Giants vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2025
Giants at Commanders
5:00 pm • FOXGiants at Commanders Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Giants 0-3 | +6.5 | +6.5-116 | o45.5-109 | +230 |
![]() Commanders 2-1 | u45.5 | -6.5-105 | u45.5-109 | -288 |

Northwest StadiumLandover
Giants vs. Commanders Expert Picks

Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 29-36-0 (-5.8u)
WAS -6-110
1u
Projection: -8. For more, check out the Fantasy Life game model.

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 161-171-4 (-4.3u)
W.Robinson u4.5 Recs-130
0.33u

Shady Biev
Last 30d: 46-54-1 (-4.8u)
NYG +6-110
1.65u

Analytics Trends
Last 30d: 17-19-0 (-4.3u)
NYG +6.5-115
1.5u
Week 1 Divisional Underdogs
📈 48-11-2 (81.36%) / 53.5% ROI
Week 1 Division / Playoff vs Non-Off
📈 44-15 (74.58%) / 42.37% ROI
Week 1 Non-Playoff with Spread > 5
📈 22-8 (73.33%) / 40% ROI
Russell Wilson as a dog more than 3
📈 25-8-1 (75.76%) / 43.32% ROI
Big believer in the commanders taking a major step back this year. I expect this one to be close throughout.
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 33-45-0 (-33.2u)
NYG +6-105
2u

The Pick Don
Last 30d: 33-21-0 (+9.0u)
NYG +6.5-118
1.18u

Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 86-81-0 (+9.5u)
NYG +5.5+100
3u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 161-171-4 (-4.3u)
NYG +6-108
0.27u

Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 113-126-1 (-23.0u)
Under 45.5-108
0.93u

Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 21-18-0 (+7.1u)
D.Samuel o1.5 Rush Att+150
3u

Allan Lem
Last 30d: 117-104-5 (+1.1u)
T.McLaurin u4.5 Recs-118
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 24-31-0 (-2.1u)
T.McLaurin u4.5 Recs-118
0.5u
McLaurin finally got paid, but he missed most of camp and we’ve seen plenty of top WRs (Chase, Lamb, Aiyuk last year) start slow in that situation. He’s coming off a career year with a 70% catch rate, which was 11.6% over expected, largely fueled by finally having an elite QB in Jayden Daniels under center. However, that level of efficiency is tough to repeat.
Now add in more target competition: Deebo Samuel joins the mix, and with Brian Robinson Jr. gone, Austin Ekeler could take on a bigger early-season receiving role out of the backfield. That creates several factors pulling McLaurin’s target share down.
I’m projecting him closer to 4.2 receptions, with around a 59% chance to stay under 4.5. He’s still dangerous in receiving yards markets so this isn’t a fade in that market, but his profile makes him another candidate for the “Under receptions, Over yards” style of reverse-correlation parlay I flagged with Wan’Dale if you want to go that route as well.

Allan Lem
Last 30d: 117-104-5 (+1.1u)
W.Robinson u4.5 Recs-122
0.61u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 24-31-0 (-2.1u)
W.Robinson u4.5 Recs-122
0.61u
Robinson has made his living as a low-aDOT volume guy, but Russell Wilson isn’t the best fit for that style. Reports have him lining up outside more, which could mean deeper routes and fewer easy targets underneath. That makes his reception line too high if true.
Week 1 props are always a crapshoot (we’re working off beat reports, coachspeak, and speculation) so I’m treading carefully. But this is the type of angle worth taking early. If his role does shift, his receiving yards line (35.5) looks too low. I actually show value both ways, which sets up a reverse-correlation angle:
Under 4.5 receptions & Over 30+ receiving yards
Parlaying that pays +367, and my sims have it closer to +250 as fair. If he goes his usual 8/30/0, so be it. We’ll finally get real data in Week 1 to sharpen from.

Zense
Last 30d: 1-4-0 (-3.1u)
NYG +6-108
1u

Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 30-25-1 (+2.0u)
NYG +6-110
1u

Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 32-22-0 (+5.9u)
M.Nabers o72.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u
Playing this on pass the prop as Nabers to lead game In receiving +125 on fanduel

Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 28-80-0 (-25.0u)
NYG +6.5-112
1.12u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/TqfB5ck7pWb

Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 16-81-0 (-24.6u)
NYG +6.5-112
1u
The history of this rivalry is close. Even last year as the Commanders won 12 games, they beat the terrible Giants by just five and three points. In fact, Washington has won only four of the last 13 games against the Giants. That includes a one-point win too, which means the Commanders have only covered this spread once in 13 games against New York.
I'm honestly just not sure either team is that good.
Jayden Daniels was brilliant as a rookie but has to do it all over again with defenses readier for him this time around, and what are Washington's other strengths? Linebacker? Anything else?
The Giants are loaded on the defensive front with Dexter Lawrence surrounded by Brian Burns, Kayvon Thibodeaux, and rookie Abdul Carter, and that unit should be a huge factor against a Commanders line in flux. Washington will start two new tackles, Laremy Tunsil on the left and rookie Josh Conerly on the right, and the Commanders are still missing G Sam Cosmi too.
Why is this nearly a touchdown spread? Washington's offense is good but not great; the Giants defense may rank just as high. New York's offense doesn't look good, but neither does Washington's defense.
I love this spot for the Giants — and that was all before I checked out BetLabs and found an absolute trends bonanza. It's a 13-0 trends shutout for the G-Men!
Some of my favorites:
Week 1 road underdogs that missed last year's playoffs since 2011: 61-36-2 ATS (63%)
Week 1 division underdogs since 2015: 33-17-1 ATS (66%)
Week 1 teams that missed the playoffs against division opponents that made it: 41-15-1 ATS (73%)
Russell Wilson: 65% ATS for his career as an underdog, including 71% in the division
Dan Quinn: 25-38 ATS as a head coach favorite (below 40%), the least profitable active coach

Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 110-127-8 (+45.5u)
R.Wilson u10.5 Rush Yds-140
1.5u
🚨Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found on our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/A8v49URQaG
🎙️Fade the Noise PODCAST - Subscribe!✅
https://www.youtube.com/@FadetheNoise
Link to VIP (Copy &Paste): https://linktr.ee/moneylinehacks%F0%9F%94%A560% OFF with promo code: Hacks60

Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 28-80-0 (-25.0u)
NYG +6-110
1.1u
@sundaysixpack @ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/naCzRpNcoWb

RocketPlays
Last 30d: 16-26-0 (+5.0u)
T.Johnson 5+ Receptions Yes+620
0.25u
T.Johnson 3+ Receptions Yes+112
0.75u
J.Daniels o40.5 Rush Yds-130
0.77u

Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 64-94-3 (-18.9u)
NYG +6.5-110
1.1u

Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 9-9-0 (-1.1u)
NYG +6-110
1.1u
@ChrisRaybon 1 https://myaction.app/rpBAjNC3mWb

Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 89-80-2 (+12.1u)
NYG +7+256
1u
Parlayed with Scottie Scheffler to win The Open (-110) on July 18th.

Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 172-160-0 (+3.2u)
T.Johnson o22.5 Rec Yds-115
1u

Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 21-18-0 (+7.1u)
J.Daniels o222.5 Pass Yds-115
0.87u

Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 13-36-0 (-2.0u)
Over 45.5-112
1u
Russell Wilson isn't amazing, but he's still a big boost for this Giants offense, which does have a decent infrastructure. Add to that the Commanders' additions at impactful positions on offense, and I've got this total around 50.

Babs .
Last 30d: 78-63-1 (+12.8u)
NYG +6.5-112
1u

Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 47-48-3 (+2.4u)
C.Rodriguez o28.5 Rush Yds-110
1.1u

Babs .
Last 30d: 78-63-1 (+12.8u)
Under 46.5-106
0.94u

FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 70-91-0 (-28.9u)
NYG +7-115
1u

Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 113-126-1 (-23.0u)
NYG +7.5-110
1.1u
Early season divisional underdogs
Overall: 130-66-6,66% (ROI:27%)

Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 20-17-1 (+14.0u)
NYG +7.5-110
1u
Giants vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis
Giants vs. Commanders Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Giants vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Commanders are 2-1 in their last 5 games.
- Commanders are 2-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Commanders are 0-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Commanders' last 3 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Commanders' 2 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
![]() | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | N/A | 1-2 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
![]() | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | N/A | 1-2 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 2-1 | N/A | N/A | 2-0 | 0-1 |
![]() | 0-3 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0-3 |
Last 5 Matchups
Commanders vs. Giants Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries
- Noah BrownWR
Brown is doubtful with groin
Doubtful
- Austin EkelerRB
Ekeler is out with achilles
Out
- Terry McLaurinWR
McLaurin is questionable with quad
Questionable
- John BatesTE
Bates is doubtful with groin
Doubtful
- Jayden DanielsQB
Daniels is questionable with knee
Questionable

Giants Injuries
- Tyrone TracyRB
Tracy is out with shoulder
Out
Team Stats
Giants vs. Commanders Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Giants at Commanders Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Giants 0-3 | o19.5-117 | u19.5-105 |
![]() Commanders 2-1 | o26.5-109 | u26.5-114 |