Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 20, 2024

Timberwolves at Nuggets

12:00 am • TNT

Minnesota Timberwolves

4-3

98 - 90

Denver Nuggets

3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Timberwolves 4-3	+4.5-109	o201-111	+162
Nuggets 3-4	-4.5-111	u201-109	-194

Monday 12:00 a.m.

May 20, 2024

Ball ArenaDenver

N.Reid o7.5 Pts+Rebs (Live)-122

0.41u

MIN -2 (2H)-112

N.Jokic u22.5 Rebs (Live)-122

0.41u

Live on playback

M.Porter o13.5 Pts-121

MIN +4.5-110

A.Edwards o27.5 Pts-115

1.15u

J.Murray o19.5 Pts-120

DEN -4.5-112

2.24u

Over 99 (1H)-110

2.2u

MIN +5-113

MIN +165

1.65u

MIN +142 (1H)

DEN -195

Over 201-105

A.Edwards o28.5 Pts-105

1.05u

MIN +165

1.65u

DEN -2.5 (1H)-110

0.45u

DEN -190

A.Edwards o28.5 Pts-115

1.15u

NBA Straight

Under 199.5-109

0.92u

MIN +5-110

$50.00

K.Towns o18.5 Pts-122

$50.00

N.Jokic o29.5 Pts-113

M.Conley o16.5 Pts+Ast-104

1.04u

R.Gobert o23.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

Rudy has been a polarizing figure throughout this entire series as people have questioned just how impactful his defense has been in defending Jokic and the Nuggets; however, he can make his presence felt on both sides of the floor. Gobert has functioned as a floater defensively and gets to grab a few additional rebounds because of it. Also, on the offensive side of the ball, he has been an effective roll man with either Ant or Mike Conley. One the things Denver is giving up to Gobert in his two-man game is the ability to dish. This series he has averaged 2 assists per game on 3.6 potentials with at least one in each game. It gives a nice floor for this prop with some additional upside as he has had 3, 1, 1, 3, and 2 assists in these games. As for the PRA, he has an excellent history against Jokic. Over his last 10 head-to-head games he has exceeded 23.5 PRA in seven of them including three in a row. This is a winner-take-all Game 7 and Gobert should see plenty of run. I like him to exceed 23.5 PRA

C.Braun o7.5 Pts+Rebs-135

0.74u

Best Bets: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-best-bets-expert-picks-for-knicks-vs-pacers-nuggets-vs-timberwolves

N.Jokic u51.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+110

Projection leans to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -107

R.Gobert o10.5 Pts+105

1.05u

Projection leans to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -112

A.Gordon u4.5 Ast-145

0.69u

Projection leans to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -189

DEN -2.5 (1H)-109

0.92u

Great trend posted by Andrew O'Connor-Watts. Teams coming home after losing by double digits on the road in Game 6 are 11-1 ats since 2016 (76% ROI) and 18-5 ats since 2005 (50.2% ROI) in the first half at home in game 7s.

A.Edwards o27.5 Pts-120

0.6u

#Tailing @TheBMatt

M.Porter o2.5 3pt M+110

0.5u

IT’S 3PM SOMEWHERE!!

Under 196.5-110

2.73u

DEN -4.5-115

Over 196.5-110

N.Reid o8.5 Pts-105

0.95u

Projection leans to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -125

A.Edwards o27.5 Pts-115

1.15u

Elimination game. Expecting higher volume in a must win from Edwards

DEN -188

@ChrisRaybon

DEN -4.5-105

2.1u

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Featured Insight
The Nuggets are 26-9 (.743) when they win the turnover margin this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Timberwolves have averaged 14.2 turnovers per game this season -- 9th-highest in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nuggets are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nuggets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	38-42-2	21-19-1	17-23-1	33-37-2	5-5
Timberwolves	40-40-2	18-22-1	22-18-1	29-31-2	11-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nuggets	34-47-1	19-22	15-25-1	30-41-1	4-6
Timberwolves	41-40-1	18-22-1	23-18	29-32-1	12-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	7-5	N/A	N/A	53-19	4-6
Timberwolves	9-7	N/A	N/A	47-15	9-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 17th	@MIN	L 70-115	+2 L	U 205.5	MIN +110
May 15th	MIN	W 112-97	-4.5 W	O 205	DEN -185
May 13th	@MIN	W 115-107	+4 W	O 205	DEN +142
May 11th	@MIN	W 117-90	+3.5 W	O 205.5	DEN +133
May 7th	MIN	L 80-106	-7 L	U 209.5	MIN -292

Vlatko Cancar
SF
Cancar is out with knee
Out
DaRon Holmes
SF
Holmes is out with achilles
Out
Spencer Jones
SF
Jones is out with adductor
Out

Donte DiVincenzo
PG
DiVincenzo is out with toe
Out
Terrence Shannon
PG
Shannon is out with foot
Out

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scoring
Jamal Murray
35
ppg
rebounding
Nikola Jokic
19
rpg
assists
Nikola Jokic
7
apg
shooting
Jamal Murray
48.1
fg%

Timberwolves

Nuggets

31-79 (39%)

Field Goals

34-83 (41%)

26-30 (87%)

Free Throws

14-16 (88%)

10-34 (29%)

8-33 (24%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

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MatchupOverUnder
Timberwolves 4-3	o97.5-125	u97.5-105
Nuggets 3-4	o102.5-110	u102.5-120

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 20, 2024

Timberwolves at Nuggets

Minnesota Timberwolves

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Game 7, Timberwolves vs Nuggets: Back Denver

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