Jaguars vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - November 26, 2023

Jaguars at Texans

6:00 pm • CBS

Jacksonville Jaguars

3-11

24 - 21

Houston Texans

9-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Jaguars 3-11	-1.5	-1-105	o48.5-107	-112
Texans 9-5	u48	+1-115	u48.5-110	-105

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

November 26, 2023

NRG StadiumHouston

N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer+270

1.16u

HOU +340 (Live)

0.5u

HOU +110

N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer+180

$90.00

JAC -1.5-105

HOU +1.5-110

1.1u

HOU +1.5-110

@SimonHunterNFL

JAC -122

$50.00

JAC -125

0.8u

It’s gotta be the Jags… gotta be the Jags

Under 48-110

0.5u

HOU +1.5-105

2.1u

E.Engram o4.5 Recs-130

0.77u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-12-odds-picks-preview

E.Engram 7+ Receptions+300

0.25u

HOU +2.5-110

1.1u

C.Stroud o0.5 Int+115

0.5u

HOU +1.5-110

JAC -1.5-110

0.5u

HOU +1.5-110

1.1u

Foxhole

HOU +1.5-110

1.1u

Raybon 1

HOU +1.5-110

$110.00

HOU +2.5-110

Best bets pod Week 12!

HOU +1.5-110

HOU -102

Available at FanDuel. For the 11th consecutive game, the Texans' moneyline is a value by my model. What a wild year this has been. But the model has been good with this so far as the Texans are 6-4, and four of the wins were at plus money. Here, they're -102 against the Jags (though you can find them at plus money elsewhere), but even that sells them short a bit. I've bumped up the Jags in my model after their offense looked back on track last week with Zay Jones out there. Even with that, I've got the Texans favored by 1.9 at home, implying there's value at this number. Even after CJ Stroud's three-pick day, the Texans rank fourth in numberFire's schedule-adjusted passing efficiency, and they're 10th in overall offense. The ground game has been more efficient of late, making it less detrimental when they decide to pound the rock more than they should. I respect the Jags and think they're better than they've played to this point, but I do agree with the model that the Texans are still undervalued.

Featured Insight
The Jaguars have thrown for 20+ yards on 12 of 96 attempts since Week 8 -- tied for sixth-best in NFL. The Texans allowed 20+ yards on 11.0% of attempts since Week 8 -- tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 17.0% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since Week 8 -- tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Texans have pressured opposing QBs on 37.0% of passing plays since Week 8 -- best in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Texans are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Texans are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Texans are 3-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	6-8	3-4	3-4	4-7	2-1
Jaguars	8-6	3-3	4-2	1-3	7-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Texans	4-10	1-6	3-4	4-7	0-3
Jaguars	8-6	3-3	3-3	3-1	5-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	9-5	N/A	N/A	9-2	0-3
Jaguars	3-11	N/A	N/A	2-2	1-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 19th	ARI	W 21-16	-5.5 L	U 48	HOU -240
Nov 12th	@CIN	W 30-27	+5.5 W	O 46	HOU +205
Nov 5th	TB	W 39-37	-2.5 L	O 39.5	HOU -149
Oct 29th	@CAR	L 13-15	-3.5 L	U 43	CAR -166
Oct 15th	NO	W 20-13	+2 W	U 42.5	HOU +110

Josh Reynolds
WR
Reynolds is questionable with hand
Questionable

Evan Engram
TE
Engram is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Kirk
WR
Kirk is out with collarbone
Out
Logan Cooke
P
Cooke is questionable with knee
Questionable
Andrew Wingard
S
Wingard is questionable with knee
Questionable
Gabe Davis
WR
Davis is out with knee
Out
Ross Matiscik
LS
Matiscik is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Trevor Lawrence
QB
Trevor Lawrence placed on injured reserve. Mac Jones will start.
Out
Tyson Campbell
CB
Campbell is questionable with thigh
Questionable
Esezi Otomewo
DT
Otomewo is questionable with calf
Questionable
Yasir Abdullah
LB
Abdullah is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Maason Smith
DT
Smith is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Keilan Robinson
RB
Robinson is questionable with toe
Questionable

Jerry Hughes
DE
Hughes is questionable with hip
Questionable
Jeff Okudah
CB
Okudah is questionable with quad
Questionable
Kenyon Green
G
Green is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Harris
LB
Harris is questionable with calf
Questionable
Juice Scruggs
OL
Scruggs is out with foot
Out
Nick Broeker
G
Broeker is questionable with hand
Questionable
Cade Stover
TE
Stover is out with illness
Out
Jamal Hill
LB
Hill is questionable with knee
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Jaguars

Total

Texans

445

Total Yards

352

Total Plays

6.5

Yards Per Play

6.1

Jaguars

Passing

Texans

364

YDS

304

23/38

Comps/Atts

26/36

9.579

YPA

6.525

1/1

TDs/INTs

2/0

0/0

Sacks/Yards

4/43

Jaguars

Rushing

Texans

Rush Yards

Attempts

2.7

YPC

5.056

TDs

Jaguars

Turnovers

Texans

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Jaguars

Efficiency

Texans

2/3 66.67%

Redzone

3/3 100%

7/13 0%

3rd Down

6/13 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Jaguars

First Downs

Texans

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Jaguars

Misc

Texans

6/35

Penalties/Yards

7/49

33:54

Possession

26:06

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MatchupOverUnder
Jaguars 3-11	o24.5+104	u24.5-123
Texans 9-5	o23.5-126	u23.5-105

Jaguars vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - November 26, 2023

Jaguars at Texans

Jacksonville Jaguars

Houston Texans

Jaguars at Texans Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Jaguars

Texans

Jaguars vs. Texans Previews & Analysis

Our Staff's NFL Best Bets for the 4 ET Slate

NFL Best Bets: Sunday Late-Slate Player Props

NFL Week 12 Picks for Every Game, Every Team

PropBetGuy's Favorite NFL Week 12 Picks

Jaguars vs. Texans Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Jaguars vs. Texans Public Betting Percentages

Jaguars

Public

Texans

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Jaguars vs. Texans Injury Updates

Jaguars Injuries

Texans Injuries

Jaguars vs. Texans Odds Comparison

Jaguars at Texans Team Totals