Illinois vs. Arkansas Odds & Betting Predictions - March 16, 2023

Illinois at Arkansas

8:34 pm • TBS

Illinois Fighting Illini

21-12

63 - 73

Arkansas Razorbacks

20-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Illinois 21-12	+2.5-110	o143.5-110	+115
Arkansas 20-13	-2.5-110	u143.5-110	-138

Thursday 8:34 p.m.

March 16, 2023

Wells Fargo ArenaDes Moines

ARK -130

ILL +0.5 (2H)-108

0.5u

Hedge window with #WPS pregame

ARK -132

0.76u

ILL +2-110

1.1u

Over 66 (1H)-115

1.5u

ILL +2-105

2.1u

C.Hawkins o2.5 Ast+108

1.19u

Projection - 2.8: For more, check out BettingPros.

ARK -130

0.08u

Round Robin 1/5

ARK -2-104

0.25u

ARK -130

0.77u

ILL +2-110

1.1u

Over 143.5-115

0.58u

ILL +1.5-110

1.1u

ARK -1.5-115

0.13u

ARK -2-110

0.25u

ARK -2-110

0.45u

Just a basketball pick. Arkansas preseason top 10, #1 recruit class, finally healthy while Illinois is only trending down. Look at Arkansas sweet 16 odds or further- the talent is there and the number is too long.

M.Mayer u15.5 Pts-115

Averaged 12.1 ppg in the 30 games he played with Terrance Shannon Jr - under in 19/30. He’s a three point shooter - 62% of his shots and 49% of his points are from deep. Arkansas shuts off the three incredibly well, ranking 25th nationally in opp 3P% (30.6%), 5th in opp 3P made (5.1), and 11th in opp 3P rate (30.1%). They are especially adept at stopping above the break threes, which is Mayer’s preferred spot (164 of his 321 total shots are above the break).

ARK -2-110

POD

Under 144.5-110

0.91u

+7 (Projection: 137.5) Sharp Report +2 w $%

ARK -1.5-110

$100.00

ARK -124

0.2u

#KeepRollingItUp Audio: https://myaction.app/WMaLaruxayb Written: https://www.actionnetwork.com/content/ncaa-tournament-moneyline-rollover-strategy-dr-giffen-guide-betting-2023-march-madness/embed

ILL +2.5-105

0.53u

ARK -2.5-118

0.85u

ARK -1.5-120

See Action Instant writeup

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See more NCAAB Coverage

Illinois is the public's third favorite No. 9 seed upset pick, showing up in 46% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.

As of the start of the First Round, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod is No. 1 Kansas, with 58.8% odds.

Since 2002, No. 8 seeds like Arkansas are 43-37 against No. 9 seeds like Illinois in the First Round (53.8% win rate, breakeven moneyline -116).

No. 8 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 40-38-2 ATS (51.2% cover rate, average spread -0.9).

The No. 8 vs. No. 9 matchup has gone over the full game total 60.6% of the time (47-30-3, average over/under line 136.6).

No. 8 Arkansas has played in eight of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 9-8 straight up and 6-11 against the spread in 17 total games.

No props found

NCAAB Public Betting

Arkansas are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Arkansas are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Arkansas are 5-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Arkansas' 20 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Arkansas	14-18-1	9-10-1	5-8	6-11-1	8-7
Illinois	16-17	12-7	4-10	14-11	2-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Arkansas	15-18	9-11	6-7	9-9	6-9
Illinois	20-13	11-8	9-5	15-10	5-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Arkansas	20-13	N/A	N/A	15-3	5-10
Illinois	21-12	N/A	N/A	19-6	2-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 11th	@TXAM	L 61-67	+1 L	U 138.5	TXAM -105
Mar 10th	@AUB	W 76-73	-2.5 W	O 143.5	ARK -145
Mar 4th	UK	L 79-88	-5 L	O 141.5	UK -205
Mar 1st	@TENN	L 57-75	+5.5 L	U 134.5	TENN +198
Feb 25th	@ALA	L 83-86	+7.5 W	O 153.5	ALA +275

Ty Rodgers
G/F
Rodgers is out for season with redshirt
Out for Season

Malique Ewin
F
Ewin is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Adou Thiero
F
Thiero is questionable with knee
Questionable

See more NCAAB Injuries

Illinois

Arkansas

20-52 (38%)

Field Goals

24-63 (38%)

17-26 (65%)

Free Throws

22-29 (76%)

6-22 (27%)

3-11 (27%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

See more NCAAB Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Illinois 21-12	N/A	N/A
Arkansas 20-13	N/A	N/A

Illinois vs. Arkansas Odds & Betting Predictions - March 16, 2023

Illinois at Arkansas

Illinois Fighting Illini

Arkansas Razorbacks

Illinois at Arkansas Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Illinois vs. Arkansas Previews & Analysis

Expert Betting System's Top 11 Picks for Friday

March Madness Day 1 Live: Betting Trends, Notes, Data & More

Illinois vs. Arkansas: Lots of Points Expected

Koerner's March Madness Projections: Each Team's Final Four Chances

Bracket Predictions

Tournament Trends

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Illinois vs. Arkansas Public Betting Percentages

Illinois

Public

Arkansas

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Illinois vs. Arkansas Injury Updates

Illinois Injuries

Arkansas Injuries

Illinois vs. Arkansas Odds Comparison

Illinois at Arkansas Team Totals