Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024
Phillies at Blue Jays
11:07 pm • NBCS-PHStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
C.Bassitt | 4.16 | 10-14 | ||
T.Phillips | 6.87 | 4-1 |
Phillies at Blue Jays Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies 1-3 | -1.5+159 | o8.5-120 | -102 | |
Blue Jays 0-0 | +1.5-185 | u8.5+100 | -116 |
Tuesday 11:07 p.m.
September 03, 2024Rogers CentreToronto
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
110d ago
Last 30d: 16-21-0 (+3.1u)
V.Guerrero o1.5 Total Bases+105
1.05u
Moneyline Hacks
110d ago
Last 30d: 52-49-1 (+12.8u)
PHI +102
3.06u
Ryan Sura
110d ago
Last 30d: 102-111-6 (-16.5u)
Over 4.5 (F5)-125
1u
T.Phillips u3.5 Ks-129
1u
JB Bets
110d ago
Last 30d: 37-13-0 (+18.2u)
PHI +102
1.02u
Grant Neiffer
110d ago
Last 30d: 48-42-4 (+0.5u)
K.Schwarber o0.5 HR+350
1.75u
Circa
BJ Cunningham
110d ago
Last 30d: 5-8-1 (-6.5u)
PHI +102
1.02u
Picks Office
110d ago
Last 30d: 121-111-6 (+0.9u)
TOR -115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Recent form has Chris Bassitt as good of an option on the mound for Toronto. In three starts so far this month, Bassitt has accumulated a 1.08 WHIP and 4.08 ERA; thus, he's featured better control and run prevention skills in that time than his seasonal numbers have shown. His 1.34 WHIP and 4.27 ERA for the season further indicate that he's been good to this point, especially in comparison to the struggling Tyler Phillips of the Phillies. Phillips takes the mound with a less-than-desirable overall ERA of 5.50 and a WHIP of 1.22, but it's his form over the last little while that's really the differentiator-and not in a good way. Over his last three games, Phillips has been hammered, wearing a fat 13.91 ERA and a WHIP of 2.27, signaling clear inability to limit damage and control baserunners.
The added confidence comes from Bassitt having a home ERA of 4.21 supported by a WHIP of 1.41 against him. On the other hand, Phillips gives up an ERA of 7.02 on the road and his WHIP is at 1.38 in support to show he is most vulnerable away from home.
Also, Bassitt's ERA of 4.90 in night games well surpasses Phillips' 7.65 ERA under the lights. That is to say, based on these statistics, the starting pitching matchup mostly favors Toronto.
It's the Toronto bullpen that really tips the scales in their favor. Over their last three games, the Blue Jays' bullpen has an incredible WHIP of 0.67 and an ERA of 1.21, while the Phillies have an ERA of 3.07 this season for their relievers; moreover, their recent misfortune points out a big advantage for Toronto late in the game. Making things even tougher on the Phillies, they have been ice-cold at the plate against right-handed pitching, putting up a collective .182 batting average over their last five contests. This poor streak against right-handers boosts the edge for Bassitt and the Blue Jays in this matchup. Additionally, the Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague home games, with the implication that they elevate to these affairs. With all of those factors in its favor—strong recent pitching from Bassitt, the struggles of Phillips, an ineffective Phillies offense against right-handers, a dominant bullpen—the Blue Jays are well-positioned to take a win tonight.
Under 9-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Recent form from Chris Bassitt suggests he can be reliable, especially with his WHIP of 1.08 over his last three starts, indicating strong control. His home ERA of 4.21 is a bit higher but still in line for a pitcher capable of keeping runs minimal. While that is higher, it's not enough to project a budding Phillies offensive explosion which has struggled against right-handers, hitting just .182 with a poor OBP of .267 in the last five games. Their anemic slugging percentage of .226 during this period further builds a case for suggestions of a low-scoring game.
The Blue Jays bullpen has been lights-out lately, sporting a 0.85 WHIP and 1.35 ERA over the last five games; to that end, they have been virtually unhittable of late. Even on the season, the overall bullpen ERA of 3.62 and WHIP of 1.14 indicate they should be able to keep things in order throughout the later innings of this contest, which minimizes the chance of a late-game surge in scoring. Similarly, the bullpen of the Phillies has been very dominant, with a 3.07 ERA throughout the season, and they should be ready for the challenge of shutting down runners crossing the plate, considering the trends of the unders lately for both teams.
Considering that the Blue Jays have gone under the total in seven of their last ten and the under has hit in eighteen of their last twenty-four as a favorite, there is strong anticipation for a tight, low-scoring affair. Using these factors together will lead to the realization that the under 9 can surely be a solid pick in this matchup.
Firefighter Bets
110d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
C.Bassitt o5.5 Ks-115
0.87u
V.Guerrero o1.5 Total Bases+105
1.05u
Lines at Lunch
110d ago
Last 30d: 119-86-4 (+23.9u)
V.Guerrero o1.5 Total Bases-120
1u
Avery
Over 4.5 (F5)-125
1u
Avery
J.Loperfido o0.5 Hits-140
1.4u
Avery
TOR -120 (F5)
1u
@rsura_
TOR o2.5 Team Total (F5)+114
1.14u
@sandyplashkes
Ryan Sura
110d ago
Last 30d: 102-111-6 (-16.5u)
TOR -120 (F5)
1u
Sandy Plashkes
110d ago
Last 30d: 114-113-5 (+8.6u)
TOR o2.5 Team Total (F5)+114
1.14u
PRO Insights
Blue Jays
TOR Insights
- Featured InsightThe Blue Jays have allowed just 1.8 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB (14 games). The Phillies have scored just 1.2 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB (13 games).
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Phillies vs. Blue Jays Previews & Analysis
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Injury Updates
Phillies Injuries
- Max KeplerOF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Blue Jays Injuries
- Bo BichetteIF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
- Alek ManoahP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Box Score
Phillies Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RT.Phillips, P | 36 | 0.2 | 1 | 6 | |
LT.Banks, P | 20 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 | |
LJ.Alvarado, P | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RT.Walker, P | 41 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |
RJ.Ruiz, P | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RO.Kerkering, P | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
LM.Strahm, P | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1K.Schwarber, DH | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
2T.Turner, SS | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3B.Harper, 1B | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4N.Castellanos, RF | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
4W.Wilson, RF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5B.Stott, 2B | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
6J.Realmuto, C | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7B.Marsh, LF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7B.Marsh, CF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8E.Sosa, 3B | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
9J.Rojas, CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9K.Clemens, PH | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
9K.Clemens, LF | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Blue Jays Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RC.Bassitt, P | 92 | 5.1 | 7 | 3 | |
LB.Little, P | 9 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
RZ.Pop, P | 14 | 0.1 | 1 | 2 | |
RE.Swanson, P | 23 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | |
LG.Cabrera, P | 20 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | |
RC.Green, P | 30 | 0.2 | 2 | 3 | |
RR.Burr, P | 11 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1G.Springer, RF | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
2D.Varsho, CF | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
3V.Guerrero, 1B | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
4S.Horwitz, DH | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5W.Wagner, 2B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
6A.Kirk, C | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
7A.Barger, 3B | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
7L.Jimenez, SS | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
8E.Clement, SS | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8E.Clement, 3B | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Loperfido, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds Comparison
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Phillies at Blue Jays Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Phillies 1-3 | o4.5+105 | u4.5-140 |
Blue Jays 0-0 | o4.5+110 | u4.5-140 |