Chargers vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - December 1, 2024

Chargers at Falcons

6:00 pm • CBS

Los Angeles Chargers

9-6

17 - 13

Atlanta Falcons

7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chargers 9-6	+2.5	-1-105	o47-108	-112
Falcons 7-7	u47.5	+1-115	u47-110	-108

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

December 01, 2024

Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta

B.Robinson 25+ Receiving Yards Yes (Live)-150

0.67u

Sweaty VIP CASH✅

ATL o17.5 Team Total (Live)-120

0.5u

More live value

ATL +106 (Live)

👸

Over 43.5 (Live)-113

0.85u

ATL +1-110

1.1u

ATL o23.5 Team Total-105

Buying some VVS with Kirk after this one

ATL o23.5 Team Total-108

2.16u

D.London Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155

1.5u

K.Cousins o1.5 Pass TDs-115

1.73u

Q.Johnston Anytime TD Scorer Yes+240

@GDAWG5000

LAC -1-108

0.46u

LAC -120

ATL +1-111

@The_Oddsmaker

LAC -1-108

0.46u

ATL +1-105

1.05u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

LAC -112

0.89u

K.Cousins o1.5 Pass TDs-105

Zero in back to back games

ATL +100

👸

T.Allgeier o26.5 Rush Yds-125

L.McConkey o64.5 Rec Yds-113

0.88u

Ladd McConkey (LAC) ⬆️ 64.5 Receiving Yards (-113 @ FanDuel) - **McConkey’s Role:** - Leads the team with a 21.6% target share as a rookie. - Over the last two games, McConkey has surpassed 80 yards in both, with 6 receptions on 6 and 9 targets. - In his last five games: - 50+ yards in all 5. - 5+ receptions in 4. - Averaging 6 targets per game in this stretch. - With unreliable options like Quentin Johnston (catch rate < 55%, drop rate ~10%) and Josh Palmer (12.5% target share), McConkey remains Herbert’s most consistent and trusted target. - **Matchup Breakdown:** - Atlanta’s Defensive Weaknesses: - Falcons rank 26th in pressure rate, giving Justin Herbert time in the pocket to find his top target. - McConkey primarily operates out of the slot (71.8% slot snaps), where Atlanta struggles the most. - Atlanta allows the 3rd highest catchable target rate (85.2%) to slot receivers. - 2nd lowest drop rate (1.6%), meaning receivers have clean opportunities to secure passes. - 6th highest catch rate (74.6%) to slot receivers. - **Key Matchup vs. Dee Alford:** - McConkey will likely see plenty of Atlanta slot cornerback Dee Alford, who has been a consistent liability: - Coverage grade of 62.8 (poor). - Allowed the most targets and receptions and 3rd most receiving yards on the Falcons' defense (despite missing a game). **Game Environment:** Atlanta’s inability to generate pressure plays perfectly into Herbert and McConkey’s strengths. With McConkey dominating targets and Atlanta’s defensive vulnerabilities in the slot, this game sets up as another strong performance for the rookie.

Under 23.5 (2H)-105

J.Bates III u6.5 Tackles + Ast-120

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

T.Allgeier o24.5 Rush Yds-113

1.13u

J.Bates III u6.5 Tackles + Ast-120

D.Mooney 50+ Receiving Yards Yes-115

Bet365

Q.Johnston Anytime TD Scorer Yes+270

All-time buy-low spot after the Ravens debacle. Leads NFL in TDs vs Zone defense (6) and leads Chargers in target share vs man defenses. Falcons play zone at top3 rate with 15TDs allowed to WRs, which is bottom-3 in NFL.

J.Herbert o20.5 Pass Comp-120

ATL +2-110

0.6u

ATL +114

Have the Falcons favored here because they're at home off a bye while the Chargers are on a short week after playing Monday. Chargers are the better team -- external factors put me on the Falcons.

ATL +2.5-110

1.1u

Stuckey 2

LAC -2-110

Foxhole

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NFL Public Betting

Falcons are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Falcons are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Falcons are 3-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Falcons' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Falcons' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	5-9	2-5	3-4	4-5	1-4
Chargers	10-4-1	5-2-1	5-2	9-2	1-2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Falcons	5-9	2-5	3-4	4-5	1-4
Chargers	6-9	5-3	1-6	5-6	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	7-7	N/A	N/A	6-3	1-4
Chargers	9-6	N/A	N/A	9-2	0-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 17th	@DEN	L 6-38	+2 L	U 44.5	DEN +112
Nov 10th	@NO	L 17-20	-3.5 L	U 46.5	NO -192
Nov 3rd	DAL	W 27-21	-3 W	U 52	ATL -168
Oct 27th	@TB	W 31-26	-1.5 W	O 47.5	ATL -125
Oct 20th	SEA	L 14-34	-3 L	U 51.5	SEA -157

Denzel Perryman
LB
Perryman is questionable with groin
Questionable

Will Dissly
TE
Dissly is out with shoulder
Out
Jalen Reagor
WR
Reagor is out with finger
Out
J.K. Dobbins
RB
Dobbins is out with knee
Out
Alohi Gilman
S
Gilman is out with hamstring
Out
Deane Leonard
DB
Leonard is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Junior Colson
LB
Colson is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Brenden Rice
WR
Rice is out with shoulder
Out

Mike Hughes
CB
Hughes is questionable with neck
Questionable
James Smith-Williams
DE
Smith-Williams is out with tibia
Out
Ta'Quon Graham
DE
Graham is out with pectoral
Out
Troy Andersen
LB
Andersen is out with knee
Out
Ruke Orhorhoro
DT
Orhorhoro is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Jase McClellan
RB
McClellan is out with knee
Out
Casey Washington
WR
Washington is out with concussion
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Chargers

Total

Falcons

187

Total Yards

350

Total Plays

4.1

Yards Per Play

4.5

Chargers

Passing

Falcons

150

YDS

245

17/24

Comps/Atts

24/39

4.517

YPA

5.85

0/0

TDs/INTs

0/4

5/19

Sacks/Yards

1/11

Chargers

Rushing

Falcons

Rush Yards

116

Attempts

3.294

YPC

3.135

TDs

Chargers

Turnovers

Falcons

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Chargers

Efficiency

Falcons

0/2 0%

Redzone

1/4 25%

3/11 0%

3rd Down

3/14 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

2/4 0%

Chargers

First Downs

Falcons

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Chargers

Misc

Falcons

7/33

Penalties/Yards

2/10

24:05

Possession

35:55

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MatchupOverUnder
Chargers 9-6	o23.5-110	u23.5-110
Falcons 7-7	o23.5-108	u23.5-112

Chargers vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - December 1, 2024

Chargers at Falcons

Los Angeles Chargers

Atlanta Falcons

Chargers at Falcons Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Chargers vs. Falcons Previews & Analysis

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Chargers vs. Falcons Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Chargers vs. Falcons Public Betting Percentages

Chargers

Public

Falcons

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Chargers vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Chargers Injuries

Falcons Injuries

Chargers vs. Falcons Odds Comparison

Chargers at Falcons Team Totals