Cavaliers vs. Pistons Odds & Betting Predictions - March 28, 2025

Cavs on a B2B – top seed locked up, major rest risk. Mitchell, Garland, Mobley could all sit. Pistons 4-1 last 5, +15.4 scoring margin. Detroit also 5-1 ATS last 6 vs East. Playing at home, chasing playoff seeding. Key motivation edge, and they’ve been hot. Bench energy unmatched lately. Detroit’s offense clicking – 123.6 PPG last 5, 52.4% FG (NBA-best over that span). Sasser dropped 27 off the bench vs SA. Duren + Harris can feast inside if Mobley sits. Cavs defense slipping lately – 112.8 opp PPG last 5, down from season avg. Losing glass battle too. Pistons rebounding edge real. Cavs 0-3-1 ATS last 4 in Detroit. Home team 11-5-1 ATS in last 17 matchups. Pistons’ second unit averaging 40.6 PPG – Cavs bench gives up 34.6. With starters likely limited or out. Cade out but Detroit’s depth matters. Last meeting: DET lost by 3 – give me the underdog.

Tailing @JoeDellera. FWIW, early RotoGrinders projections aren’t expecting Donovan Mitchell to play on this backend of a b2b and have Garland at 22.8 points, so rolling the dice here that Mitchell does indeed sit.

Garland and the Cavs play their second game in as many days but I think there’s an outside chance that Donovan Mitchell sits after an excellent game last night against the Spurs. Garland has excelled without Mitchell averaging 25.7 ppg in 7 games without him this season. Regardless, he’s crushed against the Pistons overall. He is averaging 22.3 ppg against Detroit and has exceeded this line in 11 of his last 12 games against them. Obviously there are different personnel things there but he’s hit in 2/3 this season. I like the spot even if Mitchell does play, but it’s even better if he sits.