Commanders vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - November 3, 2024

Commanders at Giants

6:00 pm • FOX

Washington Commanders

9-5

27 - 22

New York Giants

2-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Commanders 9-5	+1.5	-4.5-108	o44.5-110	-207
Giants 2-12	u42	+4.5-112	u44.5-110	+175

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

November 03, 2024

MetLife StadiumEast Rutherford

NYG +13.5 (Live)-110

#Giants have the ball. We absolutely must score or we can lose on the hook. #GamblersDream #SportsBettingPicks #Tailing #ProSystem

NYG +7.5 (Live)-115

0.17u

Live alert

NYG +8.5 (Live)-112

1.5u

NYG +4.5-112

#ProSystem Buy low sell high Overall: 162-100-5,62% (ROI:19%) Season:4-4-0,50% (ROI:-5%)

M.Nabers o68.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

T.Tracy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+105

0.5u

NYG +4.5-112

0.28u

A little protection against landing on 4 since I only got +3.5 midweek

NYG +4-110

J.McNichols o21.5 Rush Yds-110

FanDuel

NYG +4-110

0.27u

J.McNichols o20.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

The Giants run defense has been gashed the last three weeks, allowing 121, 269 and 167 yards. The Commanders RBs ran for 171 on them earlier this season. Ekeler will be the lead back without Robinson, but he also hasn’t cleared 9 attempts this season, and they’ll still want him to mix on most of the passing downs. Monica’s has been solid when given the opportunity: 6.3 ypc with 40+ yards in the three games he saw 7-8 carries. I see him getting 5-6 today (with upside for more).

Under 44.5-110

0.5u

T.Tracy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+135

@TheBMatt

T.Tracy 2+ TDs Yes+1000

0.25u

@TheBMatt

J.Daniels 2+ TDs Yes+1400

0.25u

@GDAWG5000

Under 44.5-110

NYG +4-102

0.5u

NYG +4-108

0.38u

NYG +4-102

@The_Oddsmaker and @nick_giffen

Under 44.5-110

@SimonHunterNFL

T.Tracy 2+ TDs Yes+1000

0.25u

M.Nabers Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

1.5u

Over 44.5-110

1.5u

NYG +4-105

0.5u

NYG +4-108

1.08u

T.Tracy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+145

Best bet for The Touchdown Show

NYG +4-105

M.Nabers Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

🔑 Malik Nabers ATD +150 (FanDuel) 2u Danny dimes hasn’t thrown a TD at home since WW1 but that changes today. He peppers Nabers with targets and the Commanders pass D is bad. Giants always plays well against Washington. Love this spot. Used BetAlytics TD Dashboard. Check out their tools 👇 https://www.BetAlytics.com Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off

Over 44.5-110

1.5u

M.Nabers o72.5 Rec Yds-110

NYG +4-108

1.08u

NYG +4-108

B.Robinson o57.5 Rush Yds-115

1.15u

T.Tracy o59.5 Rush Yds-110

T.Tracy u2.5 Recs-120

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-9-bets-for-nick-chubb-tyrone-tracy-dak-prescott-khalil-shakir-more

D.Jones o24.5 Rush Yds-115

0.87u

W.Robinson o35.5 Rec Yds-115

J.Daniels 2+ TDs Yes+1400

0.25u

T.Tracy o56.5 Rush Yds-115

New York uses man/gap runs at the 5th-highest rate in the league. Washington has been absolutely torched by man/gap runs. The Commanders have allowed the highest yards per carry on man/gap runs by a decent margin at 6.19. The next-closest team is more than half a yard behind them (Arizona at 5.64). Washington has allowed the 3rd-highest success rate on man/gap runs. Opponents have prioritized man/gap runs against the Commanders. No team has seen more man/gap runs than Washington's 122 attempts. They've faced man/gap runs at the 2nd-highest rate (55.5%). Tracy has dominated this backfield over the past month. He had 35 carries in the 2 games Devin Singletary missed, and he racked up a career-high 20 carries against Pittsburgh last week. Singletary had just 2 carries prior to Tracy leaving the Steelers game with a concussion. Tracy has been cleared and is good to go for Week 9.

T.Tracy o12.5 Rush Att-102

Cleared concussion protocol so should be good to go. Over in 3/L4, and looked fantastic last week against a stout run defense - 20 carries for 145 yards. PIT is 7th in DVOA, per FTN). Now he gets WSH who is 24th, and the Giants had success running the ball against them in week 2 (when Singletary was RB1). I see the giants keeping it close enough - but even last week they were running the ball late in the 4Q down two scores. Giants RBs are 6/6 on this line in games determined by 2 scores or less.

T.Tracy o55.5 Rush Yds-110

0.5u

#Tailing @TheBMatt

T.Tracy o55.5 Rush Yds-110

Just rushed for over 100 against the Steelers (only running back to do so this season) and also rushed for over 100 against Seattle. Cleared concussion protocol so I expect he’s good to go.

M.Nabers Anytime TD Scorer Yes+170

M.Nabers 150+ Receiving Yards+910

0.25u

M.Nabers 125+ Receiving Yards+650

0.5u

120+ yards on DK*

M.Nabers 90+ Receiving Yards+250

M.Nabers 100+ Receiving Yards+310

0.75u

M.Nabers o68.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

WAS o24.5 Team Total+105

0.53u

WAS -2.5 (1H)-115

0.52u

NYG +4-110

0.55u

NYG +3.5-110

1.1u

#LuckRankings

WAS -3.5+100

Model makes this -5.38

WAS -3.5-105

2.86u

WAS -2.5-110

1.36u

Week 9 Lookahead

Featured Insight
The Commanders have allowed a passer rating of 76.1 since Week 5 -- 6th-best in NFL; Giants QBs have a 75.8 passer rating since Week 5 -- 5th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Giants have pressured opposing QBs on 39% of pass attempts against motion since Week 5 -- 3rd-best in NFL; the Commanders have run successful plays on 40.0% of pass attempts with motion since Week 5 -- T-7th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 2-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Giants' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	4-10	2-6	2-3	0-1	4-9
Commanders	8-5-1	5-2	3-3-1	6-3	2-2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	5-9	2-6	3-2	0-1	5-8
Commanders	9-5	4-3	5-2	5-4	4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	2-12	N/A	N/A	0-1	2-11
Commanders	9-5	N/A	N/A	7-2	2-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 29th	@PIT	L 18-26	+5.5 L	O 37.5	PIT +230
Oct 20th	PHI	L 3-28	+3 L	U 41.5	PHI +143
Oct 14th	CIN	L 7-17	+4.5 L	U 46.5	CIN +160
Oct 6th	@SEA	W 29-20	+7 W	O 42.5	NYG +255
Sep 27th	DAL	L 15-20	+6 W	U 45	DAL +210

Zach Ertz
TE
Ertz is doubtful with concussion
Doubtful
Tyler Ott
LS
Ott is questionable with illness
Questionable
Jamison Crowder
WR
Crowder is questionable with calf
Questionable
Cornelius Lucas
T
Lucas is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Nick Bellore
LB
Bellore is questionable with knee
Questionable
Zane Gonzalez
K
Gonzalez is questionable with foot
Questionable

Noah Brown
WR
Brown is out with knee
Out
Austin Ekeler
RB
Ekeler is out with concussion
Out
Daron Payne
DT
Payne is questionable with back
Questionable
Greg Joseph
K
Joseph is out with abdomen
Out
Austin Seibert
K
Seibert is out with hip
Out
Colson Yankoff
TE
Yankoff is out with hamstring
Out

Chris Hubbard
T
Hubbard is questionable with knee
Questionable
Rakeem Nunez-Roches
DE
Nunez-Roches is out with neck
Out
Graham Gano
K
Gano is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Austin Schlottmann
OL
Schlottmann is questionable with knee
Questionable
Bobby Okereke
LB
Okereke is out with back
Out
Armon Watts
DT
Watts is out with shoulder
Out
Gunner Olszewski
WR
Olszewski is out with groin
Out
Drew Lock
QB
Lock is doubtful with heel
Doubtful
Jon Runyan
G
Runyan is out with ankle
Out
Azeez Ojulari
OLB
Ojulari is out with toe
Out
Jason Pinnock
S
Pinnock is questionable with abdomen
Questionable
Kayvon Thibodeaux
OLB
Thibodeaux is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Cor'Dale Flott
CB
Flott is doubtful with quad
Doubtful
D.J. Davidson
DE
Davidson is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful
Deonte Banks
CB
Banks is questionable with ribs
Questionable
Dyontae Johnson
LB
Johnson is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Dru Phillips
DB
Phillips is out with shoulder
Out
Theo Johnson
TE
Johnson is out with foot
Out
Darius Muasau
LB
Muasau is questionable with hamstring
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Commanders

Total

Giants

358

Total Yards

326

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

5.5

Commanders

Passing

Giants

209

YDS

174

15/22

Comps/Atts

20/26

9.5

YPA

5.786

2/0

TDs/INTs

2/0

0/0

Sacks/Yards

2/12

Commanders

Rushing

Giants

149

Rush Yards

164

Attempts

3.921

YPC

5.29

TDs

Commanders

Turnovers

Giants

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Commanders

Efficiency

Giants

3/6 50%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

5/12 0%

3rd Down

6/11 0%

2/2 0%

4th Down

2/2 0%

Commanders

First Downs

Giants

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Commanders

Misc

Giants

5/52

Penalties/Yards

4/51

28:00

Possession

32:00

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MatchupOverUnder
Commanders 9-5	o24.5-102	u24.5-118
Giants 2-12	o19.5-125	u19.5+105

Commanders vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - November 3, 2024

Commanders at Giants

Washington Commanders

New York Giants

Commanders at Giants Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Commanders

Giants

Commanders vs. Giants Previews & Analysis

Gallant's Week 9 ATD Picks & Game Previews

Commanders vs. Giants: Fade Washington In This Spot

NFL Best Bets: Sunday Picks on Spreads & Totals

Dr. Nick's NFL Week 9 Player Props

Commanders vs. Giants Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Commanders vs. Giants Public Betting Percentages

Commanders

Public

Giants

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Commanders vs. Giants Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

Giants Injuries

Commanders vs. Giants Odds Comparison

Commanders at Giants Team Totals