Patriots vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - December 31, 2023

Patriots at Bills

6:00 pm • CBS
21 - 27

Patriots at Bills Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Patriots
2-6
+14
+14.5-105
o40-112
+750
Bills
6-2
u40
-14.5-115
u40-108
-1200
location pinSunday 6:00 p.m.
December 31, 2023
Highmark StadiumOrchard Park
Patriots vs. Bills Expert Picks
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
306d ago
Last 30d: 30-24-0 (+3.1u)
Under 51.5 (Live)-120
0.2u
Full game total is toast after a joke of a start. 20 points with very little offense from either team. Small play on what will hopefully be a lower scoring game going forward
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
306d ago
Last 30d: 104-136-0 (-14.7u)
BUF -8.5 (Live)-110
0.5u
Why are the Bills such bozos man wtf is this
BUF -14-110
1u
Fading the Pats after a road win - Buffalo mob deep
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
306d ago
Last 30d: 89-107-4 (-8.7u)
Under 40.5-110
0.55u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
307d ago
Last 30d: 11-29-0 (+15.0u)
S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
1u
@charliedisturco
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
307d ago
Last 30d: 49-41-1 (+6.5u)
BUF u26.5 Team Total+104
2u
YBK Picks.com
307d ago
Last 30d: 47-51-1 (-13.8u)
BUF -14.5-105
2u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
307d ago
Last 30d: 192-226-1 (-23.1u)
Under 40.5-118
1u
Convince Me
Convince Me
307d ago
Last 30d: 27-21-0 (+2.4u)
Under 40.5-110
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
307d ago
Last 30d: 21-21-1 (-4.0u)
NE +14.5-110
0.91u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
307d ago
Last 30d: 198-212-3 (-4.0u)
E.Elliott Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190
2u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
307d ago
Last 30d: 30-24-0 (+3.1u)
Under 40.5-115
1.15u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
308d ago
Last 30d: 61-75-1 (+8.4u)
S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
0.5u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
309d ago
Last 30d: 18-23-0 (-4.1u)
BUF -13-110
1u
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
310d ago
Last 30d: 7-16-1 (-11.0u)
BUF -12-105
1.05u
Stuckey 1
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
310d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +13.5-110
0.91u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
310d ago
Last 30d: 61-47-3 (+2.6u)
BUF -12-110
0.6u
Streak on the line
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
312d ago
Last 30d: 9-25-0 (-9.1u)
Over 40.5-110
0.91u
Available at FanDuel. I'm showing value in the Bills' spread at -11.5, but with it being between key numbers, I'd rather just take the game total over. My model has that at 44.3, a good chunk above this mark. As of now, the weather in Buffalo looks great for December with temperatures above freezing and just 9 mph winds. That should allow these offenses to operate at full capacity. Neither defense has been one to write home about, and the Bills have shown they can generate explosives whether they decide to lean on the run or the pass. Pace in this game is middling, so it's nothing to drag things down much. I don't see a ton of reasons to be wary of this number, especially as we get a win on a key number of 41. The Bills could get there by themselves, so this is my preferred route to exposure to them in this spot.

PRO Insights

Patriots logo

Patriots

NE Insights
  • Patriots logoThe Patriots have allowed 5.9 yards per dropback when defending on plays to the left since Week 13 -- 9th-best in NFL; the Bills have thrown for 5.9 yards per attempt on plays to the left side of the field since Week 13 -- 9th-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Bills logo

Bills

BUF Insights
  • Bills logoThe Bills have gained at least 5 yards on 45.0% of first down plays since Week 13 -- T-8th-best in NFL; the Patriots have allowed at least 5 yards on 44.0% of first down plays since Week 13 -- T-8th-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Patriots vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

  • NFL Best Bets: Our Favorite Sunday Player Props article feature image

    NFL Best Bets: Our Favorite Sunday Player Props

    Action Network Staff
    Dec 31, 2023 UTC
  • Gallant's Week 17 ATD Picks & Game Previews article feature image

    Gallant's Week 17 ATD Picks & Game Previews

    Gilles Gallant
    Dec 31, 2023 UTC
  • Sunday's 2 Sharpest NFL Predictions article feature image

    Sunday's 2 Sharpest NFL Predictions

    PJ Walsh
    Dec 31, 2023 UTC
  • Stuckey's NFL Week 17 ATS Picks article feature image

    Stuckey's NFL Week 17 ATS Picks

    Stuckey
    Dec 31, 2023 UTC
See more NFL Coverage Right Arrow

Patriots vs. Bills Props

Prop Projections

See All
Right Arrow

There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.

Prop Odds Comparison

Right Arrow
Right Arrow

No props found

Line Movement Tracker

Right Arrow
Right Arrow

Patriots vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

48%

Bets%

52%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills
5-32-13-24-11-2
Patriots
2-6-11-2-11-30-12-5-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Bills
4-43-01-44-10-3
Patriots
5-43-11-30-15-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills
6-2N/AN/A5-01-2
Patriots
2-6N/AN/A0-12-6

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 24th@LACW 24-22-12.5 LO 44.5BUF -800
Dec 17thDALW 31-10-2.5 WU 49.5BUF -140
Dec 10th@KCW 20-17+1.5 WU 49BUF +105
Nov 26th@PHIL 34-37+2.5 LO 48.5PHI +124
Nov 19thNYJW 32-6-8.5 WU 39.5BUF -380

Patriots vs. Bills Injury Updates

Patriots Injuries

  • Sione Takitaki
    LB

    Takitaki is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Kyle Dugger
    S

    Dugger is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Drake Maye
    QB

    Maye is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

  • Layden Robinson
    OL

    Robinson is out with ankle

    Out

Bills Injuries

  • Amari Cooper
    WR

    Cooper is questionable with wrist

    Questionable

  • Curtis Samuel
    WR

    Samuel is questionable with pectoral

    Questionable

  • Terrel Bernard
    LB

    Bernard is out with ankle

    Out

  • DeWayne Carter
    DT

    Carter is out with wrist

    Out

Team Stats
294
Total Yards
281
53
Total Plays
68
5.5
Yards Per Play
4.1
209
YDS
169
16/26
Comps/Atts
15/30
6.586
YPA
4.968
0/3
TDs/INTs
0/1
3/18
Sacks/Yards
1/15
103
Rush Yards
127
24
Attempts
37
4.292
YPC
3.432
2
TDs
2

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
3
Interceptions
1

Efficiency

2/2 100%
Redzone
2/5 40%
4/10 0%
3rd Down
7/15 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
0/0 0%

First Downs

16
Total
19
8
Pass
8
7
Rush
10
1
Penalty
1
2/20
Penalties/Yards
4/32
27:08
Possession
32:52

Patriots vs. Bills Odds Comparison

Right Arrow

Could not load odds

Patriots at Bills Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Patriots
2-6
o12.5-110
u12.5+100
Bills
6-2
o27.5-102
u27.5-116