Arkansas vs. OK State Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2024

Taylen Green szn

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Arkansas and Oklahoma State both demonstrated the offensive firepower necessary to hit the over in this matchup, especially with their well-rounded ground games and capable quarterbacks. Bobby Petrino's return to Arkansas sparked an immediate offensive explosion, with the Hogs converting all nine of their third-down attempts while averaging an impressive depth of target at 13.2 yards. Their utilization of multiple personnel groupings to establish a dominant inside and outside zone read approach makes this offense difficult to stop. The Razorbacks' quarterback distributed the ball efficiently, targeting 15 different players in the passing game, while Ja'Quinden Jackson's dynamic running made the absence of Rocket Sanders less of a concern. The offensive line held up well in Week 1, even with some pass-blocking issues from E’Marion Harris, though there's every expectation for improvement moving forward. Defensively, Arkansas had a solid performance against the rush, but their pass defense was suspect, producing only one pass breakup across 22 UAPB attempts. This defensive frailty plays into the hands of Oklahoma State, whose quarterback Alan Bowman was exceptional in his debut, showcasing great chemistry with his wideouts De'Zhaun Stribling and Brennan Presley. Bowman's ability to push the ball downfield against an Arkansas secondary that struggled to contain inferior competition bodes well for the Cowboys. Additionally, the missed tackles from Arkansas' key defensive starters, like Landon Jackson and Xavian Sorey Jr., increase the likelihood of big plays and potential scoring opportunities for Oklahoma State’s explosive weapons. On the other side, Oklahoma State also flashed issues in the secondary. Despite a strong pass rush led by edge rusher Collin Oliver, the Cowboys missed 10 tackles and allowed the South Dakota State offense to move the ball effectively. Their tackling woes, combined with a 109th-ranked coverage grade, leave them vulnerable to Arkansas' balanced offensive attack. With Taylen Green hitting multiple targets and the return of top receiver Andrew Armstrong, the Razorbacks' passing game is set to expose a Cowboys' defense that struggled against South Dakota State's skill players. Expect Arkansas to lean heavily on its passing attack while mixing in zone reads, leading to plenty of explosive plays. Furthermore, both teams allowed a significant number of methodical drives and gave up substantial yardage after contact in their season openers, with Oklahoma State's Ollie Gordon II averaging just 2.8 yards after contact but scoring three touchdowns. Neither defense demonstrated the ability to control the pace of play, which sets up for a high-scoring affair. Oklahoma State’s defensive coordinator Bryan Nardo employs a 3-3-5 scheme that allowed the Jackrabbits to produce chunks of yardage, especially in the run game, which suggests Arkansas will have success moving the ball consistently. Given both teams' offensive efficiency, subpar tackling, and poor coverage grades, expect a shootout filled with explosive plays, deep passes, and missed defensive opportunities.

From Action Network Preview, Bowman targeted Stribling 8 times last week. Now gets a poor Arkansas set of safeties in tackle and coverage grading https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/arkansas-razorbacks-vs-oklahoma-state-cowboys-prediction-pick-odds-college-football-saturday-september-7

.tsa windy unders cool to low temps Overall: 1141-850-23,57% (ROI:11%) Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:100%) .tsa home fav week 1 unders Overall: 232-159-9,59% (ROI:14%) Season:6-4-1,60% (ROI:18%) .tsa week 1 under high total Overall: 92-37-2,71% (ROI:34%) Season:1-2-0,33% (ROI:-34%)

Below-the-radar SEC team catching too many points.

Both defenses missed a combined 23 tackles to rank outside the top 100 in tackling per PFF, after facing two FCS offenses