S. Florida vs. North Texas Odds & Betting Predictions - October 10, 2025

S. Florida at North Texas

11:30 pm • ESPN2
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S. Florida at North Texas Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
S. Florida
4-1
+2.5
-1.5-105
o67.5-110
-116
North Texas
5-0
u62.5
+1.5-115
u67.5-110
-102
location pinFriday 11:30 p.m.
October 10, 2025
DATCU StadiumDenton
thermometer image81°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image4Wind
S. Florida vs. North Texas Expert Picks
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 128-122-1 (-3.7u)
UNT -105
1u
Duck
Duck
Last 30d: 75-55-0 (+7.4u)
UNT +100
1u
Massive massive game. Huge AAC conference games Sou Florida hitting the road on a Friday night, think UNT has the goods here defensively. Love what we’ve seen with mestemaker. Fun game
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 18-32-0 (-16.0u)
UNT +100
1u
I like Alex Golesh, I think he’s pumped energy into this program, his system when it’s all clicking is elite by G5 standards. But I have my concerns about Byrum Brown. The kid is high variance when he plays on the road. He was steady at Florida, and avoided a mistake that would cost them the game. But Miami totally neutralized him. I’ll place those aside, because of P4 talent involved. Last year, against G5 opponents on the road, he took way too many sacks (4 per game). And in 2023, he had four multiple turnover road performances. I bring this up because Skylar Cassity’s defense has succeeded in creating turnaround…a lot of them. No team in America creates more takeaways per game than UNT. No team has a better PFF tackling grade, and they’re eighth in coverage as well. A little bit of this was their offseason upgrades, like middle linebacker Trey Fields and corner David Fisher who followed Cassity from Sam Houston to Denton. But I attribute a big part of their success to situational playcalling and his overall aggressiveness. His 4-2-5 alignment brings pressure and simulated pressure from all over and QBs are clearly confused and panicking with the football. And he can be sophisticated because he brought so many players and coaches from Sam Houston, so the contuinity is clearly a part of this success. I trust Mestemaker to continue to protect the football and Morris to throw a perfectly balanced attack at the Bulls. It’s a Black Out, Sell Out, national TV game, the juice will be there. Gimme the home team to win the turnover battle and the game.
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 76-75-0 (+1.9u)
USF -108
1u

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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S. Florida vs. North Texas Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

S. Florida

Public

41%

Bets%

59%

Money%

NCAAF Public Betting Right Arrow

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
North Texas
4-13-01-14-1N/A
S. Florida
4-13-01-12-02-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
North Texas
3-21-22-03-2N/A
S. Florida
3-22-11-12-01-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
North Texas
5-0N/AN/A5-0N/A
S. Florida
4-1N/AN/A2-02-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 27thUSAW 36-22-13 WU 63.5UNT -485
Sep 20th@ARMYW 45-38-2.5 WO 50.5UNT -142
Sep 13thWSUW 59-10-6.5 WO 57.5UNT -270
Sep 6th@WMUW 33-30-11.5 LO 56.5UNT -444
Aug 31stLAMW 51-0-27.5 WU 63UNT -5553
Team Stats
1286
YDS
1283
102/163
Comps/Atts
111/163
7.89
YPA
7.87
11/4
TDs/INTs
11/0
7/46
Sacks/Yards
5/37
944
Rush Yards
902
174
Attempts
181
5.43
YPC
4.98
9
TDs
18
Fumbles Lost
4
Interceptions
0
14/15 93.3%
Redzone
30/31 96.8%
31/76 0%
3rd Down
28/58 0%
6/10 0%
4th Down
5/9 0%
105
Total
121
45
Pass
61
47
Rush
48
13
Penalty
12
/
Penalties/Yards
/

S. Florida vs. North Texas Odds Comparison

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S. Florida at North Texas Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
S. Florida
4-1
N/A
N/A
North Texas
5-0
N/A
N/A