Guardians vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Guardians at Reds

11:10 pm • BSOH

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

5 - 3

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Suter			3.15	1-0
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	-1.5	-1.5+145	o9-113	-105
Reds 0-2	u9	+1.5-175	u9-106	-113

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

June 11, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

T.McKenzie o5.5 Ks+144

CLE -108

CLE -1.5+140

2.8u

CIN +110 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -118

Under 9-101

$24.75

CIN +106

0.5u

Bet to +100

CIN -110 (F5)

2.2u

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 33% against the Guardians RPs over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. Reds hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 31% over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Reds RPs since last season -- tied for second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% since last season -- worst in MLB.

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The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Jeimer Candelario is batting just .235 since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .191 (80-for-418) against Triston McKenzie since the 2022 season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Brent Suter has an average fastball velocity of just 86.3 MPH this season -- 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.4 -- first Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.188 (19 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .352 -- first Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed an OPS of 1.399 (39 PA's) against right-handed batters over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .643 -- second Percentile.

Brent Suter has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since last season -- 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.7 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Reds' 79 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 9th	CHC	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 9	CHC +114
Jun 8th	CHC	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -125
Jun 7th	CHC	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -137
Jun 6th	CHC	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -130
Jun 5th	@COL	W 12-7	-1.5 W	O 12	CIN -148

Keegan Thompson
RP
Thompson is out with inactive
Out
Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	75	5.1	4	2
LT.Herrin, P	14	0.2	1	0
LS.Hentges, P	19	1.1	3	0
RC.Smith, P	10	0.2	1	0
RE.Clase, P	22	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-4	1	0	2
2T.Freeman, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-5	1	1	3
5D.Fry, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7K.Manzardo, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Arias, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Arias, DH	0-1	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	1	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	2-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Suter, P	15	1	0	0
RN.Martinez, P	39	1.2	2	3
LS.Moll, P	22	1.1	1	0
RL.Sims, P	14	1.1	0	0
LJ.Wilson, P	18	1	2	0
RF.Cruz, P	17	0.2	1	1
RB.Farmer, P	27	2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-5	1	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	1	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	1
4S.Steer, 1B	1-4	0	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-2	0	0
5S.Fairchild, PH	1-1	1	0
5S.Fairchild, RF	1-1	1	0
6T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, DH	0-1	0	0
7S.Espinal, PH	0-2	0	0
7S.Espinal, DH	0-2	0	0
8J.India, 2B	1-4	0	1
9W.Benson, LF	0-2	0	0
9B.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0
9B.Dunn, LF	0-1	0	0