Steelers vs. Raiders Odds & Betting Predictions - September 25, 2023
Steelers at Raiders
12:20 am • NBCSteelers at Raiders Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Steelers 1-0 | +3-111 | o43.5-112 | +130 | |
![]() Raiders 0-0-1 | -3-109 | u43.5-111 | -160 |

Allegiant StadiumLas Vegas
Steelers vs. Raiders Expert Picks

Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 94-114-4 (-18.9u)
G.Pickens o54.5 Rec Yds-121
0.41u
PIT +3-115
1.74u

Milly Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Adams Anytime TD Scorer+1118
2.8u

Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 22-48-1 (-4.7u)
A.Hooper u18.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
PIT +130
1.3u
Under 43.5-110
0.91u

Chase Holden
Last 30d: 2-4-0 (-1.0u)
A.Hooper Anytime TD Scorer+500
1u

Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Deablo o7.5 Tackles + Ast-145
1u
9 and 10 tackles in his two games so far, making him 7/9 on this line dating back to last season (excl the game he got hurt).
This line is lower because of how few tackles PITT’s opponents have recorded in the first two games, but that’s a product of playing stout defenses and compounded last week by a ridiculously weird gamescript. I expect regression to the mean from a team that allowed 67.5 combined tackles per game last season - the second most.
I’m ok with it to -160.

Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
J.Warren o34.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
If you’re reading this it’s too late

Royals Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Warren o32.5 Rush Yds-120
1.2u

The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
K.Pickett o222.5 Pass Yds-120
0.83u

Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LV -3+100
1u

Nick Martin
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (-0.5u)
A.Hooper u18.5 Rec Yds-110
0.68u
@theoddsmaker
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 8-19-2 (-22.0u)
LV -3-105
3.15u

Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 14-36-0 (+10.5u)
Under 43.5-110
1u
Raiders put up only 17 vs a Broncos D that can't stop a thing.
PIT scored 14 points on D/ST last week and a 71-yard play. Not sustainable.

Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-0.9u)
A.Hooper u19.5 Rec Yds-110
1u

Markus Markets
Last 30d: 11-9-1 (+0.8u)
J.Warren o2.5 Recs-125
0.8u

Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 94-114-4 (-18.9u)
G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer+190
0.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 76-61-4 (+3.5u)
Over 43.5-107
1u

Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 43.5-110
0.91u
Raybon’s total

Nick Martin
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (-0.5u)
Under 43.5-110
0.91u
@chrisraybon

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 134-163-6 (-3.3u)
Under 43.5-110
0.5u

Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
LV -3-103
1u

Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LV -3-102
1u
FD

Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Warren o2.5 Recs-125
1u
In his current role, Warren has 4 and 5 catches in his two games. Tomlin mentioned a 50/50 timeshare for Harris and Warren in the beginning of the season, and even if Najee still has outsnapped Warren, the receiving role has been split (and Warren has been far superior). I’m not expecting a bump in Warren’s snaps, but wouldn’t be shocked if we saw one.
Regardless - this is a fantastic matchup. Raiders have allowed 17 catches to RBs to start the season, coming off a 2022 in which they allowed 5.9 RB catches per game (4th most).

Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.9u)
N.Harris u10.5 Rec Yds-120
0.83u

Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-0.9u)
C.Austin o2.5 Recs-145
1.45u

Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 22-48-1 (-4.7u)
J.Warren o15.5 Rec Yds-115
0.87u

Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LV -150
1.5u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-2.0u)
J.Meyers Anytime TD Scorer+270
1u
Bet at FanDuel.
G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer+250
1u
Bet at Bet365.

Milly Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Meyers o3.5 Recs+103
1.03u

Capper Central
Last 30d: 77-73-1 (-8.7u)
LV -136
$100.00
-136 on Fanduel. Anything worse lay the points

Raheem Palmer
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 21.5 (1H)-120
1u
Under 43-110
1u

Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LV -2.5-110
1.1u
Stuckey 3

Royals Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Jacobs o71.5 Rush Yds-115
1.15u

Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
J.Jacobs o72.5 Rush Yds-125
2u
This line will move closer to 80 by kickoff
J.Jacobs Anytime TD Scorer-125
1u
Sniping these odds while they’re hot

Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LV -2.5-115
$115.00

Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 43-110
1.1u

Chad Millman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LV -2.5-110
1u

Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.9u)
Under 43.5-115
0.87u

Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (+0.0u)
LV -2.5-109
0.6u

Bruce Marshall
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PIT +1.5-110
0.91u

Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 20-46-0 (-10.7u)
LV -104
1u
Available at FanDuel. I was worried about receiver injuries for the Raiders, but it sounds like both Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers have a shot to play in this one. They'll be facing a tough defense, but Minkah Fitzpatrick left Monday night's game due to injury and would be a big loss. Additionally, the Raiders are willing to pound the rock, and the loss of Cam Heyward seemed to play a big role in Jerome Ford's big night on Monday. I was on the Raiders last week, and that didn't work out. But my model makes them 1.95-point favorites in this game at home. The crowd will skew Steeler-heavy, most likely, but it's a cross-country flight on a short week. I agree with the model in thinking the Raiders should be slight favorites here.

Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-0.9u)
Under 44.5-110
1u
PRO Insights

Steelers
PIT Insights
- Featured Insight
The Raiders have scored 19.0 points per game since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 16.6 PPG since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- fifth-best in NFL.
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Raiders
LV Insights
- Featured Insight
Steelers QBs have a 86.9 passer rating when scrambling since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- eighth-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed a passer rating of 124.5 when the opposing QB was scrambling since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- worst in NFL.
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Steelers vs. Raiders Previews & Analysis
Steelers vs. Raiders Props
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Steelers vs. Raiders Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Raiders are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Raiders are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Raiders are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Raiders' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Raiders' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
Steelers vs. Raiders Odds Comparison
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Steelers at Raiders Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Steelers 1-0 | o20.5-115 | u20.5-115 |
![]() Raiders 0-0-1 | o23.5+100 | u23.5-112 |