.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-127

Wembanyama's underlying stats have fallen across the board. The addition of veterans like Chris Paul and Harrison Barnes has lessened the burden on the young superstar. Wembanyama's usage is down nearly 3%. His rebound rate is down 2.2% and his assist rate has declined by 4%. The touches and shots are still there, but the overall impact has ticked down in most areas. Houston was a solid defense last season, and they were elite at home. The Rockets are off to a solid start defensively this season, ranking 10th in defensive rating and 5th in points allowed per game. The slight discrepancy there can be explained by Houston playing at the 2nd-slowest pace. The Rockets are also 6th in rebounding rate and 1st in assists allowed per game. It's a rough matchup all around.

V.Wembanyama o39.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-116

1.16u

J.Green o23.5 Pts-105

Discussed on Cash That Podcast

F.VanVleet o2.5 3pt M+100

⭐️ Play of the Day ⭐️

F.VanVleet o21.5 Pts+Ast-120

V.Wembanyama u24.5 Pts-112

0.89u

SAS +6-105

0.27u

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Featured Insight
The Rockets allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three last season -- best in the NBA; the Spurs shot 35% from three last season -- T-3rd-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Rockets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rockets are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rockets are 17-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Rockets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Rockets' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockets	30-26-1	13-14	17-12-1	19-19	11-7-1
Spurs	25-29	13-15	12-14	8-10	17-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rockets	30-26-1	12-14-1	18-12	20-17-1	10-9
Spurs	29-24-1	14-14	15-10-1	12-6	17-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockets	35-22	N/A	N/A	27-11	8-11
Spurs	24-30	N/A	N/A	13-5	11-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 5th	NYK	W 109-97	+2 W	U 217.5	HOU +110
Nov 3rd	GSW	L 121-127	-5 L	O 216	GSW -191
Nov 1st	@DAL	W 108-102	+6.5 W	U 226	HOU +210
Oct 29th	@SAS	W 106-101	-2.5 W	U 220	HOU -145
Oct 27th	@SAS	L 106-109	-1.5 L	U 222.5	SAS -124

Cody Zeller
SF
Zeller is out with undisclosed
Out
Steven Adams
C
Steven Adams (ankle) out Saturday.
Out
Jae'Sean Tate
SF
Jae'Sean Tate (back) out Saturday.
Out
Tari Eason
SF
Tari Eason (injury management) out Saturday.
Out

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scoring
Fred VanVleet
21
ppg
rebounding
Fred VanVleet
7
rpg
assists
Fred VanVleet
10
apg
shooting
Amen Thompson
100
fg%

Spurs

Rockets

37-83 (45%)

Field Goals

54-96 (56%)

12-16 (75%)

Free Throws

9-15 (60%)

14-36 (39%)

10-27 (37%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Spurs 24-30	o104.5-112	u104.5-115
Rockets 35-22	o111.5-102	u111.5-115

Spurs vs. Rockets Odds & Betting Predictions - November 7, 2024

Spurs at Rockets

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