Eagles vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 29, 2024

Fading my team is tough but it has to be done

@GDAWG5000

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Points coming from dollar general

@SimonHunterNFL

🔬Bounce back game for Mike after facing Pat Surtain II , he now gets a rookie in his 4th game and a defense that has allowed TD’s to Olave, London & Watson.

Caesars

Bet365

#Tailing @nick_giffen

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-bets-brock-bowers-pick-for-week-4

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice This game sets up well for an Under, with both teams currently navigating inconsistencies on offense while possessing defenses that can dictate the pace of the game. Starting with the Philadelphia Eagles, injuries have hampered their ability to produce points, especially with A.J. Brown's status in question. Although Jalen Hurts is completing over 70% of his passes, his 4 interceptions and the Eagles' offensive struggles to generate points in the red zone are concerning. Hurts’ limited chemistry with his receivers, given Brown’s injury and DeVonta Smith’s heavy usage, creates a scenario where scoring drives could easily stall, leading to field goals rather than touchdowns. The absence of any real explosion from their run game, aside from Saquon Barkley, is another factor limiting the Eagles' ability to control the clock or capitalize on sustained drives. On the other side, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have similar offensive challenges. While Baker Mayfield has been efficient in his passing, his performances have been uneven, especially after coming off a dismal 26-7 loss against Denver. Mayfield has leaned heavily on Chris Godwin, but the lack of a true run threat—highlighted by Bucky Irving's modest 154 rushing yards—hinders the Bucs’ ability to balance their attack. Facing a bruising Eagles defense that ranks well against the run, the Buccaneers may struggle to move the ball with any consistency. Furthermore, Tampa Bay's defense, led by Jamel Dean, should be motivated to bounce back after a tough loss. Dean's 28 tackles and the unit’s ability to create turnovers (2 interceptions this season) will be crucial to limiting Philadelphia's already injury-riddled offense. Defensively, both teams have shown flashes of the form that typically keeps games tight and low-scoring. The Eagles’ defense, bolstered by Zack Baun’s 37 tackles and Reed Blankenship’s pair of interceptions, is more than capable of keeping this game in check, especially considering the Bucs' offensive inconsistency. Philadelphia’s pass rush will likely exploit a Tampa Bay offensive line that is still adjusting, applying pressure on Mayfield and further stalling the Bucs’ attack. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay’s defense, though inconsistent, is still talented enough to slow down a banged-up Eagles offense. In what should be a physical, grind-it-out game, I anticipate a low-scoring affair. Both teams will lean on their defenses to limit explosive plays, and injuries to key offensive players, combined with red-zone inefficiency, point toward a game where both teams struggle to score consistently.

Home dog. My model makes this Bucs -1.57