Steelers vs. Jets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2025

Steelers at Jets

5:00 pm • CBS
34 - 32

Steelers at Jets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Steelers
2-1
-3
-3-110
o38-110
-162
Jets
0-3
u39.5
+3-110
u38-110
+140
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
September 07, 2025
MetLife StadiumEast Rutherford
Steelers vs. Jets Expert Picks
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 28-36-3 (-1.6u)
PIT -2 (Live)-110
0.25u
Boyd / FanDuel
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 172-160-0 (+3.2u)
Deshon Elliott o5.5 Tackles + Ast -120
1u
DeadPresPicks
DeadPresPicks
Last 30d: 13-21-0 (+1.3u)
B.Hall First Touchdown Scorer Yes+750
0.12u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 71-76-2 (-12.8u)
Under 38.5-110
1.1u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 33-44-0 (-11.2u)
NYJ +3+100
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 47-48-3 (+2.4u)
J.Warren o12.5 Rush Att-115
1.15u
Matthew Freedman
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 29-36-0 (-5.8u)
Over 37.5-112
1u
Projection: 40.1. For more, check out the Fantasy Life game models.
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 46-54-1 (-4.8u)
NYJ o16.5 Team Total+100
3u
Can only do 3U on action got it at -120
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 3-4-0 (-2.0u)
B.Hall o2.5 Recs-130
1.3u
Even through injuries and inconsistent workloads, Breece Hall has established himself as one of the league’s premier pass-catching backs. He’s averaged 4.8 targets per game in his career, 4th-most among RBs since entering the league, and caught 57 of 76 targets last season, clearing 2.5 receptions in 10 of 16 games. Additionally, usage was promising with Hall being targeted on 14% of his team receptions last year, the 4th-highest rate in his position per FantasyPoints. Entering Week 1’s matchup only strengthens the case. With Alijah Vera-Tucker out and a rookie at right tackle, T.J. Watt and the Steelers’ front should force constant pressure. Justin Fields historically funnels targets to his backs when hurried, his 19.2% RB target rate ranked 5th among QBs last season, and new OC Tanner Engstrand comes from Detroit, where Lions RBs finished top-3 in designed targets (33), total targets (101), and led the league in receiving yards (845) in 2024. Add in Garrett Wilson’s likely shadow matchup with Joey Porter Jr. and a thin WR depth chart behind him, and Hall is positioned as the offense’s most reliable underneath outlet. The line of 2.5 receptions undersells both his career baseline and the specific game environment. I'm expecting it to be very gross and ugly today and the gameplan being quick-hitting throws to move the chains. Normally last season, we'd have to worry about Davante Adams taking usage, but now on the Rams, this should only better the first-read. Combining Fields’ checkdown habits, Engstrand’s RB-friendly scheme, and a compromised O-line, Hall likely has the easiest path to see targets on his team today. #PlayerProps @everyone
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 64-94-3 (-18.9u)
J.Ramsey o3.5 Tackles + Ast+114
1u
@RoyalsProps tail
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 56-69-2 (-8.6u)
PIT u20.5 Team Total-115
1u
Revenge day for the Jets
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 86-81-0 (+9.5u)
NYJ +2.5+110
1.1u
Austin Pendergrass
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 58-48-0 (+1.1u)
PIT -148
0.68u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 121-115-1 (+7.5u)
NYJ +2322
1u
Round robin on X
PIT +330
3.3u
If jets lose RR
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 161-171-4 (-4.3u)
NYJ +3-112
0.25u
Via @ChrisRaybon
Under 38.5-112
0.56u
Exchange
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 172-160-0 (+3.2u)
M.Taylor o21.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Zense
Zense
Last 30d: 1-4-0 (-3.1u)
Under 37.5+100
1u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 38-98-0 (+11.2u)
J.Fields u46.5 Rush Yds-111
1.11u
Justin Fields under 46.5 rush yds (-111 DK) Last year with PIT averaged 38.5 in his six starts, but the Jets do plan on leaning into his strengths more. Even with that said, I still like the under thanks to the opponent and situation PIT allowed the fewest scrambles last year thanks to the highest rate of single-high safety use in the league, keeping an extra man in the box Scrambles tend to result in higher rush yds/att than designed runs and Fields has averaged 3.86 yards per carry MORE on scrambles than designed runs in his career PIT has also spent a bit this offseason on defense, and could be even better than in years past Fields could also see a kneel down or two if the Jets were to win (less than a FG underdog), which is a shorter dog than the average Fields start, meaning a slightly higher chance of kneeldowns than average for him. And with a higher chance of leading than the average Fields start, a more run-oriented script with fewer dropbacks may be in order -- further limiting scrambles in favor of designed runs (or just more RB runs). Projecting just north of 40 yards and would play this even at 45.5
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 10-13-1 (-3.8u)
Under 38-110
1.1u
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 28-80-0 (-25.0u)
Under 38.5-110
1.1u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 16-81-0 (-24.6u)
Under 38.5-110
1u
This game is chock full of delicious narratives with a weird double revenge spot for Aaron Rodgers and Justin Fields, but I'm asking a different question: how is either of these teams going to score? Rodgers didn't play a snap in the preseason. That's probably not shocking for a quarterback in his 40s with plenty of injury history, but it also means Rodgers has yet to play a real down of football with any of his new Steelers teammates. It means we have no idea how Rodgers looks in an Arthur Smith offense that doesn't suit his strengths, nor if he has any chemistry with DK Metcalf or rhythm with his new young offensive line. There's simply no proof of concept with this Rodgers offense yet, and the Jets defense is still incredibly talented and should benefit from a fresh start under Aaron Glenn. It's even uglier the other direction. The Jets didn't have much offense heading into the season as it was, and now they just lost stud G Alijah Vera-Tucker for the year on the eve of the season. That's a tough hit losing your best lineman for what might have been the strength of the offense, especially against this fearsome Steelers defensive front as good as any in the league. It remains to be seen what new Jets OC Tanner Engstrand's offense looks like. Maybe New York can run the ball some on Pittsburgh — but a heavy run script means a faster clock, and that suits the under too. Justin Fields is not a serious NFL quarterback at this point, and Pittsburgh's defense just spent an entire year practicing him and knows exactly how to limit his few strengths. Where do the points come from? Bettors are already hitting the under, with this line dropping from 39.5 at open to 38.5, but that's not a particularly valuable key number and anything above 37 should be fine. Mike Tomlin road unders early in the season have been a wagon. In the first 10 games of the season, Tomlin road unders are 65% for his career, and that includes an obscene 40-11-1 since just 2014 — 78% to the under, by almost five points a game! We started Week 1 last season with a Tomlin road under, so let's get right back on the horse. Sometimes the obvious pick is also the good one. Care for a little Week 1 mineshaft? Under 34.5 runs at +156, with under 30.5 at +255 (both at bet365). I'll play another direction. Doesn't this just feel like one of those games the Steelers lose in Week 1 — Rodgers too, for that matter? If this one stays below 38.5 it should be close and give the Jets a chance. I'll place a portion of my bet parlaying the under 38.5 with a Jets moneyline at +325 (DraftKings).
Anders
Anders
Last 30d: 13-12-0 (+1.3u)
NYJ +3-115
1u
Great start to our NFL season, here’s an early one for y’all
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 28-36-3 (-1.6u)
NYJ u18.5 Team Total-110
0.25u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 86-81-0 (+9.5u)
NYJ +2.5+102
3.06u
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 17-22-1 (-8.4u)
J.Ramsey o3.5 Tackles + Ast+102
1u
Absolute criminal line on DK
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 28-80-0 (-25.0u)
Under 38.5-110
1.1u
@ChrisRaybon Favorite Total https://myaction.app/naCzRpNcoWb
Kenny Ducey
Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 27-21-1 (+4.7u)
NYJ +125
1u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 117-104-5 (+1.1u)
Under 38.5-108
0.54u
Tailing @ChrisRaybon
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 20-17-1 (+14.0u)
Under 38.5-108
1u
✅Tomlin road unders 58-31-1 (65%) since 2014 ✅Glenn 2nd-highest blitz%, Rodgers bottom-5 YPA/aDOT vs blitz ✅NYJ self-stated offensive goal “8 yard passes”
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 78-63-1 (+12.8u)
B.Hall o17.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 95-108-7 (+34.5u)
Over 38.5-105
1u
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 70-91-0 (-28.9u)
NYJ +3-110
0.91u
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 20-17-1 (+14.0u)
NYJ +3-110
0.91u

Steelers vs. Jets Previews & Analysis

  • Stuckey's NFL Week 1 Picks & Anytime TD Parlay article feature image

    Stuckey's NFL Week 1 Picks & Anytime TD Parlay

    Stuckey
    Sep 7, 2025 UTC
  • Gallant's TD Picks & Preview for Every NFL Game article feature image

    Gallant's TD Picks & Preview for Every NFL Game

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    Sep 7, 2025 UTC
  • Steelers vs. Jets: Raybon's Over/Under Prediction article feature image

    Steelers vs. Jets: Raybon's Over/Under Prediction

    chris.raybon
    Sep 7, 2025 UTC
  • Raybon's NFL Week 1 Predictions article feature image

    Raybon's NFL Week 1 Predictions

    chris.raybon
    Sep 7, 2025 UTC
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Steelers vs. Jets Props

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Steelers vs. Jets Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Steelers

Public

52%

Bets%

48%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Jets
2-11-11-0N/A2-1
Steelers
1-20-11-11-2N/A

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Jets
2-11-11-0N/A2-1
Steelers
2-11-01-12-1N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Jets
0-3N/AN/AN/A0-3
Steelers
2-1N/AN/A2-1N/A

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 22ndPHIL 17-19-3 LO 34.5PHI -170
Aug 16th@NYGL 12-31+3 LO 37.5NYG +136
Aug 10th@GBW 30-10+3.5 WO 37.5NYJ +165
Jan 5thMIAW 32-20-2.5 WO 39.5NYJ -142
Dec 29th@BUFL 14-40+10 LO 44BUF +400

Jets vs. Steelers Injury Updates

Jets Injuries

  • Josh Reynolds
    WR

    Reynolds is doubtful with hamstring

    Doubtful

  • Chukwuma Okorafor
    T

    Okorafor is questionable with hand

    Questionable

  • Justin Fields
    QB

    Fields is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

  • Alijah Vera-Tucker
    G

    Vera-Tucker is out with triceps

    Out

  • Esa Pole
    T

    Pole is out with ankle

    Out

Steelers Injuries

  • Skylar Thompson
    QB

    Thompson is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

Team Stats
271
Total Yards
394
54
Total Plays
62
5
Yards Per Play
6.4
244
YDS
218
22/30
Comps/Atts
16/22
6.412
YPA
9.217
4/0
TDs/INTs
1/0
4/26
Sacks/Yards
1/6
53
Rush Yards
182
20
Attempts
39
2.65
YPC
4.667
0
TDs
3

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
1
0
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

3/3 100%
Redzone
3/4 75%
4/10 0%
3rd Down
7/14 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
1/2 0%

First Downs

19
Total
23
14
Pass
9
2
Rush
13
3
Penalty
1
4/26
Penalties/Yards
7/74
25:17
Possession
34:43

Steelers vs. Jets Odds Comparison

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Steelers at Jets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Steelers
2-1
N/A
u20.5-126
Jets
0-3
o17.5-102
u17.5-121