Warriors vs. Clippers Odds & Betting Predictions - December 28, 2024

After scoring 28+ in 4 straight games why did the sportsbooks lower his line? Was it because they want people to be extra incentivized to take his over and slaughter the sportsbooks? No it’s because even they know this is the game where this ridiculous stretch of scoring comes to an end His overs are 17-6 this year (one of the highest rates to the over in the NBA) and I’m betting $1,000 that he goes under… to prove all things regress to an equilibrium especially in sports betting. Check my story on Instagram @itsbucketsnba to see my $1,000 ticket

📊 Projection: -8.6

Tailing @JoeDellera

The Warriors are without Steph Curry tonight who is missing the game due to injury management. While they’ve brought in Dennis Schroder to help mitigate some of the non-Curry minutes, this has also had an impact on Draymond Green. Draymond is averaging 5.6 Assists per game this season but he sees a sharp decline when he is not playing with Steph. In the minutes with Curry, Draymond logs 10.4 assists per 100 possessions compared to 6.9 without Curry. While it is a small sample size, Draymond is clocking only 4.9 per 100 with Schroder. This is a tough matchup against the Clippers as well. The Clippers allow the sixth-fewest Assists per game to their opponents and have the sixth-best Adjusted Defensive Rating while playing at the 22nd Ranked Pace, per Dunks and Threes. This game is set up to be a slog. I’ll go under 5.5 Dimes for Draymond today.

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Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Without Curry, Golden State loses its offensive leader, relying on inconsistent scorers like Wiggins. Payton's absence weakens defense, and Draymond’s status adds concerns. Clippers thrive, winning three of four, with Powell’s scoring surge and Zubac’s dominance inside. Harden’s playmaking boosts their offense. Defensively, Clippers excel, exploiting the Warriors’ road struggles and Curry-less scoring dip.