Broncos vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024

@ChrisRaybon

@convince_me

#ProSystem … early season over after under Overall: 79-37-0,68% (ROI:33%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Full breakdown on Pass the Prop

100+ performance incoming

Maybe you are into rookie WRs with cracked ribs as the 3rd option (at best) on a bad team with a rookie quarterback in a 43 total. I am not and like this a lot presuming he even plays a snap/is active.

Fade recent performance

Bo Nix over 30.5 Pass Attempts (-125 Fliff/Caesars) Nix has been over this line in 2/2 games so far and showing no signs of slowing down. Part of the reason why Nix is throwing the ball so much is because his run game is only getting an average of 2.9 YPC 🤮 That kind of production will definitely not work against a team like the Buccaneer's who have a good run defense. The Tampa weakness is their pass defense that is currently ranked 29th in pass yards allowed and dead last in pass attempts allowed with an average of 40. Jared Goff last week vs the Buccaneer's threw 55, yes 55 times...And that was in a close game, where he has 2 elite running backs. The Lions were actually able to move the ball on the ground because they have one of the best O-lines in football, but for the Broncos, that is not the case. Positive game script for this line and I expect their ground struggles to continue here on the road and force Bo Nix to sling it yet again as +6.5 road dogs.

Over in 1/2 games (but the miss was in a tough spot vs DET) - has been much more productive than White, who is not 100%. Great spot vs a DEN team that’s allowed a ton of volume and production on the ground (33 attempts and 140 yards in each game).

-Did you know the last time Baker played the Broncos his team won 51-14? That’s the most points a Baker lead offense has ever put up. Baker has Denver’s number -After the Jet’s TNF win and cover, favorites of 6+ are now only 1-8 ATS, and I don’t think big underdogs will continue to dominate the spread like they have

#Tailing @ChrisRaybon

11, 8 so far. Payton hinted Badie could get more time and we just saw McLaughlin take a backseat after high-volume, inefficient day.

Raybon 2

Kitchen sink underdog long shot sprinkles

@nick_giffen

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-3-luck-rankings-picks-7-games-fit-thresholds?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=nickgiffen

Had this at 7.5 in my preseason numbers, and nothing we've seen since then has told me I should think differently.

We dont bet favorites