Giants vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2025

Giants at Commanders

5:00 pm • FOX
6 - 21

Giants at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants
0-3
+6.5
+6.5-116
o45.5-109
+230
Commanders
2-1
u45.5
-6.5-105
u45.5-109
-288
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
September 07, 2025
Northwest StadiumLandover
Giants vs. Commanders Expert Picks
Matthew Freedman
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 29-36-0 (-5.8u)
WAS -6-110
1u
Projection: -8. For more, check out the Fantasy Life game model.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 161-171-4 (-4.3u)
W.Robinson u4.5 Recs-130
0.33u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 46-54-1 (-4.8u)
NYG +6-110
1.65u
Analytics Trends
Analytics Trends
Last 30d: 17-19-0 (-4.3u)
NYG +6.5-115
1.5u
Week 1 Divisional Underdogs 📈 48-11-2 (81.36%) / 53.5% ROI Week 1 Division / Playoff vs Non-Off 📈 44-15 (74.58%) / 42.37% ROI Week 1 Non-Playoff with Spread > 5 📈 22-8 (73.33%) / 40% ROI Russell Wilson as a dog more than 3 📈 25-8-1 (75.76%) / 43.32% ROI Big believer in the commanders taking a major step back this year. I expect this one to be close throughout.
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 33-45-0 (-33.2u)
NYG +6-105
2u
The Pick Don
The Pick Don
Last 30d: 33-21-0 (+9.0u)
NYG +6.5-118
1.18u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 86-81-0 (+9.5u)
NYG +5.5+100
3u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 161-171-4 (-4.3u)
NYG +6-108
0.27u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 113-126-1 (-23.0u)
Under 45.5-108
0.93u
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 21-18-0 (+7.1u)
D.Samuel o1.5 Rush Att+150
3u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 117-104-5 (+1.1u)
T.McLaurin u4.5 Recs-118
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 24-31-0 (-2.1u)
T.McLaurin u4.5 Recs-118
0.5u
McLaurin finally got paid, but he missed most of camp and we’ve seen plenty of top WRs (Chase, Lamb, Aiyuk last year) start slow in that situation. He’s coming off a career year with a 70% catch rate, which was 11.6% over expected, largely fueled by finally having an elite QB in Jayden Daniels under center. However, that level of efficiency is tough to repeat. Now add in more target competition: Deebo Samuel joins the mix, and with Brian Robinson Jr. gone, Austin Ekeler could take on a bigger early-season receiving role out of the backfield. That creates several factors pulling McLaurin’s target share down. I’m projecting him closer to 4.2 receptions, with around a 59% chance to stay under 4.5. He’s still dangerous in receiving yards markets so this isn’t a fade in that market, but his profile makes him another candidate for the “Under receptions, Over yards” style of reverse-correlation parlay I flagged with Wan’Dale if you want to go that route as well.
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 117-104-5 (+1.1u)
W.Robinson u4.5 Recs-122
0.61u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 24-31-0 (-2.1u)
W.Robinson u4.5 Recs-122
0.61u
Robinson has made his living as a low-aDOT volume guy, but Russell Wilson isn’t the best fit for that style. Reports have him lining up outside more, which could mean deeper routes and fewer easy targets underneath. That makes his reception line too high if true. Week 1 props are always a crapshoot (we’re working off beat reports, coachspeak, and speculation) so I’m treading carefully. But this is the type of angle worth taking early. If his role does shift, his receiving yards line (35.5) looks too low. I actually show value both ways, which sets up a reverse-correlation angle: Under 4.5 receptions & Over 30+ receiving yards Parlaying that pays +367, and my sims have it closer to +250 as fair. If he goes his usual 8/30/0, so be it. We’ll finally get real data in Week 1 to sharpen from.
Zense
Zense
Last 30d: 1-4-0 (-3.1u)
NYG +6-108
1u
Roger Goodell
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 30-25-1 (+2.0u)
NYG +6-110
1u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 32-22-0 (+5.9u)
M.Nabers o72.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u
Playing this on pass the prop as Nabers to lead game In receiving +125 on fanduel
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 28-80-0 (-25.0u)
NYG +6.5-112
1.12u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 16-81-0 (-24.6u)
NYG +6.5-112
1u
The history of this rivalry is close. Even last year as the Commanders won 12 games, they beat the terrible Giants by just five and three points. In fact, Washington has won only four of the last 13 games against the Giants. That includes a one-point win too, which means the Commanders have only covered this spread once in 13 games against New York. I'm honestly just not sure either team is that good. Jayden Daniels was brilliant as a rookie but has to do it all over again with defenses readier for him this time around, and what are Washington's other strengths? Linebacker? Anything else? The Giants are loaded on the defensive front with Dexter Lawrence surrounded by Brian Burns, Kayvon Thibodeaux, and rookie Abdul Carter, and that unit should be a huge factor against a Commanders line in flux. Washington will start two new tackles, Laremy Tunsil on the left and rookie Josh Conerly on the right, and the Commanders are still missing G Sam Cosmi too. Why is this nearly a touchdown spread? Washington's offense is good but not great; the Giants defense may rank just as high. New York's offense doesn't look good, but neither does Washington's defense. I love this spot for the Giants — and that was all before I checked out BetLabs and found an absolute trends bonanza. It's a 13-0 trends shutout for the G-Men! Some of my favorites: Week 1 road underdogs that missed last year's playoffs since 2011: 61-36-2 ATS (63%) Week 1 division underdogs since 2015: 33-17-1 ATS (66%) Week 1 teams that missed the playoffs against division opponents that made it: 41-15-1 ATS (73%) Russell Wilson: 65% ATS for his career as an underdog, including 71% in the division Dan Quinn: 25-38 ATS as a head coach favorite (below 40%), the least profitable active coach
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 110-127-8 (+45.5u)
R.Wilson u10.5 Rush Yds-140
1.5u
🚨Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found on our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/A8v49URQaG 🎙️Fade the Noise PODCAST - Subscribe!✅ https://www.youtube.com/@FadetheNoise Link to VIP (Copy &Paste): https://linktr.ee/moneylinehacks%F0%9F%94%A560% OFF with promo code: Hacks60
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 28-80-0 (-25.0u)
NYG +6-110
1.1u
@sundaysixpack @ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/naCzRpNcoWb
RocketPlays
RocketPlays
Last 30d: 16-26-0 (+5.0u)
T.Johnson 5+ Receptions Yes+620
0.25u
T.Johnson 3+ Receptions Yes+112
0.75u
J.Daniels o40.5 Rush Yds-130
0.77u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 64-94-3 (-18.9u)
NYG +6.5-110
1.1u
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 9-9-0 (-1.1u)
NYG +6-110
1.1u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 89-80-2 (+12.1u)
NYG +7+256
1u
Parlayed with Scottie Scheffler to win The Open (-110) on July 18th.
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 172-160-0 (+3.2u)
T.Johnson o22.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 21-18-0 (+7.1u)
J.Daniels o222.5 Pass Yds-115
0.87u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 13-36-0 (-2.0u)
Over 45.5-112
1u
Russell Wilson isn't amazing, but he's still a big boost for this Giants offense, which does have a decent infrastructure. Add to that the Commanders' additions at impactful positions on offense, and I've got this total around 50.
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 78-63-1 (+12.8u)
NYG +6.5-112
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 47-48-3 (+2.4u)
C.Rodriguez o28.5 Rush Yds-110
1.1u
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 78-63-1 (+12.8u)
Under 46.5-106
0.94u
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 70-91-0 (-28.9u)
NYG +7-115
1u
Top Shelf Action ���
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 113-126-1 (-23.0u)
NYG +7.5-110
1.1u
Early season divisional underdogs Overall: 130-66-6,66% (ROI:27%)
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 20-17-1 (+14.0u)
NYG +7.5-110
1u

Giants vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

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Giants vs. Commanders Props

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Line Movement Tracker

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Giants vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Giants

Public

69%

Bets%

31%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders
2-12-00-12-00-1
Giants
1-20-11-1N/A1-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Commanders
1-21-10-11-10-1
Giants
1-20-11-1N/A1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders
2-1N/AN/A2-00-1
Giants
0-3N/AN/AN/A0-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 23rdBALL 3-30+3 LU 35.5BAL +142
Aug 19thCINL 17-31+3.5 LO 43.5CIN +158
Aug 8th@NEL 18-48+6.5 LO 37.5NE +237
Jan 26th@PHIL 23-55+6 LO 46.5PHI +210
Jan 19th@DETW 45-31+8 WO 55.5WAS +387

Commanders vs. Giants Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

  • Noah Brown
    WR

    Brown is doubtful with groin

    Doubtful

  • Austin Ekeler
    RB

    Ekeler is out with achilles

    Out

  • Terry McLaurin
    WR

    McLaurin is questionable with quad

    Questionable

  • John Bates
    TE

    Bates is doubtful with groin

    Doubtful

  • Jayden Daniels
    QB

    Daniels is questionable with knee

    Questionable

Giants Injuries

  • Tyrone Tracy
    RB

    Tracy is out with shoulder

    Out

Team Stats
231
Total Yards
432
62
Total Plays
65
3.7
Yards Per Play
6.6
168
YDS
233
17/37
Comps/Atts
19/30
4.026
YPA
6.424
0/0
TDs/INTs
1/0
2/11
Sacks/Yards
3/21
74
Rush Yards
220
23
Attempts
32
3.217
YPC
6.875
0
TDs
2
0
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
0
0/2 0%
Redzone
3/4 75%
4/16 0%
3rd Down
4/11 0%
1/2 0%
4th Down
0/0 0%

First Downs

17
Total
25
9
Pass
11
4
Rush
11
4
Penalty
3
6/35
Penalties/Yards
12/89
30:32
Possession
29:28

Giants vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

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Giants at Commanders Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Giants
0-3
o19.5-117
u19.5-105
Commanders
2-1
o26.5-109
u26.5-114