Cowboys vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - December 17, 2023

Cowboys at Bills

9:25 pm • FOX

Dallas Cowboys

7-10

10 - 31

Buffalo Bills

2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cowboys 7-10	+2	+2.5-108	o49.5-105	+119
Bills 2-1	u49	-2.5-112	u49.5-110	-140

Sunday 9:25 p.m.

December 17, 2023

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

T.Pollard o2.5 Recs+118

BUF -2.5-110

$100.00

G.Davis o33.5 Rec Yds-109

1.64u

BUF -135

0.44u

BUF -130

J.Allen o35.5 Rush Yds-115

$115.00

Under 49-110

0.68u

VegasInsider.com’s Razor Ray Monohan Sunday Free Play! Follow on X @Cappers_Picks

BUF -2-110

$50.00

BUF -2-110

0.91u

Under 49-110

0.91u

BUF -130

$76.92

J.Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+225

@charliedisturco

J.Allen 2+ TDs Yes+950

0.25u

@charliedisturco

BUF -2.5-110

D.Kincaid u40.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

@ChrisRaybon

BUF -2-110

BUF -130

0.77u

D.Kincaid u42.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

#ConvinceMe

BUF -2-110

0.91u

Irresponsibly and jealously fading the MVP smh

BUF -130

BUF -1.5-110

1.36u

BUF -2-110

1.5u

D.Kincaid u15.5 Longest Reception-120

DK at -125 Under in 9/12, with only 3 of his 61 catches going for 16+. 5.6 aDOT - significantly lower than the Bills WRs - only 7/72 targets have traveled even 15 air yards.

D.Kincaid o39.5 Rec Yds-112

0.5u

B.Cooks o38.5 Rec Yds-110

J.Cook o20.5 Rec Yds-115

0.43u

BUF -1.5-110

0.91u

BUF -2.5-110

Exec Decision

BUF -1.5-118

Stuckey 2

BUF -2.5-110

0.91u

DAL +116

Available at FanDuel. I've been on the Bills plenty recently, and I'm sure I'll be back soon. But I do think this undersells the Cowboys a bit. Thanks to their post-bye surge, the Cowboys now sit second in my model's power rankings behind just the 49ers. The Bills are fifth there, but there is a decent little gap between the two teams, thanks in large part to the Cowboys' superior defense. This is a road game outdoors for a dome team in December, and the Cowboys' offense has been much more efficient at home than on the road. They have played just two road games since their shift to being more pass-heavy, though, and they probably should have beaten the Eagles in one of those. When you blend it all together, my model makes the Cowboys slight favorites here, allowing me to take the +116 on the moneyline.

DAL +1.5 (1H)+100

Accidentally put in bills first half when I wanted to do full game.

BUF -1.5-110

BUF -1.5 (1H)+110

1.1u

Accident. Didn’t mean to take the first half smh

BUF -122

0.57u

The bills Sunday tradition for the people

Featured Insight
Cowboys QBs have a 96.0 passer rating in the fourth quarter this season -- eighth-best in NFL. The Bills have allowed a passer rating of 94.5 in the 4th quarter this season -- seventh-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Bills have gone three and out on 9% of their drives in the fourth quarter __Previous 4 Weeks PresentPerfect__ -- tied for sixth-best in NFL. Cowboys have forced three and outs on 8% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 11 -- tied for seventh-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Bills' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	10-7	5-3	5-4	8-5	2-2
Cowboys	7-10	3-6	4-4	1-2	6-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	11-6	6-2	5-4	10-3	1-3
Cowboys	11-6	6-3	5-3	2-1	9-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	13-4	N/A	N/A	11-2	2-2
Cowboys	7-10	N/A	N/A	2-1	5-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 10th	@KC	W 20-17	+1.5 W	U 49	BUF +105
Nov 26th	@PHI	L 34-37	+2.5 L	O 48.5	PHI +124
Nov 19th	NYJ	W 32-6	-8.5 W	U 39.5	BUF -380
Nov 14th	DEN	L 22-24	-7.5 L	U 47.5	DEN -390
Nov 6th	@CIN	L 18-24	+1.5 L	U 50.5	CIN +105

Nick Vigil
LB
Vigil is questionable with foot
Questionable
C.J. Goodwin
CB
Goodwin is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Donovan Wilson
S
Wilson is questionable with knee
Questionable

Kemon Hall
CB
Hall is out with hamstring
Out
Chuma Edoga
G
Edoga is questionable with toe
Questionable
Amani Oruwariye
CB
Oruwariye is out with foot
Out
CeeDee Lamb
WR
Lamb is out with shoulder
Out
Trevon Diggs
CB
Diggs is out with knee
Out
Buddy Johnson
LB
Johnson is questionable with illness
Questionable
Markquese Bell
S
Bell is out with shoulder
Out
Mazi Smith
DT
Smith is questionable with pelvis
Questionable
DeMarvion Overshown
LB
Overshown is out with knee
Out
Asim Richards
OL
Richards is questionable with ankle
Questionable
John Stephens
TE
Stephens is out with knee
Out

Taylor Rapp
S
Rapp is out with back
Out
Christian Benford
CB
Benford is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is out with calf
Out

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Cowboys

Total

Bills

195

Total Yards

351

Total Plays

3.4

Yards Per Play

5.4

Cowboys

Passing

Bills

134

YDS

21/34

Comps/Atts

7/15

2.865

YPA

5.313

0/1

TDs/INTs

1/0

3/28

Sacks/Yards

1/9

Cowboys

Rushing

Bills

Rush Yards

266

Attempts

4.45

YPC

5.429

TDs

Cowboys

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Cowboys

Efficiency

Bills

1/2 50%

Redzone

3/4 75%

5/13 0%

3rd Down

5/9 0%

1/2 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Cowboys

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Cowboys

Misc

Bills

5/48

Penalties/Yards

1/15

24:55

Possession

35:05

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MatchupOverUnder
Cowboys 7-10	o23.5-118	u23.5-105
Bills 2-1	o25.5-112	u25.5-108

Cowboys vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - December 17, 2023

Cowboys at Bills

Dallas Cowboys

Buffalo Bills

Cowboys at Bills Odds

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Bills

Cowboys vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

Anderson: Cowboys & Bills Are Who We Thought They Were

Cowboys vs. Bills: Fade Buffalo At Home

57% Model: Fade This Team in Cowboys vs. Bills

Cowboys vs. Bills Props: Bets for Prescott, Allen & Pollard

Cowboys vs. Bills Props

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Cowboys vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

Cowboys

Public

Bills

Bets%

Money%

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Cowboys vs. Bills Injury Updates

Cowboys Injuries

Bills Injuries

Cowboys vs. Bills Odds Comparison

Cowboys at Bills Team Totals